Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

St. Valentine's Day Rout
I wouldn't really call what happened in the bond market and the U.S. dollar market as a St. Valentine's Day massacre, maybe it was a slaughter; even slaughter was too harsh a word. It was a rout. But this is nothing compared to what is going to come. The daughter is going to get slaughtered a lot more and the bond market is going to get slaughtered a lot more in the days ahead. Maybe not exactly tomorrow, but there will be days ahead that will be much worse than today. This is the tip of a huge iceberg.
Doing the Impossible
Before I get into the tail of the tape today, and all the horrific economic numbers that came out today, I want to take a step back and talk about President Trump's budget, which was released on Monday. Basically, the Republicans succeeded in doing something that you would have thought was impossible. They are making the Democrats look like the fiscally responsible party.
A Farce
First of all, there are some cuts in this budget that are never going to happen. There are a lot of assumptions that are saving money, like they assume a total repeal and replace of ObamaCare, which isn't going to happen. In fact, if it didn't happen when Republicans controlled Congress, how is it going to happen when the Democrats control Congress in 2019? So this is all farcical.
Assumptions...
But one of the biggest farces of the entire budget is the underlying economic assumptions. They're assuming that the very low unemployment rate gets even lower. But, the most farcical of all, is that they assume that the economy grows uninterrupted at an average of 3% for the next 10 years! This so-called expansion is already 9 years old. That makes it the second or third longest expansion in history, and if it continues this year, I think it will be the largest expansion in history. If it continued for another 10 years it would be almost twice as long as the next largest economic expansion in history. What are the odds that that is going to happen? But even if that happens, even if we get 10 years of 3% economic growth (we probably won't even get 1) but let's assume we get 10, even with that, the budget does not balance.
Not Even Pretending the Budget will Balance
This is the first time the Republicans are presenting a budget that, even in 10 years, does not balance. Now, think about this: When they were presenting budgets that had a pretense of balancing in 10 years, and they were way off the mark, can you imagine how much further off they will be now when they are not even pretending the budget is going to balance?
Trillion Dollar Deficits and no QE
In the first couple of years they are forecasting trillion dollar deficits. As I said on the podcast before, the last time we had trillion dollar deficits, the Fed was doing a trillion dollars a year in QE. Right now, the Fed is still posturing that it is not going to do any QE. In fact, it is posturing that it is going to do QT - it is going to shrink its balance sheet.
Big Political Problem for the Republicans
But here is going to be the big political problem: Since the Democrats are now the fiscally responsible party, they will be able to hang these deficits around the necks of the Republican candidates like an Albatross. I know a lot of people are thinking, "Wait a minute, Peter! Obama doubled the deficit & the national debt - there are all kinds of deficits under Obama, so how can the Democrats say that the Republicans are the big spenders and they are the fiscal Conservatives?
Inevitable Keynesian Logic
It is very easy. It is basic Keynes. They are going to say is when Obama ran deficits, they were necessary to get us out of the recession that Bush caused by cutting taxes on the rich, and the corporations. So they were a necessary economic stimulus to get out of the ditch that Bush drove us into. After all, Clinton, a Democrat, Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Avsnitt(1084)

April Fool's Day Came Late - Ep 1020

April Fool's Day Came Late - Ep 1020

Trump’s tariffs will hurt U.S. consumers and industries, leading to higher prices, fewer imports, and potential recession, while discussing their legality.Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.Peter Schiff discusses the steep decline in the stock market following President Trump's announcement of tariffs, with a focus on how these tariffs will negatively impact the U.S. economy. The host argues that, contrary to Trump's claims, the tariffs will not rejuvenate American industries and will instead lead to higher prices for consumers, fewer imports, and potential recession. The tariffs are considered illegal and unconstitutional by the host, who explains that tariffs, historically, have been a burden on the middle class and poor. The host also mentions China's retaliatory tariffs and the broader implications on global trade and economic stability.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction: The High Stakes of Trading00:57 Market Meltdown: The Impact of Tariffs03:39 Stock Market Analysis: Winners and Losers05:15 The Global Trade War: China's Retaliation08:01 The Economics of Tariffs: Winners and Losers08:52 The Shoe Industry: A Case Study11:41 The Bigger Picture: US Consumption and Production25:53 The Constitutional Debate on Tariffs29:49 Trump's Tariff Strategy: A Closer Look35:44 Global Trade Deficits and Tariffs36:20 Scapegoating Immigrants and Trade Policies37:07 Historical Context of Tariffs and Taxes40:13 The Populist Movement and Income Tax43:59 Impact of Tariffs on the Middle Class47:16 Economic Consequences of Tariffs52:13 Global Recession and Market Reactions57:32 China's Role and Global Supply Chains01:01:54 Investment Strategies and Economic Predictions01:05:27 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#tariffs #trump #stocksOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Apr 1h 4min

The Not So Secret Word Is Stagflation - Ep 1019

The Not So Secret Word Is Stagflation - Ep 1019

Peter Schiff discusses market sell-offs, stagflation, tariffs, gold vs. Bitcoin performance, Fed policies, economic shifts, government inefficiencies, and his legal battle over his bank's closure.Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.Go to https://linkedin.com/schiff to post your job for free. Terms and conditions apply.Peter Schiff discusses recent stock market sell-offs, the impact of economic data pointing to stagflation, and the effects of tariffs. He highlights the divergences between gold and Bitcoin performances, emphasizing gold’s bullish trend and Bitcoin’s decline. Schiff explains the complications of stagflation for the Federal Reserve, economic repercussions of ongoing tariffs, and potential shifts in financial markets. He also touches on Trump's potential policy impacts and the inefficacies within government programs and unions. Schiff concludes with insights into his legal battle over his bank’s closure.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview00:54 Personal Update and Podcast Delay03:00 Stock Market Analysis05:22 Bitcoin vs. Gold14:16 Economic Data and Stagflation27:47 Tariffs and Market Impact32:49 Tariffs and Their Economic Impact33:39 Critique of Trump's Economic Advisors34:32 Globalization and Its Reversal35:19 Inflation and Domestic Money Supply37:54 Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations39:26 Impact of Car Tariffs44:17 Public Sector Unions and Government Spending52:01 Bitcoin and Government Financial Policies55:34 Personal Legal Battle and AI Analysis01:01:31 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Stagflation #Silver #BitcoinOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

31 Mars 1h

Powell Shrugs off Evidence of Rising Inflation - Ep 1018

Powell Shrugs off Evidence of Rising Inflation - Ep 1018

Peter Schiff discusses the Fed's unchanged interest rates, rising inflation, gold prices signaling monetary issues, and promotes gold and silver investments.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldPeter Schiff discusses the recent FOMC announcement on interest rates remaining unchanged and critiques the Fed's dovish stance amid rising inflation. Schiff highlights the Fed's plan to slow quantitative tightening, rising gold prices as a warning of loose monetary policy, and calls for higher interest rates. He criticizes the Fed's handling of inflation expectations and the economic composition of job growth. Schiff also promotes gold and silver investments as protection against inflation.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:20 Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Announcement02:15 Discussion on Quantitative Tightening05:59 Gold Prices and Market Signals12:27 Inflation Concerns and Monetary Policy19:16 Commercial Break and Sponsor Message20:36 Special Offers on Gold and Silver26:38 Analysis of Tariffs and Inflation30:38 Fed's Shift in Inflation Expectations31:14 Powell's Dismissal of Five-Year Inflation Concerns32:23 Consumer Sentiment and Price Levels33:49 Fed's Inflation Averaging Policy38:30 Government Jobs vs. Private Sector Jobs41:46 US National Debt and Borrowing Challenges49:18 Critique of Fed's Independence and Policy54:45 Investment Advice and Market Trends#FederalReserve #inflation #goldOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Mars 56min

Instead of Treasuries, Investors Are Buying Foreign Stocks - Ep 1017

Instead of Treasuries, Investors Are Buying Foreign Stocks - Ep 1017

Peter Schiff discusses market rallies, gold-silver divergence, investment strategies, inflation impacts, consumer sentiment, and criticizes U.S. monetary policies and government interventions.Head to https://lumen.me/gold for 20% off your purchase.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter discusses the recent stock market rally and the historic rise in gold prices, highlighting the significant divergence between gold and silver performance. He advises investors to focus on precious metals, particularly silver, and gold mining stocks. Peter critiques the modern investment tendencies of young people towards cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, arguing for the wisdom of following central bankers who are turning to gold. He also delves into the latest inflation data and its market impact, along with a strong critique of government policies and their consequences on the economy. Additionally, Peter shares a recent FOIA production from his lawsuits against the government, revealing potential misconduct by IRS agents.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview01:34 Gold and Silver Market Analysis05:53 Investment Strategies and Insider Insights17:52 Inflation and Economic Indicators20:44 Consumer Sentiment and Political Commentary34:08 Tech Investment Trends and Market Shifts35:16 Performance of Various Funds in 202340:20 Contrarian Indicators and Market Predictions44:30 Debate on SEC and FDIC50:33 Legal Battles and Government Transparency01:03:39 Conclusion and Call to Action#Finance #StockMarket #InvestmentsOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Mars 1h 4min

The Fed Can’t Save the Market or the Economy - Ep 1016

The Fed Can’t Save the Market or the Economy - Ep 1016

Peter discusses market drops, tariffs, AI and crypto trends, and recommends considering gold stocks and foreign markets over U.S. due to changing economic conditions.Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter discusses his perspective on recent market volatility, the implications of tariff changes announced by Trump, and the ongoing shifts in key financial assets. He highlights significant market drops, including a thousand-point dip in the Dow and a 30% decline in Bitcoin since late January. Peter sheds light on the potential 30-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine and shares his concerns about the Trump administration's economic policies, particularly regarding tariffs on Canadian aluminum and steel. He criticizes the government's regulatory bodies and outlines the impact of weakening US dollar on global investments. Additionally, Peter emphasizes the importance of gold stocks as a hedge and predicts continued outperformance of foreign markets and commodities.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview02:14 Stock Market Analysis03:18 Impact of Tariffs and Trade Policies05:58 Cryptocurrency and Bitcoin Trends09:40 Gold and Foreign Markets20:12 Commercial Break21:35 Japanese Rate Hike and Global Impact31:35 Impact of Closing the US-Canada Border32:56 Canada's Alternative Markets33:37 American Consumers and Tariffs33:58 Personal Anecdote: Football Manufacturing35:46 Challenges of Rebuilding American Manufacturing37:07 Critique of Government Spending and Regulation39:38 The Role of the SEC and Financial Regulation43:12 Historical Perspective on Market Crashes50:04 The Future of the US Economy56:27 Investment Advice and Conclusion#stockmarket #cryptocurrency #inflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Mars 58min

US Stocks and Dollar Tank. What’s Next? - Ep 1015

US Stocks and Dollar Tank. What’s Next? - Ep 1015

Peter Schiff discusses market drops, tariff impacts, Trump's Bitcoin reserve, and advocates for foreign stocks and gold investments.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldStart your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter analyzes a turbulent week in financial markets, highlighting significant declines across major US indices such as the Dow, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000. He discusses the impact of weak economic data, rising bond yields, and currency movements, particularly in Germany and Japan. Peter also critiques the Trump administration's tariff policies and their misconceptions, emphasizing that tariffs harm American consumers rather than foreign economies. Additionally, he delves into the controversial establishment of a US Bitcoin reserve, interpreting it as a non-committal move. Peter concludes by advising listeners to invest in foreign markets, precious metals, and emerging markets for better returns.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:19 Market Overview and Financial Insights02:56 Stock Market Performance Analysis05:56 Global Economic Trends and Predictions12:31 Investment Strategies and Recommendations20:49 Jobs Data and Economic Indicators27:31 Tariffs and Cryptocurrency Discussion34:25 Impact of Tariffs on Canadian and US Economies34:59 Misconceptions About Tariffs and Economic Strength36:11 The Real Cost of Tariffs on American Consumers38:50 Challenges in Reviving US Manufacturing40:50 Political and Economic Realities of Tariffs46:32 Crypto Manipulation and Insider Trading50:19 Trump's Bitcoin Reserve Announcement55:48 Economic Predictions and Investment Advice01:03:35 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Bitcoin #Gold #TrumpOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Mars 1h 1min

Trump’s Crypto Pump - Ep 1014

Trump’s Crypto Pump - Ep 1014

Peter Schiff exposes crypto market manipulations by Trump's team, critiques Social Security as a Ponzi scheme, and analyzes recent concerning economic data. #trump #bitcoin #cryptoSponsor Promotions- Stash: Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.- Shopify: Sign up for a $1/month trial at https://shopify.com/goldEpisode OverviewIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter dives into the recent surge in the cryptocurrency market and the alleged manipulation stemming from a post on Donald Trump's Truth Social account. He scrutinizes the drama surrounding Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Ripple, and other altcoins, highlighting strategic timing and insider trading. Peter also discusses the anticipated, but non-existent, establishment of a US crypto reserve and the potential implications for the market. Shifting focus, Peter touches on various economic updates, including the massive US trade deficit, unemployment claims, GDP projections, and the real estate bear market. Furthermore, he criticizes the Social Security system, labeling it as a Ponzi scheme, while urging for major reforms. To cap it off, Peter reflects on his experience with media manipulation and his ongoing legal battles concerning his bank.---Chapters / Timestamps:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:58 Crypto Market Analysis03:22 Trump's Crypto Reserve Announcement09:28 Critique of Government Involvement in Crypto22:04 Economic Data and Trade Deficit33:28 Job Market and Unemployment Concerns35:21 Housing Market Woes35:51 Manufacturing and Economic Indicators36:48 Personal Income and Spending37:27 Inflation and the Fed's Dilemma38:38 Zelensky's Visit and Media Critique43:31 Trump's Budget Ambitions45:56 Golden Visas and Tax Exemptions49:26 Joe Rogan and Elon Musk on Media and Social Security01:03:49 Gold and Silver Market Update01:05:37 Conclusion and Final Thoughts---Useful Links & Resources:Peter's Most Valuable Insights: https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsSchiff Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books---Call to Action:If you enjoyed this episode, please hit the like button, leave a comment with your thoughts, and subscribe for more in-depth analyses and market insights!---Connect with Peter Schiff:X / Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Mars 1h 3min

The Trump Crypto Bubble Already Burst - Ep 1013

The Trump Crypto Bubble Already Burst - Ep 1013

Peter Schiff covers market trends, inflation fears, Trump’s tariffs, crypto decline, and promotes his wife's music on Spotify.My wife's songs. https://open.spotify.com/artist/2f3z6IPGfomCl9FsJeyb8dPublic Rec - Upgrade your wardrobe instantly and save 20% off with the code GOLD at https://publicrec.com/peterSelectQuote - Get the RIGHT life insurance for YOU, for LESS, at https://selectquote.com/schiffPeter Schiff discusses the impact of stagflation on the US economy, significant market changes, and the collapse of the cryptocurrency market. He highlights falling consumer confidence, the influence of tariffs, and potential moves in gold and oil prices. Schiff also critiques Federal Reserve policies and addresses issues in the US automotive and trade industries. Lastly, he reflects on personal memories and shares updates on his and his wife's recent projects. 🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Market Overview01:10 US Treasury Market Rally01:52 Stagflation Concerns02:41 Consumer Confidence and Inflation04:33 Oil Prices and Economic Slowdown07:04 Bitcoin and Crypto Market Analysis14:17 Gold Market Insights21:36 MicroStrategy and Bitcoin Strategy27:44 Personal Announcements and Reflections30:42 Promoting My Wife's Music31:21 Upcoming Song Release35:06 Silver Market Update36:06 Trade and Tariffs Discussion40:26 Understanding VAT and Tariffs53:36 Critique of Government Spending57:44 Conclusion#Bitcoin #Gold #CryptoOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Feb 56min

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