Ep 31: Philip Tetlock on the Art of Forecasting

Ep 31: Philip Tetlock on the Art of Forecasting

Yogi Berra once said, "It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future." Philip Tetlock joins Vasant Dhar in episode 31 of Brave New World to discuss what superforecasters do consistently well -- and how we can improve our judgement and decision-making.

Useful resources:
1. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction -- Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner.
2. Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? -- Philip Tetlock.
3. Daniel Kahneman on How Noise Hampers Judgement -- Episode 21 of Brave New World.
4. Everything Is Obvious: *Once You Know the Answer -- Duncan Watts.
5. The Hedgehog and the Fox -- Isiah Berlin.
6. What do forecasting rationales reveal about thinking patterns of top geopolitical forecasters? -- Christopher W Karvetski, Carolyn Meinel, Daniel T Maxwell, Yunzi Lu, Barbara A.Mellers and Philip E.Tetlock.
7. Terry Odean on How to Think about Investing -- Episode 23 of Brave New World.
8. Reciprocal Scoring: A Method for Forecasting Unanswerable Questions -- Ezra Karger, Joshua Monrad, Barb Mellers and Philip Tetlock.
9. The Signal and the Noise -- Nate Silver.
10. FiveThirtyEight.

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Avsnitt(100)

Ep 106: Luca Turin On Decoding Smell

Ep 106: Luca Turin On Decoding Smell

Smell is the most mysterious of our senses and we've been getting it wrong. Biophysicist Luca Turin joins Vasant Dhar to reveal why and how our noses detect vibrations and what that could mean for dis...

11 Juni 1h 16min

Ep 105: Nicholas Christakis on The Impacts of Machines on Human Groups

Ep 105: Nicholas Christakis on The Impacts of Machines on Human Groups

Your networks shape you more than you know. Nicholas Christakis joins Vasant Dhar to reveal how machines inserted into human groups quietly rewire the way people cooperate, coordinate, and trust — and...

14 Maj 1h 8min

Ep 104: Leslie Kay on Smell, Memory and the Brain

Ep 104: Leslie Kay on Smell, Memory and the Brain

Your nose knows more than you think. Professor Leslie M. Kay joins Vasant Dhar to reveal how smell is wired directly into the brain's emotional core — and how every breath you take is quietly synchron...

9 Apr 1h 14min

EP 103: Léon Bottou on Fiction Machines and the Limits of AI Alignment

EP 103: Léon Bottou on Fiction Machines and the Limits of AI Alignment

What separates fluency from understanding? Léon Bottou joins Vasant Dhar in Episode 103, Brave New World, to explore the deep question at the heart of AI. Useful Resources: 1. Léon Bottou2. Léon Bott...

12 Mars 1h 27min

Ep 103: Jayant Sinha on AI Governance In A Fragmented World

Ep 103: Jayant Sinha on AI Governance In A Fragmented World

AI is reshaping national power and governance. Drawing on India's digital public infrastructure, Jayant Sinha and Vasant Dhar discuss innovation and sovereignty over compute, data consent and privacy ...

12 Feb 1h 10min

Ep 102 -  Alex 'Sandy' Pentland on Humanizing Technology

Ep 102 - Alex 'Sandy' Pentland on Humanizing Technology

Professor Alex 'Sandy' Pentland, one of the most renowned computational scientists in the world, joins Vasant Dhar in Episode 102 of Brave New World to discuss the state and development of human-centr...

8 Jan 54min

Ep 101: Deepak Chopra On Consciousness and Reality

Ep 101: Deepak Chopra On Consciousness and Reality

Useful Resources: 1. Deepak Chopra2. Donald D. Hoffman3. Awakening: The Path to Freedom and Enlightenment - Deepak Chopra4. Seymour Reichlin5. Digital Dharma: How AI Can Elevate Spiritual Intellige...

11 Dec 20251h 14min

Ep 100: David Ko, From Panic to Purpose

Ep 100: David Ko, From Panic to Purpose

Episode 100 of Brave New World features David Ko, CEO of Calm, a digital health company focused on mental wellness and mindfulness. From experiencing panic attacks as a teenager to being the driving f...

19 Nov 20251h 1min

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