Will Crypto Peak in 2025 or 2026? Onchain Data Signals | Michael Nadeau’s DeFi Report #5

Crypto cycles have always topped on a four-year rhythm, but are we heading for a Q4 2025 peak or an extended run into 2026? Michael Nadeau from The DeFi Report joins Ryan to break down the onchain and macro signals shaping this cycle. We cover Powell’s dovish pivot at Jackson Hole, global liquidity trends, and why loosening bank lending standards could fuel risk-on markets. Michael explains how whale Bitcoin selling, ETH’s breakout, and muted altcoin flows fit into the bigger cycle map. Finally, we dive into portfolio strategy, from core holdings to high-beta “hot sauce” bets, and why holding fewer, higher-conviction assets is the edge most investors miss. Michael Nadeau & The DeFi Report: https://x.com/JustDeauIt https://thedefireport.io https://thedefireport.io/research/how-many-assets-should-you-hold-in-a-crypto-portfolio#closing-thoughts ------ 📣BIT DIGITAL ($BTBT) | ETH-FIRST PUBLIC COMPANY http://bit-digital.com ------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🪙FRAX | SELF SUFFICIENT DeFi https://bankless.cc/Frax 🦄UNISWAP | SWAP ON UNICHAIN https://bankless.cc/unichain 🛞MANTLE | MODULAR LAYER 2 NETWORK https://bankless.cc/Mantle ------ TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 3:01 Global Liquidity Insights 6:44 Market Valuations Discussion 9:53 Lending Standards & Bank Activity 11:49 Powell's Impact on Markets 15:34 Inflation and Market Psychology 17:38 Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index 18:58 Long-term vs Short-term Holders 22:45 Realized Price vs Market Value 26:34 Altcoin Market Dynamics 31:19 Extended Cycle vs Classic Cycle 35:06 Portfolio Construction Strategies 39:27 Core vs Non-Core Asset Holdings 43:10 High Beta Assets Explained 45:54 Cash Allocation Strategies 54:05 Upcoming Research and Reports ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures