Market Impact of a Government Shutdown

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 29th, 2025Featuring:1) David Seif, Chief Economist for Developed Markets at Nomura, joins to discuss the economic impact of a government shutdown, economic reacceleration, and whether the Fed's easing cycle will be linear. Traders are looking ahead to a series of US labor reports due this week to gauge the Fed's next move, with the release of Friday's key payrolls report in doubt amid a budget impasse in Congress.2) Monica Guerra, Executive Director and Head of US Policy at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, on the latest of a looming government shutdown. The US is hurtling toward a government shutdown with Democrats and Republicans seemingly no closer to agreeing on a plan to fund federal operations.3) Suki Cooper, Global Head: Commodities Research at Standard Chartered Bank, brings us into the market open and talks about gold's record run. Gold's record-breaking rally came to a halt, with spot gold falling 0.9% after touching a new all-time high earlier on Tuesday.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Financial Times story on a record number of M&A deals and Business Insider's report on Bill Nye and brain health.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

30 Sep 21min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.In this episode, we feature conversations with Lori Calvasina & Jim Caron.Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

29 Sep 3min

- Manny Roman, Chief Executive Officer at PIMCO - Patrick McHenry, Former Chair of the House Financial Services Committee and Bloomberg Contributor - Max Kettner, Chief Multi-Asset Strategist at HSBC - Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research Manny Roman, Chief Executive Officer at PIMCO, shares his views on investing in the AI infrastructure boom and why the full impact of President Trump’s tariff policies has yet to be seen. Patrick McHenry, Former Chair of the House Financial Services Committee and Bloomberg Contributor, discusses what’s at stake as a government shutdown looms in Washington. Max Kettner, Chief Multi-Asset Strategist at HSBC, joins to discuss the continuing rally in equities as traders await labor-market data this week that could reinforce bets about the Federal Reserve’s path of interest-rate cuts. Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, gives his outlook for Fed rate policy following last week’s stronger-than-anticipated inflation and jobs data.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

29 Sep 36min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 29th, 2025Featuring:1) Henrietta Treyz, Co-Founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss what's at stake as President Trump is set to meet with Democratic leaders at the White House on Monday with the first government shutdown in nearly seven years looming.2) Jim Caron, CIO of Cross Asset Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, on what comes next for markets after the Fed's long-anticipated rate cut. Monetary policy easing is thought to be needed to support the labor market, and while true, there is another reason lurking – to avoid the risk and vulnerabilities of a liquidity squeeze.3) Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, joins with some perspective on risk assets as stocks rose at the start of a week that will be dominated by a series of labor market reports, with traders betting the data will reinforce expectations for US interest rate cuts.4) Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Wall Street Journal report on how American credit markets may be running too hot.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

29 Sep 23min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with John Stoltzfus & Katy Kaminski. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

26 Sep 4min

- James Bullard, former St. Louis Fed President and Dean of Purdue Business School- Thomas Barkin, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond- Ryan Wang, US Economist at HSBC - Kyriakos Mitsotakis, Prime Minister of Greece James Bullard, former St. Louis Fed President and Dean of Purdue Business School, joins for analysis of the day's economic data and what it means for the path of monetary policy. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin gives his assessment of the current state of the American economy. Ryan Wang, US Economist at HSBC, shares how Friday's PCE print is helping reshape his economic outlook. Plus - Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis says there is movement among European Union member states to issue joint debt to support a defense spending boost in the bloc. He speaks with Bloomberg News Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait in New York as the 80th annual United Nations General Assembly winds down.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

26 Sep 34min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 26th, 2025Featuring:1) David Bailin, CEO at CIO Capital Partners, Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO, and Aoifinn Devitt, Senior Investment Strategist at Moneta Group, react to PCE. Investors are pondering the Federal Reserve’s next policy move following a slew of data this week, including strong growth data from the world’s biggest economy.2) Katy Kaminski, Chief Research Strategist at AlphaSimplex, talks about her outlook for equities, commodities, and other markets. After a $15 trillion rebound in global equities from April’s lows, traders now face a wall of uncertainty as tariff headlines return to unsettle markets and investors fret about inflated valuations for big tech companies. Fed policy, the upcoming earnings season, and the threat of a US government shutdown are also weighing on sentiment.3) Dan Tannebaum, Partner and Global Anti-Financial Crime Practice Leader at Oliver Wyman, talks Russian incursions into NATO territory and what sanction power the US has to limit the country's aggression. NATO countries have faced a series of violations by Russian jets and drones in recent days, incidents that posed an unprecedented test of the alliance’s credibility just as Moscow is intensifying attacks on Ukraine’s civilian infrastructure as well. 4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Financial Times story on NBC's digital attack ads on YouTube TV and WSJ's report on AI spending.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

26 Sep 35min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Wendy Schiller & Ethan Bronner. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

25 Sep 4min