065 - Survivorship Bias (rebroadcast)

065 - Survivorship Bias (rebroadcast)

The problem with sorting out failures and successes is that failures are often muted, destroyed, or somehow removed from sight while successes are left behind, weighting your decisions and perceptions, tilting your view of the world.

That means to be successful you must learn how to seek out what is missing. You must learn what not to do. Unfortunately, survivorship bias stands between you and the epiphanies you seek.

To learn how to combat this pernicious bias, we explore the story of Abraham Wald and the Department of War Math founded during World War II.

Patreon: http://patreon.com/youarenotsosmart


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Avsnitt(335)

024 - Sleep - Richard Wiseman

024 - Sleep - Richard Wiseman

Why do we sleep and why do we dream? Despite the fact that every human being spends roughly 1/3 of his or her life asleep, science has yet to crack the mystery of the phenomenon. Why do we sleep and d...

24 Maj 20141h 6min

023 - Inbetweenisode 4 - The Illusion of Asymmetric Insight

023 - Inbetweenisode 4 - The Illusion of Asymmetric Insight

In the 1950s, in an effort to better understand group conflict, a team of psychologists nearly turned a summer camp into Lord of The Flies. The story of how and why it was so easy to turn normal boys...

7 Maj 201426min

022 - Survivorship Bias - Megan Price

022 - Survivorship Bias - Megan Price

The problem with sorting out failures and successes is that failures are often muted, destroyed, or somehow removed from view while successes are left behind, weighting your decisions and perceptions,...

24 Apr 20141h 16min

021 - Inbetweenisode 3 - Christina Draganich

021 - Inbetweenisode 3 - Christina Draganich

In this inbetweenisode, Christina Draganich explains how she came up with the idea to research placebo sleep, and she tells us how anyone with the right guidance can use science to expand our understa...

3 Apr 201435min

020 - The Future - James Burke and Matt Novak

020 - The Future - James Burke and Matt Novak

If you love educational entertainment – programs about science, nature, history, technology and everything in between – it is a safe bet that the creators of those shows were heavily influenced by the...

17 Mars 20141h 14min

019 - The Placebo Effect - Kristi Erdal

019 - The Placebo Effect - Kristi Erdal

How powerful is the placebo effect? After a good night’s sleep could a scientist convince you that you had tossed and turned, and if so, how would that affect your perceptions and behavior? What if a ...

1 Mars 20141h 10min

018 - Inbetweenisode - The Benjamin Franklin Effect

018 - Inbetweenisode - The Benjamin Franklin Effect

Benjamin Franklin knew how to deal with haters, and in this episode we learn how he turned his haters into fans with what is now called The Benjamin Franklin Effect. Listen as David McRaney reads an ...

19 Feb 201428min

016 - Conspiracy Theories - Steven Novella and Jesse Walker

016 - Conspiracy Theories - Steven Novella and Jesse Walker

Who is pulling the strings? Who is behind the coverup? Who holds the real power, and what do they want? How deep does the conspiracy to control your mind go? In this episode we discuss the history, s...

16 Jan 201458min

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