E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Referenced in the show: NYT Article - Politics, Science and the Remarkable Race for a Coronavirus Vaccine https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/21/us/politics/coronavirus-vaccine.html Show Notes: 0:00 Besties congratulate Friedberg & Chamath for taking Metromile public, Chamath explains a PIPE, Sacks & Jason express their discontent for being left out of the first bestie SPAC 10:59 More positive vaccine news, NYT article on Operation Warp Speed: did the Trump administration nail it? 21:50 How will the COVID experience impact the response to the next pandemic? Morality of challenge trials, hypocrisy of regulatory capture around gambling, drug use, pharma, etc. 35:25 Why innovation has occurred so rapidly on the Internet: Permissionless innovation & lack of regulators, regulation vs. innovation 47:07 Thoughts on ISAs & how they could disrupt overpriced higher education, Dave Chappelle's contract with Comedy Central 59:58 Trump accepts defeat (sort of), Biden's cabinet selections so far 1:06:29 What the besties are thankful for 1:14:50 Peace in the Middle East being achieved by declining reliance on oil, based on resume alone - would Trump have won if not for his antics? 1:21:01 Code 13!

25 Nov 20201h 21min

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Show Notes: 0:00 Besties reflect on the election night special, comparing Trump's case to Al Gore's in 2000 4:44 Was this election devastating for extreme-ism in politics? 12:13 Pfizer vaccine, withholding the vaccine from the political news cycle 21:54 COVID endgame scenarios 28:45 Public markets ripping, gridlock great for the economy 34:43 Analyzing exit polls, death of identity politics 50:57 Biggest loser of the election: Journalism 57:43 When will Trump concede? What will his next move be? 1:07:37 San Francisco's collapse - will it eventually go bankrupt?

11 Nov 20201h 18min

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Follow the bestie guesties: https://twitter.com/bgurley https://twitter.com/phil_hellmuth https://twitter.com/altcap https://twitter.com/jcpolls Show Notes: 0:00 The besties & Phil Hellmuth on Trump’s early lead, live betting odds, the Latinx reversal 10:09 Sacks intros political expert Michael Newman on vote tally timing discrepancies, why some states skew a certain way early & more 20:33 Assessing the 180 in the gambling markets & equity markets towards a pro-Trump outcome 24:18 SurveyMonkey Chief Research Officer Jon Cohen joins the show to talk about polling updates from 2016 to 2020, understanding the race so far, electoral college & more 41:51 Biden losing Florida, tax policy, cultural repudiation of the elites in 2020 50:43 Chamath on the stupidity of the establishment, socialism, Democratic ideology for 2024 if Biden loses 55:40 Mid-show predictions, Jason goes off on Trump 1:07:58 What will happen in the time until we have a clear winner, Trump as a middle finger 1:17:55 Brad Gerstner joins the show to talk about stock futures, what the Democrats keep getting wrong - coastal elites losing touch with normal people, rebuking lockdowns 1:38:24 Reviewing the race swing state by swing state 1:47:28 Bill Gurley joins the show to talk about divisiveness, urban/rural rapture & more 1:55:53 Pete Buttigieg as the future of the Democratic Party, Chamath calls out the democratic leaders 2:00:43 Reconciling middle America & the coastal elites, respecting each other’s differences, understanding Prop 22 2:11:34 Diagnosing states that flipped from Biden to Trump, anti-business California state propositions failing, union impact on legislation 2:23:01 Senate races, market talk, which Democratic candidate had the best chance of beating Trump, voting for character over policy 2:34:32 Jason & Sacks debate Russian election interference legitimacy 2:41:34 Sacks unveils his Trump Derangement Score tracker, updated outcome scenarios & more 2:51:51 Trump declaring victory could tank markets, live reaction to Joe Biden’s election night address

4 Nov 20202h 59min

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Sacks' blog post on Section 230: https://medium.com/craft-ventures/rip-section-230-1112dfad3fac Referenced in the show: NY Post Hunter Biden Story https://nypost.com/2020/10/14/email-reveals-how-hunter-biden-introduced-ukrainian-biz-man-to-dad/ Twitter's explanation for censoring it https://twitter.com/TwitterSafety/status/1316525303930458115 Facebook's explanation for censoring it https://twitter.com/andymstone/status/1316395902479872000 Updated CDC survival rates https://twitter.com/adam_creighton/status/1308652790823051264?s=21 Show Notes: 0:00 The besties catch up on the news 1:29 NY Post Hunter Biden story & censorship by Twitter/Facebook 7:27 What is section 230 & how does it play into the publisher vs. distributor debate 13:23 Distinguishing between publishers & distributors 28:30 Why Twitter & Facebook's actions with the NY Post were a huge blunder & crossed a line, should the laws be rewritten? 37:21 Trump beats COVID, what that means for better treatment options, dueling town halls 46:14 Sacks explains his stance on Prop 13 & Zuckerberg's pro-Prop 15 lobbying 54:34 Thoughts on Amy Coney Barrett & Biden's large lead in the polls

16 Okt 20201h 4min

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Referenced in the show: Brian Armstrong's Blog - Coinbase is a mission focused company https://blog.coinbase.com/coinbase-is-a-mission-focused-company-af882df8804 President Trump's medical treatment https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1312126100286271488 Show Notes: 0:00 The besties reflect on Trump testing positive for COVID-19: treatment, impact on society & the election 9:06 What treatment is Trump receiving & is it scalable to everyone? Is this the future of disease mitigation? 16:55 What happens to the election if Trump is incapacitated & cannot run? 20:36 Debate reaction - who won, who misfired? 29:05 Live reaction to Trump being flown to Walter Reed hospital 30:43 Has the economy began to separate from political influence? 36:25 Reflection on the execution & reaction to Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong's letter 41:19 How Chamath would have reframed the letter, how Slack & company forums have platformed non-work discourse inside companies 49:30 Reflection on Jack Dorsey & Dick Costolo's reaction, what this means for Coinbase going forward 59:04 Predictions for 2021

3 Okt 20201h 7min

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://bio.fm/theallinpod Articles referenced in the show: America Needs to Lock Down Again: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-09-16/coronavirus-america-needs-lock-down-again A Taxonomy of Fear: https://www.persuasion.community/p/a-taxonomy-of-fear NuScale Power Article: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20200828005299/en/NuScale-Power-Makes-History-as-the-First-Ever-Small-Modular-Reactor-to-Receive-U.S.-Nuclear-Regulatory-Commission-Design-Approval Running Tide Article: https://www.fastcompany.com/90548820/forget-planting-trees-this-company-is-making-carbon-offsets-by-putting-seaweed-on-the-ocean-floor Show Notes: 0:00 The besties talk about the bestie reunion mishap, the Code 13 story & more 5:42 TikTok + Oracle, is the escalation between China & US a slippery slope, security threats created by modern software 15:01 What’s the bigger picture of the TikTok debate, what policy could be enacted 20:13 The emerging market for guaranteed privacy & how this impacts society 27:43 State of the US economy, is there a permanent unemployed class & could there be a second wave of lockdowns? 37:44 COVID outlooks for 2021 & beyond, innovations in rapid testing 46:22 Trump’s COVID response, Trump vs. Biden, shrinking impact of the executive branch 55:11 California wildfires, politicization of global warming, financial incentives to solving climate change 1:08:28 Practical ways to impact global warming & the carbon crisis 1:11:57 Sacks on A Taxonomy of Fear by Emily Yoffe, Safety-ism & contamination by association 1:18:58 Could Trump being re-elected eliminate the two-party system?

19 Sep 20201h 24min

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://bio.fm/theallinpod Bestie recommendations: Chamath: https://www.amazon.com/Americana-400-Year-History-American-Capitalism/dp/0399563792 Sacks: https://taibbi.substack.com/ https://andrewsullivan.substack.com/ Friedberg: https://www.amazon.com/Godfather-Mario-Puzo/dp/0451205766 https://www.amazon.com/Titan-Life-John-Rockefeller-Sr/dp/1400077303/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=john+d+rockefeller+titan&qid=1599625893&s=books&sr=1-1 Jason: https://www.amazon.com/Fish-That-Ate-Whale-Americas/dp/1250033314/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=the+fish+that+ate+the+whale&qid=1599625909&s=books&sr=1-1 https://www.amazon.com/I-Love-Capitalism-American-Story/dp/073521624X/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=i+love+capitalism&qid=1599626013&sr=8-1   0:00 The gang recap their summers 6:43 Is California collapsing? Why or why not? Has the one-party system failed? 14:05 Understanding the bureaucratic side of California's problem 20:37 AB-5 & the working rights of freelancers 27:11 How would AB-5 passing impact Uber & Lyft's long-term profitability & consumer experience, could franchising fix this? 34:45 California lagging in police reform, what tactical steps could be taken to stop deadly policing 46:13 Chamath on the most important economic event of the last decade & why he is now bullish on the market 50:46 Why technology companies should be going public sooner, how SPACs are allowing retail investors access to growth stocks 1:01:23 Election talk - who is in the lead ahead of the first debate? 1:12:21 Bestie recommendations

9 Sep 20201h 16min

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://bio.fm/theallinpod Jason's recent Big Tech antitrust hearings breakdown: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VWeMnJ0-a_U

31 Juli 20201h 34min