America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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Checks and Balance: Year all about it

Checks and Balance: Year all about it

If the election were held tomorrow, Donald Trump would probably be the favourite to win. How should we be thinking about the race with a year to go? And how can the world outside of America prepare i...

17 Nov 202350min

The Intelligence: Yes, Trump could win again

The Intelligence: Yes, Trump could win again

Were America’s presidential election to be held today, Donald Trump would probably win. We examine the winds shifting in his favour, and how the Biden campaign might tack against them. The town of Bas...

17 Nov 202328min

The Intelligence: on the ground in Gaza

The Intelligence: on the ground in Gaza

There is little left, in terms of people or infrastructure, in the north of the strip. Our correspondent, embedded with the Israel Defence Forces, considers the humanitarian crisis growing in the sout...

16 Nov 202327min

The Intelligence: antisemitism in France

The Intelligence: antisemitism in France

In the European country with both the largest Jewish and largest Muslim populations, a rise in antisemitic acts brings particular perils; we examine them. Winemaking was always going to be hit hard by...

15 Nov 202321min

The Intelligence: putting a Dave face on it

The Intelligence: putting a Dave face on it

Former prime minister David Cameron is back from the political wilderness—and his appointment as foreign secretary reveals much about the state of the ruling Conservative party. We ask how Israel has ...

14 Nov 202321min

The Intelligence: Kherson, one year later

The Intelligence: Kherson, one year later

After a grinding and lethal eight-month battle, Ukraine’s forces retook the port city a year ago. Our correspondent visits, finding a populace both anxious and defiant. As with technological transform...

13 Nov 202326min

The Intelligence: how strong is the Chinese military?

The Intelligence: how strong is the Chinese military?

Miscalculating the prowess of the People’s Liberation Army is dangerous. Overestimating it could cause unnecessary confrontation, but underestimating it is risky for Taiwan. We bring you some balance....

10 Nov 202324min

Money Talks: Touring America’s industrial revival

Money Talks: Touring America’s industrial revival

President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act promised $370bn for green infrastructure and industry. It has spurred a surge in massive construction efforts such as battery plants and electric-vehicle ...

9 Nov 202344min

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