FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics

The 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

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The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away

The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away

Galen is out today, so 538’s Nathaniel Rakich steps in to guide the crew through the numbers. They unpack President Joe Biden’s surprise decision to pardon his son Hunter, exploring the historical con...

2 Dec 202438min

Voters Lose Their Appetite For Incumbents

Voters Lose Their Appetite For Incumbents

In this Thanksgiving week installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew sits down for a three-course discussion. First, a new poll suggests that economic sentiment data might be even more warped b...

25 Nov 202441min

How The Polls Did In 2024

How The Polls Did In 2024

Election Day was a moment of truth for pollsters. After high-profile misses in 2016 and 2020, and with a public that has become less trusting of polling, 2024 had the potential to be a make-or-break y...

21 Nov 202427min

What Americans Expect From Trump's Second Term

What Americans Expect From Trump's Second Term

We are beginning to get a clearer view of what a second Trump administration might look like. President-elect Donald Trump is announcing his cabinet picks, the size of Republicans' majority in Congres...

18 Nov 202439min

A 'Realignment' Among Latino Voters

A 'Realignment' Among Latino Voters

Latino voters made a big jump to the right this election cycle. While the numbers aren’t final, AP Votecast reports an 8-point shift and Edison exit polls indicate more than a 14-point swing. Carlos O...

14 Nov 202440min

The Best And Worst Post-Election Hot Takes

The Best And Worst Post-Election Hot Takes

Since Election Day, there’s been no shortage of hot takes explaining what happened and what it all means. Have Democrats lost the working class? Does President-elect Donald Trump have an unprecedented...

11 Nov 202438min

Donald Trump Wins The Presidency

Donald Trump Wins The Presidency

In this late-night, election-night edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the results showing Donald Trump winning a second presidential term. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit ...

6 Nov 202433min

An Hour-By-Hour Guide To Election Night

An Hour-By-Hour Guide To Election Night

At long last, Election Day is upon us. In this final pre-results episode, the crew shares a guide for what to expect on election night — from the first poll closures in Indiana, to the last poll closu...

5 Nov 202442min

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