E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more

E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more

0:00 Sacks' DC trip and foreign policy speaking gig

5:50 Yield curve inversion, breaking down the current state of the markets, understanding the labor market through birth rate and immigration

26:16 How the US can fix its current economic issues, reframing high-skilled immigration

48:54 SEC's new proposed rules around SPACs and climate disclosures for public companies: how will both markets be impacted?

1:10:29 Meta used a GOP firm to run a smear campaign against TikTok in the US: dirty, necessary, or both?

1:19:03 Food shortage update

1:24:33 Sacks and Jason reflect on Biden's inflammatory comments on Putin

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/part-us-yield-curve-just-inverted-does-that-mean-recession-is-coming-2022-03-28

https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/dont-fear-the-yield-curve-reprise-20220325.htm

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/restoration-hardware-stock-price-ceo-warns-big-short-economy-inflation-2022-3

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PATH:NYSE

https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/03/american-population-growth-rate-slow/629392

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/31/2-year-treasury-yield-tops-10-year-rate-a-yield-curve-inversion-that-could-signal-a-recession.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-bidens-big-new-wealth-tax-white-house-budget-fy-2023-11648504962

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-28/manchin-pans-biden-s-proposed-tax-on-unrealized-gains-of-wealthy

https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/democrats-go-directly-to-the-center

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-29/spacs-face-fresh-sec-legal-threat-for-overly-bullish-forecasts

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-05-27/spacs-can-take-away-the-insiders-advantage-in-ipos-and-markets

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/the-sec-will-regulate-climate

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/30/sec-targets-spacs-with-new-rules-about-forecasts-mergers.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/03/30/facebook-tiktok-targeted-victory/

https://www.agweek.com/news/ukraine-ag-production-could-drop-80-fertilizer-prices-to-cut-food-supply-long-term-uk-expert-says

https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/03/wheat-in-2023.html

https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2021/09/information-on-2021-cash-rents-with-implications-for-2022.html

https://www.agweek.com/news/usda-nass-to-livestream-prospective-planting-report

https://www.npr.org/2022/03/28/1089300515/biden-putin-remarks-regime-change

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putin-s-approval-ratings-soar-amid-russia-s-war-in-ukraine/ar-AAVI29R

Avsnitt(283)

E2: Rebooting the economy, understanding corporate debt, steps to avoid a depression & more with David Sacks

E2: Rebooting the economy, understanding corporate debt, steps to avoid a depression & more with David Sacks

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason & Chamath catch us up on their quarantines 1:20 Chamath intros David Sacks 4:40 David explains what their poker group chat has been like since COVID-19 started, and how Jason, Chamath & himself fall on the optimistic/pessimistic spectrum 6:58 How have the past few months defined David's view on the world, and what is his reaction to the US government's response? 12:22 Did the US health apparatus do its job? How could it improve? Why aren't masks already mandated? 19:33 Culture clash between scientific experts & entrepreneurs, thoughts on Chloroquine as a treatment method 27:00 Are US bureaucrats taking the intelligence of US citizens for granted? How liable is Trump? 30:08 David gives his plan to reboot the economy: what now? How does the US avoid a recession/depression? 36:22 Chamath & Jason assess David's plan 43:21 Have the stimulus packages & SMB loans been enough? Will the trickle-down approach work? 49:21 Should the US be allowing companies to declare bankruptcy? How should they decide who gets aid and who does not? 52:02 Chamath explains how corporate debt works through the lens of Ford 56:42 Why is the US not giving a larger % of the stimulus to average Americans? Chances of unrest if quarantine continues? 1:02:17 Trump vs. Biden: who has the edge in 2020 right now? 1:11:24 Was Jack Dorsey's $1B donation the strongest move of 2020 so far?

11 Apr 20201h 13min

E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, Venture Capital & Public Markets with David Friedberg

E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, Venture Capital & Public Markets with David Friedberg

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason   https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason & Chamath intro David and check in on each other's quarantines 2:26 Has the US overreacted or underreacted so far? David & Chamath give their opinions on new directives & statistics 13:15 Thoughts on potential treatment options & policy changes 22:25 Chamath explains the circumstances of recording a podcast while the Stock Market tanks in real-time 25:03 Should the US adopt Chinese & South Korean quarantine strategies? 29:53 What do the current market conditions mean for startups & VC? 41:24 Chamath explains what is currently happening in the capital markets 45:05 How close is the US on being able to do mass-testing? 54:13 Thoughts on bailouts for companies that manipulated their earnings-per-share ratio by stock buybacks? Impact on the global economy 1:03:14 Impact on luxury goods? Should there be a monthly stipend for low-income citizens? 1:12:10 COVID-19 exposing holes in the US healthcare system 1:17:44 Should we ban wet markets globally? 1:24:12 Over/Under: when Americans will be allowed to go out to restaurants again 1:28:18 When will the weekly poker game resume?

19 Mars 20201h 31min

E0: COVID-19 Political, Economic & Social Ramifications featuring David Friedberg

E0: COVID-19 Political, Economic & Social Ramifications featuring David Friedberg

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason   https://linktr.ee/calacanis   0:01 Jason intros Chamath and Episode 0 of All-In and they discuss their current self-quarantine 0:55 Jason intros David Friedberg 1:35 Chamath gives the inaugural (& potentially final) All-In ad read 2:17 As a Warriors owner, Chamath gives his reaction to the NBA postponing & uncoordinated actions of government & private sectors 4:37 Why was the US so slow to react on both an individual & governmental level? What did the OpenTable data show? 9:03 David explains the actions he would take if he was president 12:37 Thoughts on Trump’s private sector involvement 16:58 Has the press failed in its coverage, or are they just feeding people what they want? 23:52 What will the next few weeks in the US look like? Why has the virus spread severely in Italy, but not yet in India? 37:20 How the COVID-19 viral coefficient compares to the early days of Facebook’s numbers 40:26 Chances of Trump testing positive for the virus? What effect would that have on markets? 48:53 What should we do differently next time? 53:13 Will there both more deaths due to second order effects of the virus than direct deaths? 1:01:06 Should there be a global stimulus package? Effect of low-volatility during recent bull run? 1:11:26 Chances of a quick resolution? 1:16:48 How are Jason & Chamath advising their portfolio companies? How are IPO’s of companies like Airbnb & DoorDash being effected? 1:21:17 How to approach the next year in startups & VC?

15 Mars 20201h 28min

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