Why Is It So Hard to Predict the Next Great Quarterback?

Why Is It So Hard to Predict the Next Great Quarterback?

This week we have the NFL draft, which is an annual exercise in failure. Every year, some NFL team makes a disastrous quarterback decision but also overlooks a potential star. Why is it so damn hard to predict QB play in football? Are scouts stupid, or is the future just unknowable, or is hiring fundamentally chaotic, or is there something specific about quarterbacking that makes it uniquely difficult to forecast? The economist David Berri joins to share his research on why scouts are terrible at evaluating quarterbacks. His ideas shed light on larger questions like "What is talent, exactly?" and "Does anybody know what they're doing when they're hiring somebody for a new role?" Host: Derek Thompson Guest: David Berri Producer: Devon Manze Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Avsnitt(384)

The Most Exciting Month of Medical Breakthroughs in Years

The Most Exciting Month of Medical Breakthroughs in Years

For years, scientists worried that medical progress was slowing down. Drug development became more expensive than ever with more complex clinical trials, and even then, many new treatments offered onl...

16 Juni 59min

Old-igarchy: How the Elderly Conquered American Power

Old-igarchy: How the Elderly Conquered American Power

Prior to the 1930s, old age in America often meant poverty. But thanks to Social Security, Medicare, medical advances, and rising asset prices, over the past 90 years, older Americans have become one ...

12 Juni 1h 1min

How Modern Fatherhood Is Changing Men’s Brains

How Modern Fatherhood Is Changing Men’s Brains

Humans are unusual dads. Across the animal kingdom, dads are often absent from child-rearing altogether. But among humans, fatherhood takes many forms, and in the last half century, it has changed dra...

9 Juni 1h 4min

What 400,000 Essays Reveal About AI and Creativity

What 400,000 Essays Reveal About AI and Creativity

For generations, we've defined creativity by its products: the novel, the painting, the song, the breakthrough idea. We look at the work, and from the work we see the creator as “creative.” But AI is ...

5 Juni 56min

The Surprising Truth About America's Friendship Crisis

The Surprising Truth About America's Friendship Crisis

Modern loneliness is often treated as a simple problem: People are simply spending more time alone. But what if that's not the whole story? Over the last several years, Derek has written about workism...

2 Juni 58min

Why the NBA Feels Broken—and Why the League Can’t Fix It

Why the NBA Feels Broken—and Why the League Can’t Fix It

The NBA’s vibes have been unusually awful recently. There has been widespread hand-wringing about the homogenization of modern offenses and the league’s notoriously weak regular-season TV ratings. A t...

29 Maj 57min

The Men Who Think Toxic Feminism Destroyed America

The Men Who Think Toxic Feminism Destroyed America

Over the past century, attitudes about gender roles have become one of the clearest dividing lines in the country. Many Republicans, both men and women, say men are getting a raw deal in modern Americ...

22 Maj 59min

Does Anybody Know How to Solve an American Debt Crisis?

Does Anybody Know How to Solve an American Debt Crisis?

On his 40th birthday, Derek Thompson takes a step back and looks at how his thinking on the national debt has changed. Back when he first covered fiscal policy, concern about government borrowing was ...

19 Maj 1h 1min

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