Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Tomorrow is the first of the Fed's 2-day Federal Open Market Committee Meeting, and it's going to be the first meeting where there is supposed to be a rate hike and a press conference for the new chairman, Jerome Powell. The markets are pretty much at 100% probability that the Fed is going to raise rates on Wednesday. What the markets are grappling with is whether or not the Fed will raise rates 4 times this year, or only 3.

Now, if they are going to raise them 4 times, it would mean they raised rates once per quarter. So they raise them in March, they raise them in June, they raise them in September and then they raise them again in December. Now, if they only do it 3 times, then, they pick one of these quarters where they don't do it. Most likely, if they only do 3 hikes, the hike they're going to skip is going to be the June hike. And, of course, if they skip the June hike, they're probably not going to hike in September or December, either because the economy will be much weaker by then, the U.S. stock market could be much lower. The fact is, I'm still not 100% sure that the Fed is going to hike on Wednesday.

I would agree that it is more likely than not that the Fed is going to hike, because they've been hiking interest rates all along. The Fed so far has not given any indication that they're not going to hike because they don't want to give up the ghost of this "vibrant recovery", where they need to raise rates because everything is going so well. But that whole narrative, that whole illusion seems to be fading very quickly. As a matter of fact, on Friday the Atlanta Fed's model for Q1 GDP went down another notch! They are now down to 1.8% for Q1 GDP. Now does it sound like the Fed should be rushing to hike rates when GDP growth for Q1 is only going to be 1.8%? Does that sound like an economy that is in danger of overheating? When they were at 5.4% 6 weeks ago or so and now they're down to 1.8% and falling? For all we know, we could end up being below 1%.

Does the Fed really want to add more downward pressure to an accelerating economy by raising interest rates? So far, everybody just assumes that they're going to hike rates. but we'll see. Another factor that may weigh on the Fed's decision is the stock market. We still have tomorrow and Wednesday morning for the stock market to tank. Today, the tanking process already began.

At one point today, the Dow was down almost 500 points. At its low it was down around 490. The NASDAQ, the bigger decliner was down almost 200 points intra day. Now the markets recouped some of those losses, so the NASDAQ only closed down 137 points; that's still a 1.84% drop. It's a big drop, not nearly as big as 200. The Dow was down 335. It's back in the red on the year. The Dow was down about 100 points so far this year. We're only about 800 Dow points above the closing low from March. I think we're more like maybe 1300 Dow points above the intra-day low in the U.S. session. But who knows? the market could tank tomorrow, we'll see, and then, is the Fed going to hike rates with the market tanking? Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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Trump Leaves America Further From Greatness Than Ever – Ep 646

Trump Leaves America Further From Greatness Than Ever – Ep 646

* I told you so. Donald is a one term President. * Trade deficit worse now than before we were “winning” trade deals. * Trump added almost as much to the deficit in 4 years as Obama did in 8. * Only thing Trump didn’t like about Obamacare was the name. * The cornerstone of Trump’s legacy and the cornerstone of Trump’s criticisms of Obama are the same. * Trump failed to make America great, but pretended that he succeeded. * To his credit, Trump didn’t lead us into any new wars and he nominated three good justices to the Supreme Court. Schedule your FREE Product Tour at https://www.netsuite.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Jan 202151min

Biden to Throw Drowning Economy an Anchor – Ep 645

Biden to Throw Drowning Economy an Anchor – Ep 645

* Power and ignorance is a dangerous combination. * Biden’s stimulus plan will make the European Union look responsible by comparison. * Affirm’s IPO epitomizes what’s wrong with markets and the economy. * Dollar denominated financial assets on expedited track to worthlessness. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://www.Indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Jan 202142min

Commodity Boom Evidences Inflation, Not Growth – Ep 644

Commodity Boom Evidences Inflation, Not Growth – Ep 644

* Agricultural commodities ore on fire. * Nobody needs bitcoin. * A market driven by inflation is different than a market driven by earnings. * Biden administration will exploit the attempted “insurrection” * Tech currying favor from Biden administration through conservative censorship. Get an extra 3 months. Expressvpn.com/gold. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Jan 202146min

Tesla vs. Bitcoin: The Battle of the Bubbles – Ep 643

Tesla vs. Bitcoin: The Battle of the Bubbles – Ep 643

* Gold and silver shellacked. * Jobs report worse than anyone expected. * Elon Musk becomes richest man in the world. * Chamath Palihapitiya’s poorly chosen quote may be an omen for things to come. * Bitcoin bubble brings bizarre bedfellows.  * Biden vows to put low-skilled workers out of work. Thanks Raycon! Go To https://buyraycon.com/gold for 15% off your entire Raycon order. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

9 Jan 20211h 5min

The Real Threat in D.C. Comes from Congress, Not Protests – Ep 642

The Real Threat in D.C. Comes from Congress, Not Protests – Ep 642

* Democrats bribe Georgia voters with cash. * Massive divergence between International stocks and domestic stocks. * Bitcoin is propping up the system that it’s supposed to take down. * Protesting a stolen election is a right. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

7 Jan 202151min

Did Global Financial Markets Just Decouple? – Ep 641

Did Global Financial Markets Just Decouple? – Ep 641

* Rare dichotomies playing out in the markets - something big is happening. * Dollar continues to fall against the Yuan. * Institutional money is flocking to real commodities, not Bitcoin. * Connecticut passes idiotic new law giving workers 3 month yearly vacations. Schedule your FREE Product Tour at NetSuite.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Jan 202153min

2021: The Year of The Chickens Coming Home to Roost – Ep 640

2021: The Year of The Chickens Coming Home to Roost – Ep 640

* Fed turned stock market into a casino. * Investors buying everything in sight with cheap money. * Trump ends term with biggest trade deficit and budget deficits in history. * Trump vetoes less bills than any other president in 100 years. * Race to the bottom will start when Fed starts bailing out state. * Tesla is better than Bitcoin. * Bitcoin is like the Emperor’s New Clothes. Thanks Keeps. To receive your first month of treatment for free, go to https://keeps.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

31 Dec 20201h 5min

Bitcoin May Feel the Ripple – Ep 639

Bitcoin May Feel the Ripple – Ep 639

* Trump grandstands over stimulus bill. * Ripple gets ripped. * Is Bitcoin also a security? * Biden will be bad for Bitcoin. * Greyscale gets clobbered. Go to https://Literati.com/Peter for 25% off your first 2 orders. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Dec 202050min

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