America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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Just fine: Boris Johnson and “partygate”

Just fine: Boris Johnson and “partygate”

Police have served Britain’s prime minister, among others, with a fine for breaching the lockdown rules he instituted. He may yet again emerge unscathed, but Britain’s politics is damaged nonetheless....

13 Apr 202223min

A stretch and a run: Brazil’s ex-president returns

A stretch and a run: Brazil’s ex-president returns

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva left office with a sky-high approval rating, having raised millions from poverty—but was then convicted of corruption. Now he wants his old job back. Forced labour in Uzbekis...

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Le Pen is mightier than before: France’s election

Le Pen is mightier than before: France’s election

President Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen of the nationalist-populist National Rally party will advance to a run-off; in the continuation of our series, we ask what to expect in an unexpectedly tigh...

11 Apr 202225min

Laïcité, extrémité, fragilité: our French-election series in full

Laïcité, extrémité, fragilité: our French-election series in full

The first round of the presidential election is on Sunday and our first-ever series has been following the race closely. This compendium of the first six dispatches looks at the candidates, their plat...

9 Apr 202254min

Gota the trouble: Sri Lanka’s crises

Gota the trouble: Sri Lanka’s crises

Through ineptitude and bad timing, President Gotabaya Rajapaksa—known as Gota—has driven his country toward ruin. Its people want him out. Russian forces have occupied Kherson since early March. We he...

8 Apr 202224min

Nasty, brutish and long? The war’s next stage

Nasty, brutish and long? The war’s next stage

Russian troops have withdrawn from suburban Kyiv to focus on the eastern Donbas region. With Western weapons for Ukraine flowing in, a grinding war of attrition looms. For our French-election series w...

7 Apr 202226min

Zero's intolerance: Shanghai’s messy lockdown

Zero's intolerance: Shanghai’s messy lockdown

China’s zero-covid policy is being stretched to breaking point as the virus makes its way through the city. Supplies are low, residents are angry and there is no end in sight. The debate about air con...

6 Apr 202222min

Bodies in the streets: Russian atrocities

Bodies in the streets: Russian atrocities

Our correspondent reports from towns around Kyiv, where Russian forces appear to have committed war crimes, including summary executions and random murders. The last instalment of a once-in-a-decade c...

5 Apr 202223min

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