America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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The Intelligence: Air strikes on Houthi rebels

The Intelligence: Air strikes on Houthi rebels

America and its allies delivered on a threat to retaliate against Houthi rebels in Yemen who have been targeting Red Sea ships. How far will the escalation go? We visit Iowa ahead of the first event o...

12 Jan 202426min

The Intelligence: Growing, no pains

The Intelligence: Growing, no pains

America seems to be in a best-of-worlds scenario: growth is outpacing expectations even as inflation keeps falling—how will the party end? This week’s loss of the Peregrine One Moon lander was disappo...

11 Jan 202425min

The Intelligence: Emmanuel override

The Intelligence: Emmanuel override

Gabriel Attal, France’s youthful new prime minister, represents President Emmanuel Macron’s renewed push to pass policy reforms and to counter a resurgent far-right. In the Democratic Republic of the ...

10 Jan 202421min

Drum Tower: Taiwan goes to the polls

Drum Tower: Taiwan goes to the polls

China is watching Taiwan’s next presidential race closely. The results will influence Xi Jinping’s next steps when it comes to resolving the “Taiwan question”. Ahead of the vote on January 13th, Alice...

9 Jan 202443min

The Intelligence: Country code

The Intelligence: Country code

As with many technologies that preceded it, generative artificial intelligence is increasingly viewed as a means to geopolitical advantage: welcome to the era of AI nationalism. Creole language and cu...

9 Jan 202424min

The Intelligence: If a tree falls in the Amazon

The Intelligence: If a tree falls in the Amazon

Our correspondents travel through the rainforest, seeing the pollution and clear-cutting firsthand. Establishing the rule of law first requires a decent property register. We examine why a proposed de...

8 Jan 202424min

Checks and Balance: Biden or bust

Checks and Balance: Biden or bust

Joe Biden’s chances against Donald Trump in November do not look good. He is unpopular and his age puts many Americans off. How did it come to this? And what can the Democrats do about it?John Prideau...

5 Jan 202447min

The Intelligence: The city that never slipped

The Intelligence: The city that never slipped

From Brexit to covid-19, nothing has yet stymied London’s successes. The city has its problems, but it remains a paragon of policymaking. In the last of our series on democracy around the world, we ex...

5 Jan 202424min

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