E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more

E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more

0:00 David Sacks: Man for the people

0:50 Escalating tensions over Russia/Ukraine; nuclear scare; evolving forms of warfare

16:27 Assessing impact of economic sanctions: first, second and third-order effects; exit ramps for Putin and Russia

34:23 Reflecting on if taking NATO expansion off the table would have prevented war; Putin's risk of ruin; lessons learned so far

46:12 New version of economic warfare; possibility of a regime change; comparisons to the Cuban Missile Crisis; realist vs. idealist; lessons for Taiwan

1:05:22 Market impact, increased volatility, thinking in decades, managing risk

1:19:22 Car T-cell therapy breakthroughs and approvals; CRISPR patent controversy; Sacks makes a final point

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/phildstewart/status/1499535843207389186

https://www.onmanorama.com/news/world/2022/03/04/garry-kasparov-former-world-chess-champion-attacks-russian-president-vladimir-putin-ukraine-invasion-twitter.html

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1574056/world-war-3-russia-ukraine-vladimir-putin-fiona-hill-us-national-security-council

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/nato-meets-ukraine-calls-no-fly-zone-hinder-russia-2022-03-04

https://twitter.com/TimothyDSnyder/status/1499587642115117059

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/02/opinion/ukraine-russia-war-zelensky.html

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/LUKOY:OTCMKTS

https://oec.world/en/profile/hs92/wheat

https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1498873063378612227

https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/1499574209567199235

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/04/world/europe/lindsey-graham-putin-russia.html

https://twitter.com/biancoresearch/status/1499385705591709698

https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-war-russia-germany-still-blocking-arms-supplies/

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/germany-hike-defense-spending-scholz-says-further-policy-shift-2022-02-27/

https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/germany-aims-get-100-energy-renewable-sources-by-2035-2022-02-28/

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/28/world/europe/switzerland-russian-assets-freeze.html

https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/02/28/sweden-arms-ukraine/

https://www.nato.int/docu/update/2008/04-april/e0403h.html

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/biography-george-h-w-bush-slams-iron-ass-cheney-rumsfeld-n457911

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=RU

https://twitter.com/shellenbergermd/status/1499386637066727424

https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/the-wests-green-delusions-empowered?s=r

https://www.npr.org/2022/03/04/1084580235/russia-blocks-facebook-twitter

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/03/technology/ukraine-war-misinfo.html

https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1497834538843660291

https://www.indiatoday.in/fact-check/story/fact-check-russia-ukraine-war-old-woman-not-giving-invading-russian-soldiers-the-finger-1920479-2022-03-04

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1496998762496946203

https://twitter.com/morganhousel/status/1499484089082007552

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/euro-pinned-war-stokes-stagflation-fears-2022-03-03/

https://twitter.com/zekejmiller/status/1499739582115553281

https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/national-international/wheat-corn-prices-surge-amid-russias-invasion-of-ukraine/2774260/

https://www.myelomacrowd.org/janssen-s-cilta-cel-car-t-receives-fda-approval-for-relapsed-multiple-myeloma/

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/fda-approves-jjs-cell-based-multiple-myeloma-therapy-blood-cancer-treatment-wsj-2022-03-01/

https://www.fiercebiotech.com/research/a2-bios-activator-blocker-car-t-cell-therapies-show-early-promise-solid-cancers

https://www.wsj.com/articles/crispr-patent-gene-editing-dispute-11646187911

https://twitter.com/MZHemingway/status/1499588624664657926

Avsnitt(286)

The New Era of the Stock Market with Nasdaq CEO Adena Friedman | All-In Summit 2025

The New Era of the Stock Market with Nasdaq CEO Adena Friedman | All-In Summit 2025

(0:00) Introducing Adena Friedman (1:16) Nasdaq's business, expanding beyond a stock exchange (2:44) Big announcement! Nasdaq will offer tokenized securities, crypto going mainstream, the 24/5 trading schedule (7:21) How the IPO market can change to help companies go public faster (13:37) Evolution of markets: predictions, options, SPVs, secondaries (18:18) State of the stock market, role at the NY Fed, data issues at the Fed Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana: https://solana.com/ OKX: https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud: https://cloud.google.com/ IREN: https://iren.com/ Oracle: https://www.oracle.com/ Circle: https://www.circle.com/ BVNK: https://www.bvnk.com/  Follow Adena: https://x.com/adenatfriedman  Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg  Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod  Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod  Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod  Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod  Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg  Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

9 Sep 28min

How to Save America: Mark Cuban and Tucker Carlson Debate | All-In Summit 2025

How to Save America: Mark Cuban and Tucker Carlson Debate | All-In Summit 2025

(0:00) Introducing Mark Cuban, sadness over Luka Doncic (2:38) America’s broken healthcare system (15:16) State of the two-party system (19:24) Introducing Tucker Carlson (20:01) The fine line between listening and pandering, is Mamdani the Trump of the Left? (24:27) How to make Americans believe in America again (34:12) AI job displacement (39:29) Lightning round with Tucker: Epstein, Putin, why the West is killing itself, the SSRI epidemic, Iryna Zarutska murder (52:54) Antisemitism and Israel Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana: https://solana.com/ OKX: https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud: https://cloud.google.com/ IREN: https://iren.com/ Oracle: https://www.oracle.com/ Circle: https://www.circle.com/ BVNK: https://www.bvnk.com/ Follow Mark Cuban: https://x.com/mcuban Follow Tucker Carlson: https://x.com/TuckerCarlson Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

9 Sep 59min

Energy Secretary Chris Wright on the Future of American Energy | All-In Summit 2025

Energy Secretary Chris Wright on the Future of American Energy | All-In Summit 2025

(0:00) Introducing Secretary Wright (1:09) Nuclear, China’s approach (4:02) Increasing energy output, how the climate change complex slowed us down, problems with solar and wind (11:32) Debating renewables vs nat gas and coal (18:40) Chamath’s energy framework (21:42) Addressing challenges: budget cuts to research labs, residential energy cost increases due to datacenter demand, speeding up nuclear development Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana: https://solana.com/ OKX: https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud: https://cloud.google.com/ IREN: https://iren.com/ Oracle: https://www.oracle.com/ Circle: https://www.circle.com/ BVNK: https://www.bvnk.com/ Follow Secretary Wright: https://x.com/SecretaryWright Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn:  https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

8 Sep 30min

Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust

Inside the White House Tech Dinner, Weak Jobs Report, Tariffs Court Challenge, Google Wins Antitrust

(0:00) Bestie intros (0:52) Behind the scenes of the White House Tech Dinner! (28:39) Tariff showdown headed to the Supreme Court (42:44) Other Trump Administration legal battles (46:58) Weak jobs report: what is the state of the economy? (57:52) Google avoids worst-case scenario in antitrust case Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/EdLudlow/status/1963763066988110177 https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/09/president-trump-tech-leaders-unite-american-ai-dominance https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=opn9soJ5TYM&t=11s https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115119151783895076 https://www.congress.gov/bill/94th-congress/house-bill/3884 https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61697 https://x.com/tkl_adam/status/1963961233368924464 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/jobs-report-today-august-2025-three-takeways-federal-reserve https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/02/google-antitrust-search-ruling.html https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-in-2025?tid=1757216927232 https://www.wsj.com/opinion/google-antitrust-lawsuit-artificial-intelligence-amit-mehta-doj-trump-administration-d3b675b4

7 Sep 1h 7min

Senator Rand Paul: Tariffs, Debt, China, and a Warning for America

Senator Rand Paul: Tariffs, Debt, China, and a Warning for America

(0:00) David Friedberg welcomes Senator Rand Paul: background, family, what led him to medicine first (3:56) Career Change: Medicine to Politics (7:03) Political Philosophy (10:55) Trade Policy & Economic Impact (15:52) Consequences of Tariffs (20:43) Voting Against the One Big Beautiful Bill (27:52) AI & the Economy (35:10) Our Fragile Financial System (41:22) Government Employment & Appropriate Spending (48:18) COVID Cover Up & Dangers of Gain-of-function Research (1:01:00) Relations with China (1:05:52) Political Future Follow Senator Paul: https://x.com/senrandpaul Check out Deception: The Great Covid Cover-Up: https://www.amazon.com/Deception-Great-Cover-Up-Rand-Paul/dp/1684515130 Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

5 Sep 1h 7min

Trump Takes On the Fed, US-Intel Deal, Why Bankruptcies Are Up, OpenAI's Longevity Breakthrough

Trump Takes On the Fed, US-Intel Deal, Why Bankruptcies Are Up, OpenAI's Longevity Breakthrough

(0:00) Bestie intros: The Moose is loose at J-Cal Ranch! (0:46) All-In Summit updates, Jason's new program (9:45) Trump vs the Federal Reserve: Is the Fed partisan, what should a modern Fed look like? (36:45) US-Intel Deal: Sustainability, China comparison, could deals like this save Social Security? (51:37) US Sovereign Wealth Fund (58:41) Why corporate bankruptcies are trending up in 2025 (1:12:12) OpenAI's novel LLM-based approach to longevity research Join us at the All-In Summit: https://allin.com/summit Summit scholarship application: http://bit.ly/4kyZqFJ Get The Besties All-In Tequila: https://tequila.allin.com Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.mena.launch.co https://www.politico.com/news/2025/08/25/trump-says-hes-firing-federal-reserve-governor-lisa-cook-00523841 https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/28/us/politics/lisa-cook-trump-fed-lawsuit.html https://www.housingwire.com/articles/pulte-cook-new-criminal-referral-mortgage-fraud https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115092130707196133 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-28/us-puts-gdp-data-on-the-blockchain-in-trump-crypto-push https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/cpi-may-2021.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-05/yellen-sees-recent-inflation-as-transitory-rather-than-permanent https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20210827a.htm https://www.npr.org/2021/11/22/1052741845/biden-reappoints-jerome-powell-as-federal-reserve https://blockworks.co/news/powell-we-can-retire-the-term-transitory-inflation https://www.statista.com/chart/28437/interest-rate-hikes-in-past-tightening-cycles https://www.firstlinks.com.au/druckenmiller-biggest-mistake-history-fed https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/u-s-inflation-at-9-1-percent-a-record-high https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/futures-slip-last-trading-day-torrid-year-2022-12-30 https://www.warren.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/warren_hickenlooper_whitehouse_letter_to_fed_re_september_rate_cut.pdf https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2025/08/22/trump-says-intel-ceo-agreed-give-us-government-10-billion https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114987288040725570 https://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/commentary/2025/08/08/time-for-a-pledge-to-control-government-spending https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/articles/2025/8/july-us-corporate-bankruptcy-filings-hit-highest-monthly-total-in-5-years-91873904 https://x.com/Pavel_Asparagus/status/1960369680457113764 https://demo.trypicnic.com https://seekingalpha.com/news/4490024-q2-gdp-growth-revised-higher-to-33-pce-increase-revised-lower-to-20 https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/commercial/the-bill-is-coming-due-on-a-record-amount-of-commercial-real-estate-debt-451ec8cb https://openai.com/index/accelerating-life-sciences-research-with-retro-biosciences

29 Aug 1h 31min

AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame

AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame

(0:00) Bestie intros (1:59) What's new with the All-In Summit (9:02) AI Mania hits the brakes: sign of a bubble or a healthy correction? (30:49) Meta's AI hiring freeze: are the AI talent wars slowing down? (39:09) Gavin Newsom is the early favorite to be the 2028 Democratic nominee (54:03) Russia/Ukraine: Trump's two summits, what endgame to expect? Join us at the All-In Summit: https://allin.com/summit Summit scholarship application: http://bit.ly/4kyZqFJ Get The Besties All-In Tequila: https://tequila.allin.com Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/autismcapital/status/1958566758719398351 https://fortune.com/2025/08/18/mit-report-95-percent-generative-ai-pilots-at-companies-failing-cfo https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/18/openai-sam-altman-warns-ai-market-is-in-a-bubble.html https://www.theverge.com/command-line-newsletter/759897/sam-altman-chatgpt-openai-social-media-google-chrome-interview https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/technology/mark-zuckerberg-meta-ai.html https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/meta-ai-hiring-freeze-fda6b3c4 https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/19/meta-tried-to-buy-safe-superintelligence-hired-ceo-daniel-gross.html https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/12/technology/meta-scale-ai.html https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/18/sam-altman-says-meta-tried-to-poach-openai-staff-with-100-million-bonuses-mark-zuckerberg.html https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028 https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000198-c46f-da96-abff-d66f4c1e0000 https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250820615513/en/Statement-from-Marcus-Lemonis-Executive-Chairman-of-Bed-Bath-Beyond https://news.gallup.com/poll/693203/ukrainian-support-war-effort-collapses.aspx

22 Aug 1h 11min

Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History

Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History

(0:00) Sacks and Jason welcome Senator Eric Schmitt (2:34) Biden v. Missouri, uncovering government censorship as Missouri AG (6:06) Section 230 and social media, the legacy of Russiagate, big tech censorship in the age of AI (18:44) Behind the Hunter Biden laptop story and COVID censorship (30:17) The NGO "Leviathan" and how censorship requests were laundered, Hamilton 68 (36:38) Russiagate and the Obama intel report on the 2016 Election (47:15) Russia-Ukraine War, possible peace deal, and US foreign policy Buy The Last Line of Defense: How to Beat the Left in Court: https://www.harpercollins.com/products/the-last-line-of-defense-eric-schmitt Follow Senator Schmitt: https://x.com/senericschmitt Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

20 Aug 1h

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