James Bullard on FAIT, Nominal GDP Targeting, and the Fed's Upcoming Framework Review

James Bullard on FAIT, Nominal GDP Targeting, and the Fed's Upcoming Framework Review

James Bullard was the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis from 2008 to 2023, and he is currently the dean of the Mitchell E. Daniels Jr. School of Business at Purdue University. James is also a previous guest of the show, and he rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about his time at the Fed, FAIT, and the upcoming Fed framework review. Specifically, James and David also discuss how to improve the FOMC's economic reporting, the case for implementing nominal GDP targeting, the future of R-star, and much more.

Transcript for this week's episode.

James's St. Louis Fed bio

James's Purdue University profile

David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

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Related Links:

*R-Star Wars: The Phantom Menace* - A presentation by James Bullard at the 34th Annual National Association for Business Economics (NABE) Economic Policy Conference

*Demand Shocks as Technology Shocks* by Yan Bai, Jose-Victor Rios-Rull, and Kjetil Storesletten

Timestamps:

(00:00:00) – Intro

(00:03:10) – Defining the St. Louis Fed and Bullard's Fed Tenure

(00:09:58) – Comparing FAIT and Nominal GDP Targeting

(00:15:55) – Assessing the Current FAIT Framework

(00:25:37) – Evaluating the Recent V-Shaped Recovery

(00:29:28) – What to Expect from the Upcoming Fed Framework Review

(00:33:31) – Improving the FOMC's Economic Reporting

(00:37:46) – The Case for Nominal GDP Targeting

(00:50:24) – The Future of R-Star

(00:53:52) – Outro

Avsnitt(534)

BONUS - Brian Goff on Sports Economics

BONUS - Brian Goff on Sports Economics

Brian Goff is the distinguished professor of economics at the Gordon Ford College of Business at Western Kentucky University. He is the author of the Econosports blog at Forbes and most recently the author of a new book titled, *Sports Economics Uncut*. Brian joins the show today to talk about the economics behind professional and collegiate sports across the United States. David and Brian also discuss stadium subsidies, the relationship between salary caps and dynasties, and why there may need to be serious reform at the collegiate sports level. Brian's blog: https://www.forbes.com/sites/briangoff/#393eb9d01647 Brian's WKU profile: https://www.wku.edu/economics/staff/brian_goff Related Links: *Sports Economics Uncut* by Brian Goff https://www.e-elgar.com/shop/sports-economics-uncut *eBooks link: https://www.ebooks.com/96329982/sports-economics-uncut/goff-brian/ *Football Still Americans' Favorite Sport to Watch* by Jim Norman https://news.gallup.com/poll/224864/football-americans-favorite-sport-watch.aspx *Happy 10th Birthday to the Most-Subsidized NFL Stadium in America* by Anne Philpot and Michael Farren https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/happy-10th-birthday-most-subsidized-nfl-stadium-america David's blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

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138 – Felix Salmon on Charitable Giving and Sovereign Debt

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24 Dec 20181h 1min

137 – Matt Mitchell on Rent-Seeking and Public Choice

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17 Dec 201856min

136 – Josh Galper on LIBOR, Overnight Lending, and the Lehman Brothers Collapse

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10 Dec 201850min

135 – Victoria Guida on Financial Regulation, Jay Powell, and Recent Fed Appointments

135 – Victoria Guida on Financial Regulation, Jay Powell, and Recent Fed Appointments

Victoria Guida is a reporter for Politico where she covers monetary policy and financial regulation, including extensive coverage of the Federal Reserve, the FDIC, the Treasury Department, and Congress. She joins the show today to talk about some of the big developments in monetary policy and financial regulation over the past few years and what kind of policy changes may be on the horizon. David and Victoria also discuss the Financial CHOICE Act, the accomplishments and failures of the current lame duck Congress, and what to expect from the new appointees at the Fed. Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/12032018/victoria-guida-politics-monetary-policy Victoria's Twitter: @vtg2 Victoria's Politico profile: https://www.politico.com/staff/victoria-guida Related Links: *Big Banks, Feeling Unloved in Trump's Washington, Shake Up Lobbying* by Zachary Warmbrodt https://www.politico.com/story/2018/07/09/banks-lobbying-donald-trump-669706 *A Bank's Activities, Not Its Assets, Should Decide Regulatory Status* by Thomas Hoenig https://www.americanbanker.com/opinion/a-banks-activities-not-its-assets-should-decide-regulatory-status David's blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

3 Dec 201859min

134 – Neil Irwin on the Invisible Recession, Monetary Regimes, and the Current Issues Facing the Fed

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Neil Irwin is a senior economics correspondent for the New York Times and was formerly a columnist at the Washington Post. He is the author of the book, *The Alchemist: Three Central Bankers and a World on Fire*, and he joins the show today to talk about his work as an economics correspondent. David and Neil also discuss the invisible recession of 2016, how monopsony power affects labor market wage setting, and the political fallout from the Great Recession. Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/11262018/economic-journalism-recession-economics-and-international-monetary-policies Neil's Twitter: @Neil_Irwin Neil's New York Times profile: https://www.nytimes.com/by/neil-irwin Related Links: *The Alchemists: Three Central Bankers and a World on Fire* by Neil Irwin https://www.amazon.com/Alchemists-Three-Central-Bankers-World/dp/0143124994 *The Policymakers Saved the Financial System. And America Never Forgave Them* by Neil Irwin https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/12/upshot/financial-crisis-recession-recovery.html *The Most Important Least Noticed Economic Event of the Decade* by Neil Irwin https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/29/upshot/mini-recession-2016-little-known-big-impact.html *Are Superstar Firms and Amazon Effects Reshaping the Economy?* by Neil Irwin https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/25/upshot/big-corporations-influence-economy-central-bank.html *Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold?* https://www.nber.org/papers/w23134.pdf *What Recovery? The Case for Continued Expansionary Policy at the Fed* by J.W. Mason http://rooseveltinstitute.org/what-recovery/ David's blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

26 Nov 201856min

133 – Adam Ozimek on Population Growth,  Declining Business Dynamism and Fed Policy

133 – Adam Ozimek on Population Growth, Declining Business Dynamism and Fed Policy

Adam Ozimek is a senior economist at Moody's Analytics where he covers U.S. labor markets and demographics while actively blogging and tweeting about a wide range economic issues. He joins the show today to discuss mistakes in Fed policy and demographics. David and Adam also discuss the role demand played in the Great Recession, the link between population growth and inflation, and why the economy is experiencing weak productivity growth. Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/11192018/adam-ozimek-inflation-migration-and-productivity Adam's Twitter: @ModeledBehavior Adam's blog: https://www.economy.com/dismal/analysis/datapoints Adam's website: https://www.adamozimek.com Related Links: If you would like access to *The Fed's Mistake*, you can email Adam at Adam.Ozimek@moodys.com to request the paper. *Population Growth and Inflation* by Adam Ozimek https://www.economy.com/getlocal?q=a7c139c0-2b8c-4abf-9b65-bd8b11392939&app=eccafile *Declining Business Dynamism in the United States: A Look at States and Metros* by Ian Hathaway and Robert Litan https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/declining_business_dynamism_hathaway_litan.pdf *The role of Entrepreneurship in US Job Creation and Economic Dynamism* by Ryan Decker et. al http://econweb.umd.edu/~haltiwan/JEP_DHJM.pdf *The Migration Accelerator: Labor Mobility, Housing, and Aggregate Demand* by Greg Howard http://economics.mit.edu/files/12236 *Aging and the Productivity Puzzle* by Mark Zandi, Adam Ozimek, and Dante DeAntonio https://www.economy.com/dismal/analysis/commentary/300374/Aging-and-the-Productivity-Puzzle/ David's blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

19 Nov 201859min

132 – Scott Sumner on the Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy, Ten Years Later after the Crisis

132 – Scott Sumner on the Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy, Ten Years Later after the Crisis

This week, Scott Sumner joins David Beckworth at the University of Texas at Austin for the Financial Crisis Symposium: "Ten Years Later: What Does the Data Say?" hosted by the Center for Enterprise and Policy Analytics at the McCombs School of Business. In this special live episode, Scott offers his thoughts on what the data tells us about the 2008 Financial Crisis from a monetary policy perspective. David and Scott also discuss using markets to guide monetary policy, why the Fed should conduct retrospective analyses, why we may want to replicate Australian monetary policy, and more. Transcript to this week's episode Scott's Mercatus profile Scott's blog Related Links: *Pause Interest-Rate Hikes to Help the Labor Force Grow* by Neel Kashkari David's blog David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Audio recording provided by the LAITS Audio Development Studio at the University of Texas at Austin

12 Nov 20181h 8min

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