Ernie Tedeschi on Full Employment, the US Safe Harbor Premium, and the Current Path of R-Star

Ernie Tedeschi on Full Employment, the US Safe Harbor Premium, and the Current Path of R-Star

Ernie Tedeschi is the Director of Economics at the Budget Lab and is a visiting fellow at the Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy. Recently, Ernie was a chief economist at the White House's Council of Economic Advisors, and he is also a returning guest to the podcast. Ernie rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the CEA and some of his recent work on the political risks to the US safe harbor premium and R-star. David and Ernie also discuss the benefits and healing properties of a high employment economy, Ernie's favorite measures of the labor market, the current and past trends in the path of R-Star, and more.

Transcript for this week's episode.

Ernie's Twitter: @ernietedeschi

Ernie's Budget Lab profile

David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!

Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!

Join the Macro Musings mailing list!

Check out our Macro Musings merch!

Related Links:

*Political Risks to the U.S. Safe Harbor Premium* by Ernie Tedeschi

*Recent Movements in [R-star]: The Most Important Interest Rate That You have Never Heard Of* by Ernie Tedeschi

*The 2024 Economic Report of the President* by the White House Council of Economic Advisers

*The Fed Governor Who Proved Larry Summers Wrong* by Nick Timiraos

*Summers, Blanchard Say Waller's 'Soft-Landing' Paper Has Errors* by Craig Torres

Timestamps:

(00:00:00) – Intro

(00:01:49) – Ernie's Experience at the CEA

(00:09:15) – The Benefits and Healing Properties of a High Employment Economy

(00:15:28) – Ernie's Favorite Measures of the Labor Market

(00:20:17) – The Broader Debate Surrounding Labor Market Measures

(00:24:07) – The Basics of a US Safe Harbor Premium

(00:28:56) – Political Risk vs. Exorbitant Privilege

(00:33:46) – Debt Ceiling Crises as a Political Risk Scenario

(00:37:01) – Fiscal Dominance as a Political Risk Scenario

(00:43:25) – Outlining the Distinction Between Different R-Stars

(00:48:39) – Past and Current Trends in the Path of R-Stars

(00:54:46) – Assessing the Sources of High Productivity

(00:58:22) – Outro

Avsnitt(543)

Aditi Sahasrabuddhe on the Role Central Banker Relationships Play in Economic Crises

Aditi Sahasrabuddhe on the Role Central Banker Relationships Play in Economic Crises

Aditi Sahasrabuddhe is a political scientist at Brown University and the author of the new book, Banker's Trust: How Social Relations Avert Global Financial Collapse. In Aditi's first appearance on th...

18 Aug 202559min

Will Luther and Josh Hendrickson on the Future of Bitcoin

Will Luther and Josh Hendrickson on the Future of Bitcoin

Will Luther is an associate professor of economics at Florida Atlantic University and a fellow at the Bitcoin Policy Institute. Josh Hendrickson is a professor of economics and the chair of the econom...

11 Aug 202551min

Rashad Ahmed on the Global Impact of US Stablecoin Regulation and Crypto Adoption

Rashad Ahmed on the Global Impact of US Stablecoin Regulation and Crypto Adoption

Rashad Ahmed is a former Treasury and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency financial economist and is currently an economist at the upstart Andresen Institute for Finance and Economics. In Rashad...

4 Aug 202557min

Paul Kupiec on Problems with the Fed's Balance Sheet and Calls to End Interest on Reserves

Paul Kupiec on Problems with the Fed's Balance Sheet and Calls to End Interest on Reserves

Paul Kupiec is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. In Paul's first appearance on the show, he discusses life at a think tank, the insolvency of the Fed, theories on how to fix the Fe...

28 Juli 202550min

George Hall on the Fiscal Consequences of the US War on COVID

George Hall on the Fiscal Consequences of the US War on COVID

Check out David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus for a special 500th episode post! George Hall is a professor of economics at Brandeis University and formerly worked as an economist at the Chic...

21 Juli 202552min

Ben Harris on the Fiscal Health of the US Government

Ben Harris on the Fiscal Health of the US Government

Ben Harris served in numerous high-ranking roles as a public sector economist and is now the vice president and director of economic studies at the Brooking Institution. In Ben's first appearance on t...

14 Juli 202555min

Luis Garicano on the Future of Digital Money and Lessons Learned from the History of the Euro

Luis Garicano on the Future of Digital Money and Lessons Learned from the History of the Euro

Luis Garicano is a former member of the European Parliament and a professor at the London School of Economics. In Luis's first appearance on the show he discusses his new book, Crisis Cycle: Challenge...

7 Juli 202556min

Mark Blyth on the Winners and Losers from Inflation

Mark Blyth on the Winners and Losers from Inflation

Mark Blyth is a professor of international economics at Brown University. In Mark's first appearance on the show, he discusses his new book Inflation: A Guide for Users and Losers, the concept of angr...

30 Juni 20251h 2min

Populärt inom Business & ekonomi

framgangspodden
badfluence
varvet
rss-jossan-nina
rss-borsens-finest
rss-svart-marknad
uppgang-och-fall
rss-dagen-med-di
rss-inga-dumma-fragor-om-pengar
lastbilspodden
fill-or-kill
borsmorgon
avanzapodden
bilar-med-sladd
tabberaset
bathina-en-podcast
rss-veckans-trade
kvalitetsaktiepodden
rss-kort-lang-analyspodden-fran-di
svd-tech-brief