America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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No port, still a storm: Lebanon a year after the blast

No port, still a storm: Lebanon a year after the blast

The explosion at Beirut’s port was a symptom, not a cause, of the country’s malaise. We find more questions than answers about the blast and a political class unshaken by it. For half a century, one B...

4 Aug 202122min

Block off the old chips? Nvidia’s fraught merger

Block off the old chips? Nvidia’s fraught merger

The semiconductor giant wants to acquire ARM—a British firm that is more complement than competitor—but regulators may balk. We look at what’s at stake in chips. Something is changing in Americans’ sp...

3 Aug 202121min

No-sanctuary cities: the Taliban’s latest surge

No-sanctuary cities: the Taliban’s latest surge

Sweeping rural gains made as American forces have slipped out are now giving way to bids for urban areas; an enormous, symbolic victory for the insurgents looms. Singapore has enjoyed relative racial ...

2 Aug 202121min

Neither borrower nor renter be: America’s coming foreclosures

Neither borrower nor renter be: America’s coming foreclosures

America’s pandemic-driven measures granting relief on mortgages and rent arrears will soon expire, and millions of people are in danger of losing their homes. The Netherlands’ history of slavery is of...

30 Juli 202122min

Good news, ad news: Facebook’s big bucks and bets

Good news, ad news: Facebook’s big bucks and bets

The social-media behemoth revealed huge profits and stressed even bigger plans: to become an e-commerce giant and a hub for digital creators, and to pioneer something called the “metaverse”. After a b...

29 Juli 202122min

Borderline disorder: the UN’s refugee treaty at 70

Borderline disorder: the UN’s refugee treaty at 70

An international convention devised after the second world war is ill-suited to the refugee crises of today—and countries are increasingly unwilling to meet their obligations. Vancouver’s proposed res...

28 Juli 202122min

Alight in Tunisia: a democracy in crisis

Alight in Tunisia: a democracy in crisis

The president has sacked the prime minister and suspended parliament. It is clear that the country needed a shake-up in its hidebound politics—but is this the right way? A sprawling trial starting tod...

27 Juli 202121min

The blonde leading: Britain’s two years under Boris Johnson

The blonde leading: Britain’s two years under Boris Johnson

As the country tests a bold reopening strategy in the face of the Delta variant, our political editor charitably characterises the prime minister’s tenure as a mixed bag. Hong Kong’s national-security...

26 Juli 202122min

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