Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast20 Mars 2018

Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Tomorrow is the first of the Fed's 2-day Federal Open Market Committee Meeting, and it's going to be the first meeting where there is supposed to be a rate hike and a press conference for the new chairman, Jerome Powell. The markets are pretty much at 100% probability that the Fed is going to raise rates on Wednesday. What the markets are grappling with is whether or not the Fed will raise rates 4 times this year, or only 3.

Now, if they are going to raise them 4 times, it would mean they raised rates once per quarter. So they raise them in March, they raise them in June, they raise them in September and then they raise them again in December. Now, if they only do it 3 times, then, they pick one of these quarters where they don't do it. Most likely, if they only do 3 hikes, the hike they're going to skip is going to be the June hike. And, of course, if they skip the June hike, they're probably not going to hike in September or December, either because the economy will be much weaker by then, the U.S. stock market could be much lower. The fact is, I'm still not 100% sure that the Fed is going to hike on Wednesday.

I would agree that it is more likely than not that the Fed is going to hike, because they've been hiking interest rates all along. The Fed so far has not given any indication that they're not going to hike because they don't want to give up the ghost of this "vibrant recovery", where they need to raise rates because everything is going so well. But that whole narrative, that whole illusion seems to be fading very quickly. As a matter of fact, on Friday the Atlanta Fed's model for Q1 GDP went down another notch! They are now down to 1.8% for Q1 GDP. Now does it sound like the Fed should be rushing to hike rates when GDP growth for Q1 is only going to be 1.8%? Does that sound like an economy that is in danger of overheating? When they were at 5.4% 6 weeks ago or so and now they're down to 1.8% and falling? For all we know, we could end up being below 1%.

Does the Fed really want to add more downward pressure to an accelerating economy by raising interest rates? So far, everybody just assumes that they're going to hike rates. but we'll see. Another factor that may weigh on the Fed's decision is the stock market. We still have tomorrow and Wednesday morning for the stock market to tank. Today, the tanking process already began.

At one point today, the Dow was down almost 500 points. At its low it was down around 490. The NASDAQ, the bigger decliner was down almost 200 points intra day. Now the markets recouped some of those losses, so the NASDAQ only closed down 137 points; that's still a 1.84% drop. It's a big drop, not nearly as big as 200. The Dow was down 335. It's back in the red on the year. The Dow was down about 100 points so far this year. We're only about 800 Dow points above the closing low from March. I think we're more like maybe 1300 Dow points above the intra-day low in the U.S. session. But who knows? the market could tank tomorrow, we'll see, and then, is the Fed going to hike rates with the market tanking? Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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All Roads Lead to Stagflation – Ep 654

All Roads Lead to Stagflation – Ep 654

* Jobs data weak and revisions are worse. * Bond yields weighing heavy on gold prices. * Dollar gets clobbered by disappointing economic data. * Oil prices rising and going higher. * Increasing trade deficit will soon explode. * Kamala Harris and the Senate pass $1.9 trillion stimulus bill. * This is the first and probably smallest of many stimulus payments from Joe Biden. * Warren, Sanders, AOC pushing Biden for student loan forgiveness. * Bitcoin hodlers seem to be the only ones talking about inflation. Thanks Raycon!. Go To https://buyraycon.com/gold for 15% off your entire Raycon order. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Feb 202148min

When Neel Kashkari Speaks, Smart People Buy Gold – Ep 653

When Neel Kashkari Speaks, Smart People Buy Gold – Ep 653

* Quieter day in the markets with notable moves in oil. * Dollar consolidating before its next move lower. * Kashkari believes inflation is purely psychological. * Outsourcing will boom under Democrats. * New York is paying people to get COVID at “Covid Parties.” * Visa uses Bitcoin for cheap publicity, not for DeFi. Get 3 extra months free: https://ExpressVPN.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Feb 20211h 1min

Schiff Gold Becomes Schiff Silver – Ep 652

Schiff Gold Becomes Schiff Silver – Ep 652

* Big moves in silver outshine modest gains in gold. * Robinhood users are the product, not the customers. * Government regulators emboldened to act. * Watch out for the numismatic bait and switch from precious metals dealers. * Elon Musk and Ray Dalio don’t sound like Bitcoin buyers. * Elon Musk is wise not to throw pins while living in a bubble. Schedule your FREE Product Tour at NetSuite.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Feb 202147min

Reddit Raiders Ride Silver – Ep 651

Reddit Raiders Ride Silver – Ep 651

* All four major market indexes end the week down. * So goes January, so goes the year … so buckle up! * Hedge funds continue to take it in the shorts. * First Majestic Silver gets targeted. * Robinhood limits stock trading and puts halt on instant crypto buying. * The establishment does NOT want you to buy physical silver. * The establishment LOVES Bitcoin. * Elon Musk plays with his Twitter followers like puppets. Thanks Keeps. To receive your first month of treatment for free, go to https://keeps.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Jan 202142min

The Mother of All Short Squeezes is Yet to Come – Ep 650

The Mother of All Short Squeezes is Yet to Come – Ep 650

* Powell delivers most dovish press conference ever. * Anthony Scaramucci’s Skybridge… fund wins trophy for ridiculous bitcoin logic * GameStop proves Bitcoin can’t work. * Technicals starting to deteriorate on Bitcoin. * Bitcoin speculators have moved onto greener pastures.. * Big shorts in gold and silver could be squeezed next. Visit https://Audible.com/PETER or text PETER to 500-500 to start your free 30-day trial. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Jan 202155min

Is the Bitcoin Game about to Stop? – Ep 649

Is the Bitcoin Game about to Stop? – Ep 649

* Big gains in the most heavily shorted stocks like Game Stop. * Robinhood traders buying Game Stop think they’re smarter than the hedge funds shorting it.  * Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. * In the short-run, stocks are a voting machine. In the long-run, stocks are a weighing machine. * Price is what you pay. Value is what you get. * When it comes to bubbles, the markets first bankrupt everyone who bet against them, and then bankrupts everyone who bet on them. * Premium for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is collapsing along with the demand. * If you’re at the poker table and you don’t know who the patsy is, it’s you. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://Indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through March 31, 2021. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Jan 202149min

We Elected Biden But We Got Sanders – Ep 648

We Elected Biden But We Got Sanders – Ep 648

* Markets finish positive on a quiet week. * IBM’s chickens coming home to roost. * Gold positive on the week despite heavy pressure. * Biden’s executive orders bullish for gold fundamentals. * Chicago teachers don’t care about students. * Regulatory costs of Bitcoin will exceed traditional banking. * There is no shortage of Satoshis. Go to https://Bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

23 Jan 202153min

Biden Takes the Helm of Sinking Ship – Ep 647

Biden Takes the Helm of Sinking Ship – Ep 647

* Markets couldn’t care less who’s the president.  * Despite the change in the White House, there’s no change at the Federal Reserve. * Joe Biden is not everybody’s president. * Democrats made a deal with the devil. * The country will now suffer like never before. * Nothing Joe Biden wants to do is Constitutional. * This can is too big to kick down the road. Thanks Ladder Life Insurance. To lock in your best rate today and get your family covered with Ladder, go to https://www.ladderlife.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Jan 202140min

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