America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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The morale of the story: Ukraine’s front lines

The morale of the story: Ukraine’s front lines

At a hidden command centre our correspondent finds deflated but defiant soldiers. Fight against Russia now, they say, or fight for Russia against Europe later. With inflation poised to play a critical...

14 Maj 202425min

Fear on draft: Ukraine’s fraught mobilisation

Fear on draft: Ukraine’s fraught mobilisation

A chat with the deputy boss of Ukraine’s military intelligence reveals concerns about a dearth of weapons—but the struggle to get new recruits is also proving problematic. The Chinese Communist Party ...

13 Maj 202422min

The Weekend Intelligence: Baseball at the border

The Weekend Intelligence: Baseball at the border

Sarah Birke and Aryn Braun report frequently on tensions at the border between America and Mexico—even more so during a year in which both countries have elections. But rarely do you hear from the peo...

11 Maj 202450min

The Intelligence: The next stage of the tech wars

The Intelligence: The next stage of the tech wars

The battles for supremacy in chipmaking and green technology industries are raging on. Re-electing Donald Trump will likely make America’s approach even more anti-China, and a move towards autarky com...

10 Maj 202425min

The Intelligence: Singapore’s “4G” era

The Intelligence: Singapore’s “4G” era

Lawrence Wong will only be the city-state’s fourth leader since its independence. Our foreign editor asks him how he hopes to balance diplomatic relationships with America and China, maintain economic...

9 Maj 202424min

The Intelligence: Supercharging India’s economy

The Intelligence: Supercharging India’s economy

Narendra Modi’s reputation for prosperity is likely to propel him to a third term. But for India’s economic successes to last, the country needs a set of new reforms. Despite a host of sanctions from ...

8 Maj 202420min

The Intelligence: Truce talk

The Intelligence: Truce talk

The ceasefire deal, which Hamas has agreed to, prompted celebrations in Gaza. But Binyamin Netanyahu isn’t satisfied and the fighting continues. Video game adaptations are getting better, and becoming...

7 Maj 202420min

The Intelligence: Mandela’s vision, tested

The Intelligence: Mandela’s vision, tested

Thirty years of democracy have not led to uniform prosperity, and nearly everyone disagrees about the equality of opportunity. How will the disenchantment manifest at the polls? How two small Texas to...

6 Maj 202427min

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