#81 Nick Hare: World's Top Forecaster Predicts How Will the Ukraine War End and If China Will Invade Taiwan
Decoding Geopolitics Podcast with Dominik Presl6 Sep 2025

#81 Nick Hare: World's Top Forecaster Predicts How Will the Ukraine War End and If China Will Invade Taiwan

➡️ Watch the full interview ad-free, join a community of geopolitics enthusiasts and gain access to exclusive content on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics

➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://stationzero.substack.com/

This is a conversation with Nick Hare, a former defense intelligence analyst in the UK government and a founder of a forecasting company Aleph Insights. But more importantly, he is what’s called a superforecaster - someone who is exceptionally successful in consistently predicting the future and far better at it than the average population or even government agencies and subject matter experts.


It’s not about magic, instead it’s about mastering the science of forecasting based on filtering out the noise, choosing the correct information to focus on, correctly analyzing historical trends, avoiding biases and a lot more, to predict stock markets, global geopolitical events or basically anything else.


It’s a fascinating field and we explain how it works, how he forecasted the Russian invasion of Ukraine or why governments and intelligence agencies fail to use these methods and tend to rely more on vibes rather than data. But more importantly, I take Nick’s exceptional forecasting skills and get him to forecast some of the key geopolitical events of the coming years that will end up shaping the world - from whether China will invade Taiwan or how will the war in Ukraine end. It’s a fascinating discussion and statistically, his answers are more accurate predictions of how these things will play out than you can find anywhere else in the world.

Det här avsnittet är hämtat från ett öppet RSS-flöde och publiceras inte av Podme. Det kan innehålla reklam.

Avsnitt(158)

Imperial Collapse Expert: The Real Reason Empires Fall - And Why America Is Next

Imperial Collapse Expert: The Real Reason Empires Fall - And Why America Is Next

➡️ Watch the full ad-free interview on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://decodinggeopolitics.substack.com/This is a conversation...

19 Sep 39min

NATO's Ex-Military Chief: War With Russia Is Coming - And We're Running Out of Time

NATO's Ex-Military Chief: War With Russia Is Coming - And We're Running Out of Time

➡️ Watch the full ad-free interview on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://decodinggeopolitics.substack.com/➡️ Check out Adm. Baue...

12 Sep 38min

Ukraine War Expert: The War Just Entered a New Phase - And It's About to Get Really Dangerous

Ukraine War Expert: The War Just Entered a New Phase - And It's About to Get Really Dangerous

➡️ Watch the full ad-free interview on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://decodinggeopolitics.substack.com/This is a conversation...

5 Sep 38min

Dalibor Rohac: Something has changed about America. It Will Reshape the World - And There’s No Going Back

Dalibor Rohac: Something has changed about America. It Will Reshape the World - And There’s No Going Back

➡️ Watch the full ad-free interview on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://decodinggeopolitics.substack.com/This is a conversation...

31 Aug 32min

The Professor Who Predicted the Iran War: This Is How America's Era Ends - And It’ll Only Get Worse | Robert Pape

The Professor Who Predicted the Iran War: This Is How America's Era Ends - And It’ll Only Get Worse | Robert Pape

➡️ Watch the full ad-free interview on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://decodinggeopolitics.substack.com/➡️ Check out Professor...

22 Aug 35min

Ex-CIA Analyst: America Is Choosing to Self-Destruct. And It Will Only Get Worse

Ex-CIA Analyst: America Is Choosing to Self-Destruct. And It Will Only Get Worse

➡️ Watch the full ad-free interview on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://decodinggeopolitics.substack.com/This is a conversation...

15 Aug 34min

Ukraine's Top Drone Expert: This War Is Not What You Think - And The Reality Is Far Worse

Ukraine's Top Drone Expert: This War Is Not What You Think - And The Reality Is Far Worse

➡️ Watch the full ad-free interview on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1804519707➡️ Sign up to my free geopo...

8 Aug 35min

Military Intel Officer: Russia Is Losing Crimea - And There's No Way Out

Military Intel Officer: Russia Is Losing Crimea - And There's No Way Out

➡️ Watch the full ad-free interview on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://decodinggeopolitics.substack.com/This is a conversation...

1 Aug 33min

Populärt inom Politik & nyheter

aftonbladet-krim
svenska-fall
p3-krim
fordomspodden
rss-krimstad
aftonbladet-daily
flashback-forever
rss-vad-fan-hande
en-runda-till
rss-sanning-konsekvens
politiken
svd-ledarredaktionen
rss-krimreportrarna
rss-flodet
omni-podd
motiv
rss-frandfors-horna
kungligt
rss-utopia-2
dagens-eko