America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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War or less? Lebanon on the brink

War or less? Lebanon on the brink

For now, Israel’s moves seem to be posturing, a means to intimidate Hizbullah into backing down. But there remains a prospect of a ground invasion—and another pointless war. Our swing-state series sta...

26 Sep 202427min

No right left: Afghanistan’s oppressed women

No right left: Afghanistan’s oppressed women

Even before last month’s revised religious rules, Afghanistan’s women were being crushed under the Taliban’s thumb. Now they cannot even so much as raise their voices. While other countries try to cri...

25 Sep 202422min

Shun while it lasted: never-Trumpers’ fading sway

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A handful of Republican leaders have been denouncing Donald Trump since his first presidential campaign. Will the voices of those who remain be heeded this time around? China’s attempt to fix its pens...

24 Sep 202420min

Bulls’ AI: funding artificial intelligence

Bulls’ AI: funding artificial intelligence

Artificial Intelligence has gained ground so fast that OpenAI, the firm powering ChatGPT, is changing Silicon Valley’s investment model and how it innovates. Why the global nuclear order may be in per...

23 Sep 202425min

Election rejection: fears of a contested result

Election rejection: fears of a contested result

Republicans are already preparing to contest the result if Kamala Harris wins the presidency. American elections demand patience and trust, but with Donald Trump on the ballot those are in short suppl...

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Rocketing: Israel escalates Lebanon conflict

Rocketing: Israel escalates Lebanon conflict

After Israeli fires rockets into Lebanon and Hizbullah warns of “red lines” crossed, the Middle East is braced for further attacks. As the planet warms, sport is getting harder – and deadlier (6:32). ...

20 Sep 202421min

Fed-letter day: at last, a rate cut

Fed-letter day: at last, a rate cut

The first reduction in interest rates for four years shows America’s Federal Reserve thinks inflation is now in check. But does the central bank’s decision suggest it is now concerned about the labour...

19 Sep 202425min

Pager turn: the Israel-Hizbullah conflict escalates

Pager turn: the Israel-Hizbullah conflict escalates

The explosion of thousands of pagers across Lebanon and Syria was an attack on Hizbullah, a Shia militant group which had been trying to evade Israeli surveillance by using these low-tech devices. Wha...

18 Sep 202421min

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