Trump’s 100% Tariff, Strong Jobs Data, and Q1 GDP Contraction: PALvatar Market Recap, May 05 2025

The Interview: Could a slowdown in credit creation and a tightening of monetary conditions push bond yields lower and threaten risk assets? Alfonso Peccatiello, fixed income investor and publisher of the Macro Compass, believes that’s possible. Peccatiello contends that inflation is indeed transitory, and, disagreeing with the "bond vigilantes," he argues that cash, bonds, and volatility protection will perform better in this environment than high-beta assets such as commodities and bank stocks. Interviewed by Real Vision’s Jack Farley on July 2, 2021. Peccatiello's blog, The Macro Compass, can be found here: https://themacrocompass.substack.com/. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

25 Juli 20211h 6min

DB-Jul23,2021: Along with Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington, Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal welcomes Julian Brigden, co-founder of MI2 Partners, for his Real Vision Daily Briefing debut. As a special edition of the Daily Briefing, Pal and Brigden will be diving deep into their respective frameworks, discussing the differences in how they’re seeing the macro picture as well as rallying around where they are aligned. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

24 Juli 202144min

DB-Jul22,2021: Petr Pinkhasov of Real Vision's Exchange joins Real Vision’s Samuel Burke and Jack Farley on the Daily Briefing to discuss new data related to jobless claims in addition to developments surrounding central bank actions to deal with inflation. Pinkhasov also explains the effect of supply increases on oil prices and how central banks are approaching tapering asset purchases. The trio analyzes the increase in jobless claims despite the labor shortage that many business owners are experiencing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

22 Juli 202135min

Crypto Special ; Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Ryan Berckmans, investor and Ethereum community member, to discuss the evolution of Ethereum and the changes forthcoming that will further solidify its role in the crypto ecosystem. Berckmans explains that Ethereum’s novelty stems from being an open-access global computer, which leads to credible neutrality, and he lays out how this undergirds Ethereum’s tactical applications. He also talks through Ethereum’s transition to a proof of stake (PoS) protocol and what benefits this transition holds for Ethereum and for the crypto space as a whole. Recorded on May 27, 2021. Key Learnings: Berckmans describes how Ethereum is a credibly neutral platform as an open-access world computer, allowing developers to leverage its network for end user and middleware applications and leading to more innovative and frictionless executions of financial services. He also discusses how one of the biggest risks to the Ethereum network currently is its transition to a PoS protocol; however, the development of Ethereum 2.0 will offer more security alongside opportunities for scaling and value generation that would otherwise be impossible on a proof of work (PoW) model. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

22 Juli 202155min

DB-Jul21,2021: Peter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Advisory Group, joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington and Jack Farley on the Daily Briefing to share his insights into market expectations of economic growth as stocks continue to move higher and inflation fears wane. The trio takes a look at Bitcoin’s price actions as it struggles to meaningfully move higher. Boockvar also dives into the recent bond rally to determine investor expectations of inflation and examines the future of oil prices as supply increases are imminent. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

22 Juli 202137min

DB-Jul20,2021: With U.S. stocks rallying off of yesterday’s steep selloff while bonds remain relatively flat, what risks are markets pricing in currently, and what opportunities does that lead to for investors? Tony Greer of TG Macro joins Ash Bennington, senior editor at Real Vision, to discuss Greer’s impression of the Monday selloff and what that spells for equities, bonds, commodities, and the dollar going forward. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

21 Juli 202136min

DB-Jul19,2021: Darius Dale, founder of 42 Macro, joins Real Vision’s Jack Farley and Ash Bennington to share his updated framework on equity markets, bond yields, and oil prices as delta variant concerns force a market correction. Dale dives into macro data points indicating whether the stock market correction is driven by the delta variant or overbought assets. The trio also examines OPEC’s decision to boost output and its long-term implications for oil’s bull run this year. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

20 Juli 202135min

The Interview: Christian Angermayer, founder of Apeiron Investments, Atai Life Sciences, and COMPASS Pathways, made headlines for attributing his decision to invest in Bitcoin to a trip on mushrooms, but his journey as an investor and advocate for psychedelics goes much deeper than the clickbait. In this interview with Mike Green, Angermayer discusses how he went from a successful investor living the straight edge life to founding and eventually IPOing two startups, which are at the cutting edge of research into how mushrooms and other psychedelics could revolutionize the way we think about treating mental health issues. Together, they discuss the parallels between the modern human experience and other times of great change, how this is manifesting itself in societal and individual angst, and why this might make today the perfect time for broader acceptance of these treatments. They also touch on Green's own personal experience with mushrooms and Angermayer's optimistic approach to investing in technologies driving human progress. Recorded on May 8, 2021. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

19 Juli 20211h 8min