America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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Seed of doubt: venture capital tightens up

Seed of doubt: venture capital tightens up

A slump in tech is driving investors to rediscover old ways. Out are the cash-splashing long bets; in are smaller, profitable, strategic firms. Nigeria’s election was pitched as the most transparent e...

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Losing the threads: Bangladesh

Losing the threads: Bangladesh

Shifts in the garment industry, which powered development in the country, represent one risk; meagre currency reserves are another. Yet nothing so imperils Bangladesh’s economic miracle as graft and p...

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The belt buckles up: China’s grand plan slims

The belt buckles up: China’s grand plan slims

The Belt and Road initiative to encircle much of the world with Chinese-funded, Chinese-built infrastructure is growing leaner and more penny-wise. But its ambitions are undimmed. Energy-market turmoi...

1 Mars 202324min

Let’s remake a deal: Brexit and Northern Ireland (again)

Let’s remake a deal: Brexit and Northern Ireland (again)

Since Brexit’s earliest days, the trade status of Northern Ireland and its border with the Republic of Ireland have been a perilous sticking point. We examine a deal that might—and should—resolve matt...

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Has Obi won, can Obi? Nigeria’s elections

Has Obi won, can Obi? Nigeria’s elections

Excitement still surrounds the spoiler candidate Peter Obi, whose down-to-earth ways appeal to a large constituency of fed-up youths. We look at the early returns. A year ago Olaf Scholz, Germany’s ch...

27 Feb 202328min

A year of war: a Ukraine special

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After a year of a conflict that was predicted to last just days, we examine the battle lines—seeing an opportunity for Ukraine that may not come around again. We look at the strains on Russian civil s...

24 Feb 202327min

The prices fight: conflicting views on inflation

The prices fight: conflicting views on inflation

Markets seem to think the worst is over; central bankers are not so sure. We ask why determining the trajectory of inflation is so difficult. Millions of refugees have poured out of Ukraine since the ...

23 Feb 202324min

Fire and grim tone: Putin’s and Biden’s speeches

Fire and grim tone: Putin’s and Biden’s speeches

President Joe Biden’s riposte to the bellicose speech of his counterpart Vladimir Putin was a study in contrast. We examine their views on Ukraine and ask how a lasting peace could be secured. We spea...

22 Feb 202325min

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