Storage Report Day

Storage Report Day

Thursday, May 14, 2026. EIA Natural Gas Storage Report released 10:30 AM ET (week ending May 8). Henry Hub $2.74 (up from $2.66). Consensus forecast +86 Bcf injection, projected inventory ~2,291 Bcf. Latest (week ending May 1): 2,205 Bcf (+63 Bcf), +75 Bcf YoY, +139 Bcf vs. 5-yr avg. Storage in surplus, injection season ongoing, ample inventories pressuring prices. Demand strong, refinery utilization high, LNG exports running. WTI $101.56-$101.68, Strong Buy across MAs (11 Buy signals), RSI 52.67 (neutral), MACD -0.01 (slight bearish divergence), STOCH 57.5 (bullish). Pivot 101.47, support 101.37/101.26/101.16, resistance 101.58/101.68/101.79. Geopolitical: Negotiations stalled, Iran rejected US proposal as "totally unacceptable," Trump considering reviving Project Freedom as part of broader operation, security team met to discuss options (Project Freedom escorts, airstrikes on 25% remaining Iranian targets, Israeli uranium raid), US Treasury sanctioned 3 individuals and 9 entities linked to Iran, Netanyahu held security cabinet, Israel ready to resume attacks anytime. Ceasefire on life support, diplomacy faltering. Escalation scenario: crude $120-150, gas $4.50+. Deal scenario: crude $70-80, gas $2.50-2.75. Capital preservation first.

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Geographic Spotlight: Ecuador

Geographic Spotlight: Ecuador

Friday, July 3, 2026. GEOGRAPHIC SPOTLIGHT: ECUADOR. CURRENT PRODUCTION LEVELS: Ecuador's crude oil production averaged ~461,000-466,000 bbl/d Jan-Feb 2026. Daily lifts reported ~452,817-458,207 bbl/d...

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Geographic Spotlight: Belarus

Geographic Spotlight: Belarus

Thursday, July 2, 2026. GEOGRAPHIC SPOTLIGHT: BELARUS. PRODUCTION OVERVIEW: Belarus produced ~25,000 bbl/d early 2026 (well below historical avg 33,650 bbl/d since 1993). Production reached 30-year hi...

2 Juli 2min

Strategic Positioning: Week 27 Midweek Update

Strategic Positioning: Week 27 Midweek Update

Wednesday, July 1, 2026. WEEK 27 MIDWEEK UPDATE. WTI crude oil trading ~$69.98-$70.42. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released today (covering week ending Jun 26, 2026). CRUDE OIL INVENTORY UPDATE...

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Technicals: Week 27

Technicals: Week 27

Tuesday, June 30, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS: WTI trading near $70. Recent closes ~$70.04-$70.42. Intraday range $69-$71 area. KEY LEVELS: Psychological support zone $70 (key round-number level). Imme...

30 Juni 2min

Doha Talks Resume

Doha Talks Resume

Monday, June 29, 2026. WEEK 27 OPENS. WTI crude oil opened at $70.50. Recent session range high $70.97, low $69.32. Prior close Jun 26 $69.23. Latest quotes ~$69.95-$70.21 (up slightly from Friday clo...

29 Juni 2min

Weekly Recap: Week 26 Complete

Weekly Recap: Week 26 Complete

Friday, June 26, 2026. WEEK 26 COMPLETE. Twenty-six weeks running. The thesis delivers again. CRUDE OIL RECAP: Monday opened $74.82 (deal live, Hormuz open, geopolitical premium intact). Tuesday techn...

26 Juni 2min

Crude Breaks $70

Crude Breaks $70

Thursday, June 25, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE: WTI trading $69.20-$69.36 (down 1.4-1.7% from prior close ~$70.34). Daily range ~$69.01-$70.23. August 2026 contract ~$69.66. Recent performance down ~26% pa...

25 Juni 2min

EIA Inventory Report: Draws Continue

EIA Inventory Report: Draws Continue

Wednesday, June 24, 2026. EIA CRUDE OIL INVENTORY REPORT RELEASED TODAY. Week ending June 19. Released June 24 at 10:30 AM ET. MOST RECENT DATA: EIA report released Jun 17 for week ending Jun 12: Comm...

24 Juni 2min

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