America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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Stuck in the middle with few: Macron’s parliamentary pasting

Stuck in the middle with few: Macron’s parliamentary pasting

resident Emmanuel Macron has lost his majority in France’s National Assembly as voters flooded both to the far right and far left. A second term filled with confrontation and compromise awaits him. Th...

20 Juni 202223min

Menace to democracy: The January 6th hearings

Menace to democracy: The January 6th hearings

In its third public hearing yesterday, the committee investigating the January 6th Capitol insurrection detailed the pressure put on Mike Pence to overturn the 2020 election—as well as the continuing ...

17 Juni 202224min

Powell to the people: The Fed raises rates

Powell to the people: The Fed raises rates

America’s central bank raised rates by .75% yesterday—the biggest increase in almost 30 years. Whether that will help tame rising prices without triggering a recession is unclear. The poor performance...

16 Juni 202224min

Planes have changed: Britain’s controversial asylum policy

Planes have changed: Britain’s controversial asylum policy

The European Court of Human rights foiled Britain’s plans to send asylum-seekers to Rwanda yesterday by holding that British courts must first find the policy legal. The Taliban have proven surprising...

15 Juni 202223min

No magic bullet: a Congressional agreement on guns

No magic bullet: a Congressional agreement on guns

Mass shootings in Buffalo, Tulsa and Uvalde appear to have broken a longstanding impasse over federal gun laws. A bipartisan group of senators has laid out a legislative framework—but whether that tur...

14 Juni 202222min

Nyet effects: Russia’s resilient economy

Nyet effects: Russia’s resilient economy

Western sanctions are intended to starve Russia’s economy and hinder its ability to wage war in Ukraine. And while the long-term outlook remains grim, so far oil and gas earnings have kept its economy...

13 Juni 202221min

Revolting: The January 6th committee’s public hearings

Revolting: The January 6th committee’s public hearings

The committee investigating the Capitol attacks of January 6th 2021 held the first of several public hearings last night, having gathered evidence for the past year. The hearings may not break Donald ...

10 Juni 202226min

Second time’s the charm? Somalia’s new president

Second time’s the charm? Somalia’s new president

Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is Somalia’s first-ever reelected president. In an interview with our correspondent, he lays out his second-term ambitions for beating back jihadist insurgents and repairing rela...

9 Juni 202225min

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