Nate Silver: Underdog Story

Nate Silver: Underdog Story

Kamala is now the star of a story involving a woman called into duty at a moment of crisis with a sitcom dad as a running mate—and Trump can see the danger. Nate Silver joins Tim Miller to explain what his polling model is showing. Plus, the survivorship bias of Elon-world risk takers, and good, old gambling tips. Your weekend pod.
show notes:

Nate's new book, "On the Edge The Art of Risking Everything," out Tuesday
Tim making the "conservative case" for Kamala
Tim's playlist

Avsnitt(500)

Tom Schaller and Paul Waldman: White Rural Rage

Tom Schaller and Paul Waldman: White Rural Rage

Rural white voters wield outsized power in our democracy, yet they are also more likely to support violence as a political tool—and to hold antidemocratic views. Meanwhile, rural whites enjoy the perk of being seen as the "real" Americans. Waldman and Schaller join Tim Miller for the weekend pod. show notes: Tom and Paul's book Tim’s Playlist

22 Mars 202444min

Jake Tapper: American Scandal

Jake Tapper: American Scandal

It used to be that politicians who had affairs, took bribes, and paid people off lost their office or lost their base. Tapper joins Tim to discuss his CNN series, "United States of Scandal," as well as his role in freeing a wrongly convicted man. Plus, rising antisemitism on the left and right. show notes: https://www.cnn.com/videos/title-2411812 https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/03/cj-rice-philadelphia-exonerated/677787/ Fundraiser for C.J. Rice

21 Mars 202440min

Stephen Hayes: Grading Biden

Stephen Hayes: Grading Biden

A recent editorial in The Dispatch rejected both Trump and Biden as acceptable choices in 2024. Tim takes strong exception to that position, arguing it's a danger to democracy. Today, a debate between Steve and Tim over how to handle the choice in this year's election. Plus, an agreement on spending. show notes: The Dispatch editorial on the Trump-Biden rematch Matt Yglesias on spending

20 Mars 20241h 4min

Susan Glasser: An Edifice of Lies

Susan Glasser: An Edifice of Lies

Trump's 2024 lies are not just the familiar ones about a 'rigged election' and 'Sleepy Joe.' He's also unleashing a flood of untruths about Biden and his record that gets filtered through the media mill and reduced to background noise. Plus, Putin's Potemkin victory. Glasser joins Tim today. show notes: Susan's most recent column

19 Mars 202437min

Bill Kristol and Ben Wittes: A Subversive Enterprise

Bill Kristol and Ben Wittes: A Subversive Enterprise

Trump stands and salutes the  insurrectionists during the national anthem, and may rehire the treasonous Paul Manafort to help out in '24. Plus, the dust settles on the Fani Willis' prosecution in Georgia, and Aileen Cannon seriously entertains Trump's absurd claim in the docs case. Kristol and Wittes join Tim.

18 Mars 202443min

Amanda Carpenter: Is Trump Depressed?

Amanda Carpenter: Is Trump Depressed?

He lost, he's low on campaign cash, and he's juggling criminal court dates. Are the bad things he says about America a projection of how he feels about himself? Plus, Candace's crazy new crazy conspiracy, MAGA nuts in swing states, and the most alarming threat from a Trump 2.0. Amanda joins Tim for the weekend pod. show notes https://www.authoritarianplaybook2025.org/

15 Mars 202444min

Josh Barro: Dear Fed, Please Lower Interest Rates

Josh Barro: Dear Fed, Please Lower Interest Rates

One of the biggest reasons voters are not happier about the economy is because interest rates are much higher than they were few years ago. Plus, publicity-hound RFK Jr's self-own, more from the mailbag, and should Sotomayor retire this year? Barro joins Tim today. show notes Josh arguing for Sotomayor's retirement ABC News story Tim mentioned

14 Mars 202449min

Sasha Issenberg: Politics, Disinformation, and 2024

Sasha Issenberg: Politics, Disinformation, and 2024

In 2016, the Trump campaign used microtargeting to suppress the Clinton vote. Since then, digital malfeasance has become the dominant subplot in our politics. How did the Biden team respond to 'Sleepy Joe' and 'Creepy Joe' in 2020, and what's the game plan for viral disinfo in '24? Issenberg joins Tim today. show notes By Sasha: The Lie Detectives The Engagement

13 Mars 202448min

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