BG2 Thanksgiving Roundtable: DOGE, EV Tax Credit, Tariffs, Conspiracy Theories, Invest America

BG2 Thanksgiving Roundtable: DOGE, EV Tax Credit, Tariffs, Conspiracy Theories, Invest America

Open Source bi-weekly convo w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalism. This week they get in the Thanksgiving spirit, and discuss China, DOGE, Governor Newsom’s EV Tax Credit, Service Titan IPO, FedNow, Tariffs, Anthropic Open Source, Warren Buffet’s Thanksgiving letter, Conspiracy Theories, Invest America, & more. Enjoy another episode of BG2.


Timestamps:

(00:00) Intro

(01:40) Innovation in China & U.S. Competitiveness

(05:43) DOGE & Balancing the Budget

(10:43) Service Titan IPO & “Compounding Ratchet”

(15:36) Gov Newsom Attack on Tesla

(18:33) FedNow + Innovations in Payment Systems

(23:44) Tariffs as Negotiation Tactics

(27:36) Anthropic Open Source AI

(30:39) Warren Buffett's Philanthropy

(40:06) Invest America


Produced by Benny Beausoleil

Music by Yung Spielberg


Available on Apple, Spotify, www.bg2pod.com


Follow:

Brad Gerstner @altcap

Bill Gurley @bgurley

BG2 Pod @bg2pod https://x.com/BG2Pod


#BillGurley #BradGerstner #Bg2Pod

Avsnitt(41)

Ep9. GPT-4o, Astra, Multi Modal, China Tariffs, Tech Earnings | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

Ep9. GPT-4o, Astra, Multi Modal, China Tariffs, Tech Earnings | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

Open Source bi-weekly convo w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalism. This week, they discuss OpenAI ChatGPT-4o, Astra, Consumer AI, Enterprise AI, China Tariffs, Trade Regulation, the tech markets, and more. Enjoy another episode of Bg2. Timestamps: (00:00) Intro (00:40) Open AI Launches GPT-4 Omni (10:29) Chat GPT-4o Benchmarks (14:11) Voice as the New GUI (20:01) Breakout Power of ChatGPT (22:09) Consumer AI vs Enterprise AI Landscape (27:51) AI Disruption (35:45) Regulation & Industrial Policy (43:47) China Tariffs (53:15) Tech Market Check Available on Apple, Spotify, www.bg2pod.com Follow: Brad Gerstner @altcap https://x.com/altcap  Bill Gurley @bgurley https://x.com/bgurley  BG2 Pod @bg2pod https://x.com/BG2Pod #BillGurley #BradGerstner #Bg2Pod

16 Maj 20241h 1min

Ep8. AI Models, Data Scaling, Enterprise & Personal AI | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

Ep8. AI Models, Data Scaling, Enterprise & Personal AI | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

Open Source bi-weekly convo w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalism. This week, joined by Sunny Madra (Head of Groq Cloud) they discuss AI Models, Data Scaling, Enterpise AI, Personal AI, the tech markets, and more. Enjoy another episode of Bg2. Timestamps: (00:00) Intro (01:10) $META Llama 3 (20:40) Enterprise AI (36:50) Personal AI (50:07) $TSLA Earnings Call & Rideshare (52:10) Tech Check Available on Apple, Spotify, www.bg2pod.com Follow: Brad Gerstner @altcap https://x.com/altcap Bill Gurley @bgurley https://x.com/bgurley Sunny Madra @sundeep https://x.com/sundeep BG2 Pod @bg2pod https://x.com/BG2Pod

29 Apr 20241h 5min

Ep7. The Great IPO Debate, Tesla Robotaxi vs. Uber, & Tech Check | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

Ep7. The Great IPO Debate, Tesla Robotaxi vs. Uber, & Tech Check | BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner

Open Source bi-weekly convo w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalism. This week, they discuss The Great IPO Debate, Tesla Robotaxi vs. Uber, and a Tech Check. Enjoy another episode of Bg2. Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction + Eclipse (01:56) The Great IPO Debate (41:33) Tesla Robotaxi vs. Uber (01:10:27) Market Check Available on Apple, Spotify, www.bg2pod.com Follow: Brad Gerstner @altcap https://twitter.com/altcap  Bill Gurley @bgurley https://twitter.com/bgurley  BG2 Pod @bg2pod https://twitter.com/BG2Pod #BillGurley #BradGerstner #Bg2Pod

18 Apr 20241h 18min

Ep6. AI Demand / Supply - Models, Agents, the $2T Compute Build Out, Need for More Nuclear & More

Ep6. AI Demand / Supply - Models, Agents, the $2T Compute Build Out, Need for More Nuclear & More

Open Source bi-weekly convo w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalism. This week, they discuss the challenge of forecasting the AI Supercycle, Stargate and the massive AI supercomputer build out,  AI demand overhyped or underhyped, and current market valuations. Enjoy another episode of Bg2. Timestamps: (0:00) Intro (2:49) Demand for Compute Is Virtually Unlimited (27:53) Everywhere we Look we are building more and bigger Supercomputers  (35:49) The AI Induced Power Gap & The Need for Nuclear (50:21) Valuations / Market Check Available on Apple, Spotify, www.bg2pod.com Follow: Brad Gerstner @altcap https://twitter.com/altcap   Bill Gurley @bgurley https://twitter.com/bgurley  BG2 Pod @bg2pod https://twitter.com/BG2Pod Shownotes: What's next for AI agents ft. LangChain's Harrison Chase: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pBBe1pk8hf4 Tesla FSD Model 12: https://twitter.com/bg2pod/status/1769378291658666226?s=46&t=tiuRwY6s_lj81akJSCmJkw Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419: Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419 OpenAI CEO on GPT-4 vs GPT-5 | Sam Altman and Lex Fridman: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CJEC0aAjRJE  Jevons Paradox: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox  MSFT and OpenAI $100bn supercomputer project: https://twitter.com/theinformation/status/1773798028907811059?s=20 Biden administration on how to generate more electricity to meet massive demand for AI computing: https://twitter.com/axios/status/1774758834952659223?s=20  Nuclear reactors planned and proposed: https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/current-and-future-generation/plans-for-new-reactors-worldwide.aspx  U.S. approves $1.5bn loan to restart Michigan nuclear plant: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/27/business/energy-environment/holtec-palisades-nuclear-plant-loan.html  Josh Wolfe’s talk to Congress: https://twitter.com/wolfejosh/status/1685323817521139712  Our World in Data - cleanest and safest sources of energy: https://ourworldindata.org/safest-sources-of-energy  How Regulation killed Supersonic: https://www.heritage.org/transportation/commentary/its-time-let-supersonic-flight-soar-again Natural gas is stronger in the U.S.: https://www.iea.org/commentaries/natural-gas-is-now-stronger-than-ever-in-the-united-states-power-sector  Baseload in the U.S. has been flat for many years: https://energytransition.nema.org/baseload-generation/  Amazon goes nuclear: https://www.theregister.com/2024/03/04/amazon_acquires_cumulus_nuclear_datacenter/  I-95 Bridge reopened in 12 days: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-06-28/resurrection-of-i-95-in-just-two-weeks-is-dubbed-small-miracle?embedded-checkout=true  SF cleaned up in a week: https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/sanfran-s-mean-streets-become-clean-streets-for-biden-xi-and-co-20231116-p5ekd0.html  Texas trumps California as key US energy transition driver:https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/texas-trumps-california-key-us-energy-transition-driver-2023-05-04/  Brad’s tweet on CT scan: https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1774919531414368402?s=20 Americans favor more nuclear energy: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/08/18/growing-share-of-americans-favor-more-nuclear-power/  Producing new nuclear plants have gone down in France and up in the U.S. tweet: https://twitter.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/1773221106591166946?s=46&t=832RL3Gm0XtyDEuhy-Gkzg  GenAI company revenue multiples tweet: https://twitter.com/asanwal/status/1772821841578754492?s=46&t=832RL3Gm0XtyDEuhy-Gkzg  Gurley’s tweet on 60x reduction from top model: https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1774896120310686003?s=20  Congress provides record funding for fusion energy:https://www.fusionindustryassociation.org/congress-provides-record-funding-for-fusion-energy/  #BillGurley #BradGerstner #Bg2Pod

4 Apr 20241h 8min

Ep5. Stock Comp, AI Cold War, Valuations for LLM | BG2 with Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, & Bob Mylod

Ep5. Stock Comp, AI Cold War, Valuations for LLM | BG2 with Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, & Bob Mylod

Open Source bi-weekly convo w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalism. This week, joined by Bob Mylod, (Chair of Board, Bookings.com & Managing Partner of Annox Capital) they discuss stock compensation, Google Gemini / Apple, TikTok US & the New AI Cold War, MSFT / Inflection & VC Valuations for LLM’s. Enjoy another episode of Bg2. Timestamps: (0:00) Intro  (2:07) Bob Mylod | Stock-Based Compensation (58:03) Apple's Potential Partnership with Google on AI (1:04:00) Tiktok The Future of TikTok in the US (01:12:34) Microsoft's Acquisition of Inflection (01:18:06) The Durability of LLM Business Models Available on Apple, Spotify, www.bg2pod.com Follow: Brad Gerstner @altcap https://twitter.com/altcap  Bill Gurley @bgurley https://twitter.com/bgurley BG2 Pod @bg2pod https://twitter.com/BG2Pod Shownotes: Bookings 2023 Notice of Annual Stockholders’ Meeting and Proxy Statement June 2023 (page 63 for Stock-Based Compensation Expense as a % of net cash provided by operating activities) https://bit.ly/3ISIauw Michael Mauboussin - Stock-Based Compensation Paper: https://mgstn.ly/4cshBKn Tom Hearden Tweet: https://bit.ly/4cqCoxQApoorv Agarwal Tweet: https://bit.ly/3VumL2G

21 Mars 20241h 26min

Ep4. Tesla FSD 12, Imitation Learning Models, The Open vs. Closed AI Model Battle, Delaware’s anti Elon ruling, & a Market Update

Ep4. Tesla FSD 12, Imitation Learning Models, The Open vs. Closed AI Model Battle, Delaware’s anti Elon ruling, & a Market Update

Open Source bi-weekly convo w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalism. This week, they discuss Tesla’s Full Self-Driving V12 and imitation learning, AI model improvements: open vs. closed, & more. Enjoy another episode of Bg2. Timestamps: (0:00) Intro + Phase Shifts (3:42)Tesla FSD 12 & Imitation Learning (28:32) AI Model Improvements | Open vs Closed Models (49:10) Elon Musk Delaware Court Case (58:30) Macro Market Outlook Available on Apple, Spotify, www.bg2pod.com Follow: Brad Gerstner @altcap https://twitter.com/altcap  Bill Gurley @bgurley https://twitter.com/bgurley  BG2 Pod @bg2pod https://twitter.com/BG2PodShownotes: #BillGurley #BradGerstner #Bg2Pod

7 Mars 20241h 3min

BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner | NVDA, Chips, AI Compute Build Out, Impact of AI on Big Tech, Earnings & Macro Set-up | E03

BG2 with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner | NVDA, Chips, AI Compute Build Out, Impact of AI on Big Tech, Earnings & Macro Set-up | E03

Open Source bi-weekly convo w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalism. This week, they discuss earnings, inflation, interest rates, the impact of AI on Big Tech, NVDA, chips, fabs, Altman’s $7T to meet AI Compute needs, & more. Enjoy another episode of Bg2. Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (3:14) Earnings / Inflation / Rates (10:16) Impact of AI on Google / Meta (32:47) Why not also MSFT/Apple/Amazon? (57:06) Chips, Fabs, Future Compute Needs Available on Apple, Spotify, www.linktr.ee/bg2pod Follow: Brad Gerstner @altcap https://twitter.com/altcap Bill Gurley @gurley https://twitter.com/bgurley BG2 Pod @bg2pod https://twitter.com/BG2Pod Shownotes: TSMC founder Morris Chang on the evolution of the semiconductor industry https://youtu.be/r_8XClnnvIk?si=rAylAfxpJa0kHiNv #BillGurley #BradGerstner #BG2Pod

22 Feb 20241h 21min

BG2 with Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & Aaron Levie | Software Valuations, Earnings, AI, Immigration & More | E02

BG2 with Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & Aaron Levie | Software Valuations, Earnings, AI, Immigration & More | E02

Open Source bi-weekly convo w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalism. This week we are joined by Box Co-Founder & CEO, Aaron Levie. They discussed software valuations, public markets earnings, all things AI and legal immigration. Enjoy another Episode of Bg2. Available on Apple, Spotify, www.linktr.ee/bg2pod Follow: Brad Gerstner @altcap https://twitter.com/altcap Bill Gurley @gurley https://twitter.com/bgurley Aaron Levie @levie https://twitter.com/levie BG2 Pod @bg2pod https://twitter.com/BG2Pod

8 Feb 20241h 25min

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