Trump’s 100% Tariff, Strong Jobs Data, and Q1 GDP Contraction: PALvatar Market Recap, May 05 2025

Trump’s 100% Tariff, Strong Jobs Data, and Q1 GDP Contraction: PALvatar Market Recap, May 05 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar covers major macro shifts following President Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on all foreign films, fueling fears of rising protectionism. Strong U.S. job growth contrasts with an unexpected Q1 GDP contraction, adding complexity to the economic outlook. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions are driving investors toward safe-haven assets, boosting demand for the Japanese yen and gold. Tune in for a data-packed snapshot of global market sentiment. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Avsnitt(2039)

The Whipsaws Will Continue Until the Fed Finishes Its Work

The Whipsaws Will Continue Until the Fed Finishes Its Work

Stocks sagged early, with social media stocks dragging the Nasdaq down more than 3% on bearish earnings guidance from Snap Inc., but rallied off the lows in a move presaged by Thomas Thornton right before noon ET. “Seeing most ETFs down on the day but lifting over today's volume-weighted average prices, which, if those levels can hold, is a positive,” tweeted Thornton, the founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry. Thornton joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about today’s price action in the broader (bullish or bearish?) context. And we hear from Dario Perkins, managing director at Global Macro, about the bursting of the “everything bubble” and the impact of rising interest rates on equity valuations. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3lEctcV. Watch the full conversation between Dario Perkins and Raoul Pal here: https://rvtv.io/3sU59hz. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

25 Maj 202236min

Here's the Good News About a Recession

Here's the Good News About a Recession

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has logged eight consecutive losing weeks, but it’s leading the U.S. equity indexes to the upside today with a gain of more than 2%. Perhaps investors are looking at stocks with Jared Dillian’s style of optimism. “If we get a recession, and it looks like we will,” notes Dillian, “it will be a much easier trading environment than what we’ve been dealing with. Fed easing policy is always easier than Fed tightening policy.” Dillian, author of The Daily Dirtnap, joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to make his case for a developing risk-on environment. We also hear from Francis “The Market Sniper” Hunt about Bitcoin and its correlation to old-school financial asset prices. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/38DtmSo. Watch the full conversation between Francis Hunt and Ash Bennington here: https://rvtv.io/3LG8cAq. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

24 Maj 202233min

My Life in 4 Trades - A Special Bonus Trade From Serial Entrepreneur, Howard Lindzon

My Life in 4 Trades - A Special Bonus Trade From Serial Entrepreneur, Howard Lindzon

Here's a special bonus trade from Real Vision's new original series, My Life in 4 Trades - be sure to subscribe. Handling stress is one of the most difficult things investors are faced with daily. Howard Lindzon shares his insights on how to manage stress and why finding a good mentor can be a game changer in life and work. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

22 Maj 20227min

The Next Big Trade - Legendary Investor, David Rosenberg, Believes We're Going Into A Bear Market

The Next Big Trade - Legendary Investor, David Rosenberg, Believes We're Going Into A Bear Market

Here's a full-length episode from Real Vision's new original series, The Next Big Trade - be sure to subscribe. One of the biggest names in global macro, David Rosenberg, joins Harry Melandri to talk about the possible return of deflation, global supply chain issues, and what the next 12 months could look like. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

22 Maj 202253min

 My Life in 4 Trades - Serial Entrepreneur, Howard Lindzon, on The Value of Investing for Both Profit and Joy

My Life in 4 Trades - Serial Entrepreneur, Howard Lindzon, on The Value of Investing for Both Profit and Joy

Here's a full-length episode from Real Vision's new original series, My Life in 4 Trades - be sure to subscribe. Howard Lindzon joins Maggie Lake to discuss how a lifelong passion for comedy led to his success in the early days of the internet. He also touches on de-globalization and why finding a unicorn isn’t as important as it may seem. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

21 Maj 202248min

The Fed Will Sacrifice Investors To Beat Inflation

The Fed Will Sacrifice Investors To Beat Inflation

A surprise rate cut by the People’s Bank of China boosted equity futures early Friday, and stocks did open higher. But any optimism the Federal Reserve would follow the PBoC’s dovish example and not “hike until it hurts” faded before noon. "They are going to break inflation,” says Jim Bianco, “and if they break you along the way, so be it." The S&P 500 slipped into official “bear market” territory, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is on track for its eighth consecutive down week, the longest such streak since 1923. Bianco, President of Bianco Research, joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about the implications of a hawkish Fed and the possibility of a global recession. And we hear from Dario Perkins about the “tangible” opportunity that may follow this period of slowing growth. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3wvTE24. Watch the full conversation between Dario Perkins and Raoul Pal here: https://rvtv.io/3wyGYYf. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

21 Maj 202239min

"A Perfect Storm" Promises More Pain

"A Perfect Storm" Promises More Pain

Do U.S. investors pay enough attention to what’s happening in overseas markets? Real Vision’s expert on the ground in Asia, Weston Nakamura, shares some data at the top of today’s Daily Briefing that may open your eyes to underlying systemic cracks growing in China and Japan. Then, Maggie Lake is joined by Peter Boockvar, who’s concerned about how a slowing world economy will impact companies. “I think the main story now is margin contraction and the direction of earnings,” says the CIO of Bleakley Advisory Group. “We now have P/E multiples compressing, profit margins rolling over, and the growing prospect that sales will slow in response to both supply issues and the growing prospect of an economic slowdown. It’s a perfect storm.” Is there more pain to come? Peter thinks so. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3wvTE24. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

20 Maj 202241min

Retail Gloom Spells Stock Market Doom

Retail Gloom Spells Stock Market Doom

“This is risk-off behavior returning,” tweeted Michael Gayed less than an hour into today’s trading session, which, two hours ahead of the close, has seen the Dow Jones Industrial Average decline 2.9%, the S&P 500 shed 3.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite nosedive 4.0%. Investors are digesting a second disappointing earnings report from a major U.S. retailer, as Target followed Walmart with more data indicating inflation is, finally, having an impact on U.S. consumer behavior. Gayed, CIO and portfolio manager at Toroso Investments, joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about how inflation will turn into deflation and why equity indexes are looking at another major leg down. With risk assets highly correlated at present, this is an ominous sign for the cryptocurrency market as well. That’s a major topic of discussion in the debut episode of Real Vision’s Crypto Unwrapped series. We also hear from Jeff Moore about the Federal Reserve being late and bond market volatility. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/381fvoA. Watch the full interview featuring Jeff Moore and Raoul Pal here: https://rvtv.io/3McSPAj. Watch the first Crypto Unwrapped episode featuring Weston Nakamura, Nicolas Brugge, and Leslie Lamb here: https://rvtv.io/3lkyrS6. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

19 Maj 202242min

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