Why Is It So Hard to Predict the Next Great Quarterback?

Why Is It So Hard to Predict the Next Great Quarterback?

This week we have the NFL draft, which is an annual exercise in failure. Every year, some NFL team makes a disastrous quarterback decision but also overlooks a potential star. Why is it so damn hard to predict QB play in football? Are scouts stupid, or is the future just unknowable, or is hiring fundamentally chaotic, or is there something specific about quarterbacking that makes it uniquely difficult to forecast? The economist David Berri joins to share his research on why scouts are terrible at evaluating quarterbacks. His ideas shed light on larger questions like "What is talent, exactly?" and "Does anybody know what they're doing when they're hiring somebody for a new role?" Host: Derek Thompson Guest: David Berri Producer: Devon Manze Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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The Four Ways That the Iran War Could End

The Four Ways That the Iran War Could End

Dramatic regime change. Moderate regime evolution. A calamitous regional conflict. Or … no change at all. Today we consider how the Iran conflict might evolve following the killing of Supreme Leader K...

3 Mars 55min

How Metrics Make Us Miserable

How Metrics Make Us Miserable

The modern world swims in numbers: work metrics, fitness metrics, health metrics, social media metrics. Sometimes the quantification of life can make things better. But very often, I think they force ...

27 Feb 1h 3min

The Future of GLP-1 Drugs and AI Medicine, With Eli Lilly CEO David Ricks

The Future of GLP-1 Drugs and AI Medicine, With Eli Lilly CEO David Ricks

The GLP-1 drug revolution has taken the medicine world by storm. I’ve done several episodes on the science of GLP-1s. But we’ve never done an episode like this before, where we talk to one of the most...

24 Feb 1h 7min

The Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Tariffs. Now What?

The Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Tariffs. Now What?

Donald Trump suffered a huge blow Friday when the Supreme Court struck down the centerpiece of his economic policy: his vast system of tariffs. So, what happens now? Harvard’s Jason Furman explains th...

21 Feb 41min

The Media Theory That Explains “99% of Everything”

The Media Theory That Explains “99% of Everything”

In the mid-20th century, a group of media and communications scholars proposed that the shift from spoken to written language—from orality to literacy—transformed our politics, our media, our social r...

17 Feb 1h 3min

"America Isn’t Ready for What AI Will Do to Jobs"

"America Isn’t Ready for What AI Will Do to Jobs"

In his epic cover story for The Atlantic this month, staff writer Josh Tyrangiel spoke to dozens of economists, workers, tech CEOs, and AI experts about the danger that artificial intelligence might p...

13 Feb 1h 6min

The Meltdown at The Washington Post—and the Crisis in News

The Meltdown at The Washington Post—and the Crisis in News

Hello! I’m back from paternity leave just in time to talk about the biggest media earthquake of the year (so far): the Washington Post meltdown. For decades, the Post was a journalistic gem with super...

11 Feb 1h 11min

Plain English BEST OF: What’s the Matter With America’s Food?

Plain English BEST OF: What’s the Matter With America’s Food?

Throughout December and January, we’ve been re-airing some of our favorite episodes of the past year and beyond, and today's episode marks the end of our "best of" series for this year! This list incl...

3 Feb 52min

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