Traders Watch for Weakening Signs amid Market Highs

Traders Watch for Weakening Signs amid Market Highs

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 1st, 2025
Featuring:
1) Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for yields and why there could be more bond investment in 2025. The 10-year Treasury yield declined four basis points to 4.19% in the early morning as investors increased wagers on the scale of potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year.
2) Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, talks about equity all-time highs and raising the pain trade. US equity futures retreated slightly after the S&P 500 notched its best quarter since 2023, as investors monitor progress on trade talks and wrangling in Washington over President Trump’s tax bill.
3) George Goncalves, Head: US Macro Strategy MUFG Securities, Americas, talks about the outlook for US economic growth should the tax bill pass and his economic projections for 2025 as the labor market shows signs of weakening. Investors are also watching for a slew of economic data, including PMI readings and the US job openings report, ahead of Thursday’s nonfarm payrolls, and a discussion on monetary policy at the European Central Bank’s annual retreat.
4) Michael Lasser, Equity Research Analyst: Consumer Hardline Staples at UBS, explores the potential ramifications of the bill on an aggregate consumer spending level, as well as the potential impacts for each consumer subsector and individual stocks. US consumer spending declined 0.3% in May, the most since the start of the year, indicating uncertainty around the Trump administration's economic policies is weighing on growth.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a story from The Athletic on ESPN and MLB resuming broadcasting rights talks and a WSJ story on why the July 4th BBG may get more expensive.

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Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 13th, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 13th, 2025

- Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary- Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab- Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities- Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary, joins to discuss tariffs, US economic data, the Fed, and the economic priorities of the second Trump administration. Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, talks about the sustainability of the equity rally as tariffs take hold. Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities, talks about the latest developments in President Trump's economic and political priorities. Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income, talks about recent eco data and the outlook for the US economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

13 Aug 44min

Market Optimism and Trump-Putin

Market Optimism and Trump-Putin

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 13th, 2025Featuring:1) Jens Nordvig, founder & CEO at Exante Data, joins for an extended discussion about FX opportunities and President Trump's strategy to weaken the dollar. 2) David Seif, Chief Economist for Developed Markets at Nomura, joins to discuss recent eco data and why September may mark the beginning of a Fed easing cycle. Equity markets are swept up in a risk-on rally as a modest rise in US goods prices has tempered fears over the impact of tariffs, bolstering bets that the Fed will resume rate cuts.3) Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss his S&P target and why he remains extra bullish in the second half of 2025. A rally in global stocks persisted as expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts stoked risk-on sentiment and drove bond yields lower.4) Stephanie Baker, Senior Writer with Bloomberg News, previews the Trump-Putin Summit. Vladimir Putin is heading to a summit with President Trump confident that Russia is in a dominant position on the battlefield as his military advances in Ukraine. Putin has repeatedly rejected calls for a ceasefire and is likely to seek major territorial concessions in return for one, according to the article.5) Brent Schutte, Chief Investment Officer at Northwestern Mutual, brings us into the market open and talks about a potential equity boon from rate cuts.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

13 Aug 43min

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Rebecca Patterson & Ira Jersey

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Rebecca Patterson & Ira Jersey

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Rebecca Patterson & Ira Jersey. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

12 Aug 4min

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 12th, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 12th, 2025

- David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management- Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO- Jon Lieber, Head: Research at Eurasia Group- Elizabeth Economy, Hargrove Senior Fellow and professor at Stanford University David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management and Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO react to CPI and discuss thee outlook for inflation and rate cuts in the US. Jon Lieber, Head: Research at Eurasia Group, talks about President Trump's tariffs and economic and political priorities in a second Trump administrating. Elizabeth Economy, Hargrove Senior Fellow and professor at Stanford University, discusses the latest developments in US-China relationsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

12 Aug 25min

CPI, Eco Data, and Ukraine

CPI, Eco Data, and Ukraine

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 12th, 2025Featuring:1) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU and Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater, react to CPI and discusses weakening US labor data, as well as President Trump naming EJ Antoni the new BLS chief. Despite economists concerned about the potential for rising inflation, Wall Street firms, including JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley, expect investors to focus on strong corporate earnings and interest-rate cuts, according to Andrew Tyler and Mike Wilson.2) Ethan Harris, former Head of Global Economic Research at Bank of America, talks about CPI and the reliability of American economic data with a new BLS chief. President Trump wrote that Antoni will ensure that the numbers released are "HONEST and ACCURATE", and Steve Bannon called Antoni "the perfect guy at the perfect time to run the BLS." Erica Groshen said that what worries her is that the nominee and his work are not well known in the business, academic or public service communities, and Jason Furman said that Antoni is "completely unqualified" to lead BLS.3) Kira Rudik, Member of Parliament for the Ukrainian government, on the war in Ukraine, President Trump's summit with Vladimir Putin in Alaska this Friday, and the scheduled call between President Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskiy and other European leaders on Wednesday. President Trump is downplaying expectations for his upcoming meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin, calling it a "feel-out meeting."4) Huw van Steenis, Partner at Oliver Wyman, discusses private credit outlook and the enablement of retirement savings to invest in private assets.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Wall Street Journal on salaries and Bloomberg's reporting on Taylor Swift's album announcement.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

12 Aug 50min

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Angela Stent & Jonathan Hill

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Angela Stent & Jonathan Hill

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Angela Stent & Jonathan Hill. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

11 Aug 3min

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 11th, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 11th, 2025

- Eric Rosengren, former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston- Peter Oppenheimer, Chief Global Equity Strategist at Goldman Sachs- Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners- Ryan Petersen, Chairman and CEO of Flexport Eric Rosengren, former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, joins to discuss recent eco data and outlook for the US labor market and potential for rate cuts. Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss the Trump administration's trade policy and how it will impact its broader economic agenda. Peter Oppenheimer, Chief Global Equity Strategist at Goldman Sachs, joins to discuss global inflation and the equity outlook in the US and abroad. Ryan Petersen, Chairman and CEO of Flexport, talks tariffs and how the US' reshaped trade policy impacts businesses.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

11 Aug 30min

Equity Push Ahead of CPI

Equity Push Ahead of CPI

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 11th, 2025Featuring:1) Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI, joins to talk about the AI rally and whether there will be more choppiness in equities to end 2025. Stocks erased gains as traders dialed back optimism that a summit between US President Trump and Russia’s Vladimir Putin would bring the war in Ukraine closer to a resolution. Traders are also awaiting US inflation data on Tuesday to gauge the impact of tariffs on prices.2) Lauren Saidel-Baker, Economist at ITR Economics, previews tomorrow's CPI report and talks about a well-positioned consumer in spite of a weakening labor market. US consumers probably experienced a slight pickup in underlying inflation in July as retailers raised prices on items subject to higher import duties. Higher US tariffs have started to filter through to consumers in categories such as household furnishings and recreational goods, but a separate measure of core services inflation has so far remained tame.3) Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. Markets initially found some reassurance in renewed diplomatic efforts to end the war in Ukraine, with President Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin set to meet in Alaska on Friday, even as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy continues to reject ceding land. However, optimism in markets began to dim.4) Geoffrey Meacham, Global Head of Healthcare at Citi, discusses his price targets across health stocks and why he's signaling a rebound for Eli Lilly after last week's drop.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on noise cameras becoming the new frontier in automated traffic enforcement and a Bloomberg News piece on sports entering its streaming era.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

11 Aug 36min

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