All-Time Highs. Record Complacency | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next
The OPEX Effect14 Juli 2025

All-Time Highs. Record Complacency | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next

Markets are sitting at all-time highs, but under the surface, the options market is flashing signs of extreme positioning. In this episode, Brent Kochuba of SpotGamma returns to break down the latest options expiration cycle and what it could mean for stocks going forward.

We discuss why record call buying, minimal hedging, and low implied volatility are creating a potentially fragile setup — and why upcoming events like CPI, VIX expiration, and tariffs could act as catalysts. Whether you're a long-term investor or a short-term trader, this conversation offers a deeper look at how positioning, dealer flows, and volatility pricing impact market behavior.

Topics covered include:

  • Why extreme call skew signals crowding

  • The importance of gamma, vanna, and charm

  • How options flows can drive short-term market moves

  • The "window of weakness" around OPEX and VIX expiration

  • The role of tariffs, CPI, and macro catalysts in this setup

  • Tactical implications for investors and traders


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Avsnitt(36)

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This episode breaks down the growing tension beneath the surface of today’s markets, where volatility signals, options positioning, and macro risks like war and inflation are increasingly misaligned. ...

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