America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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Money Talks: Why Amazon should be afraid of Temu

Money Talks: Why Amazon should be afraid of Temu

Amazon started with a plan to disrupt bookselling. It sold cheap books online, delivering them straight to customers’ homes. Three decades later it employs a million people in America and owns one hun...

21 Mars 202444min

The Intelligence: Fed reckoning

The Intelligence: Fed reckoning

America’s central bank left rates untouched, to widespread market delight. Why is this economic cycle confounding expectations so much, and how to bring it to a gentle end? We look at the modern fortu...

21 Mars 202421min

The Intelligence: Leave your umbrella at home

The Intelligence: Leave your umbrella at home

It took more than 20 years for Hong Kong’s legislature to pass Article 23, a sweeping and troublingly ambiguous national-security law. Huge protests stymied such legislation in the past; not so anymor...

20 Mars 202423min

The Intelligence: The power of positive tinkering

The Intelligence: The power of positive tinkering

The Bank of Japan has ended its grand experiment in unconventional monetary policy—how did it work, and what happens now that it has concluded? Ahead of Florida’s presidential primary our corresponden...

19 Mars 202425min

The Intelligence: F is for falling standards

The Intelligence: F is for falling standards

America is producing more high-school graduates—but on average, they know less. We ask how a push for equity can in reality seed a systemic failing. London’s Canary Wharf was built as a high-rise jung...

18 Mars 202419min

Checks and Balance: Growth states

Checks and Balance: Growth states

It’s not long since America was widely thought to be on the brink of recession. Instead the economy expanded by 3% in 2023, and continues to defy expectations. But why aren’t voters happier with Joe B...

15 Mars 202447min

The Intelligence: Russia’s sham election

The Intelligence: Russia’s sham election

Voting begins today in an election that has already been won – all the opposition politicians are dead, in prison or in exile. Vladimir Putin wants to give the illusion of legitimacy. Will the rumblin...

15 Mars 202423min

The Intelligence: Is time up for TikTok?

The Intelligence: Is time up for TikTok?

The US Congress is refusing to scroll past the app’s links to China. If the bill they passed becomes law, the video-sharing network will be forced to find new owners. Binyamin Netanyahu’s emergency wa...

14 Mars 202425min

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