America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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Twist of faith: religious hatred in India

Twist of faith: religious hatred in India

As the country celebrates its secular constitution, we examine the rising bigotry of Hindu nationalists—at best tolerated and at worst encouraged by the ruling party. China’s propagandists are onto so...

26 Jan 202222min

What’s it good for? Putin’s Ukraine calculus

What’s it good for? Putin’s Ukraine calculus

More Russian troops piling in. Embassy staff pulling out. American forces on alert and sober diplomacy still on the docket. We examine Vladimir Putin's ways, means and motivations. The Omicron variant...

25 Jan 202222min

Prime mover? Mario Draghi and the Italian presidency

Prime mover? Mario Draghi and the Italian presidency

This week’s secretive votes will determine the next president and the current prime minister looks to be a favourite. But that move would be bad for Italy. Many African countries that are rife with re...

24 Jan 202221min

Unsustainable envelopment goals: China’s zero-covid fight

Unsustainable envelopment goals: China’s zero-covid fight

The Omicron variant is destined to test the limits of a policy that has already proved costly: consumption, growth and confidence are all flagging. The effects of Russia’s gulag did not stop when the ...

21 Jan 202220min

Heavyweight-price fight: how to beat global inflation

Heavyweight-price fight: how to beat global inflation

Shoppers across the developed world face sharply rising prices, and leaders are reaching for all manner of remedies—but that’s what central banks are for. Behind the story of Myanmar’s brutal military...

20 Jan 202224min

Drilling into the numbers: ExxonMobil

Drilling into the numbers: ExxonMobil

America’s biggest oil firm has long been recalcitrant on climate matters, so its new net-zero targets may seem surprising. We examine the substance of its pledges—and motivations. For an economist, ti...

19 Jan 202222min

Through deny of a needle: vaccine mandates

Through deny of a needle: vaccine mandates

Austria is set to enact a bold policy of levying fines on the unvaccinated. We look at what is driving governments to such measures, and whether they will work. Japan’s shift in thinking about its gro...

18 Jan 202222min

But who’s counting? Voting rights in America

But who’s counting? Voting rights in America

Democrats will spend the week battling for a tightening of laws on casting votes; that will overshadow Republicans’ worrying push into how those votes are counted and certified. Earthquakes remain dam...

17 Jan 202223min

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