Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they bring their analytical framework to everything from politics to poker to personal decisions.

Maria has a PhD in psychology and is the author of several books including, most recently, The Biggest Bluff. While researching the book, she inadvertently became a professional poker player, with over $500,000 in tournament winnings. She is a PokerStars Team Pro.

Nate is the founder and former editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, and one of the country’s leading election forecasters. He has over $800,000 in lifetime poker tournament winnings and his forthcoming book, On the Edge, is about gambling and risk.

Risky Business is a co-production of iHeart Media and Pushkin Industries.

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Avsnitt(104)

Live from Aspen! Zohran Mamdani’s Win, and How To Communicate Probabilities

Live from Aspen! Zohran Mamdani’s Win, and How To Communicate Probabilities

Nate and Maria take a quick break from the World Series of Poker to tape a live episode at the Aspen Ideas Festival. They give some updates on a scandal at the World Series, then discuss Zohran Mamdan...

3 Juli 202551min

Iran: Don’t Rush To Judge A Dangerous Moment

Iran: Don’t Rush To Judge A Dangerous Moment

This week, Nate and Maria discuss Trump’s strikes on Iran. How can we understand this developing situation, without falling prey to our own biases? And when nuclear weapons are involved, how do risk c...

26 Juni 202543min

Cautionary Questions with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

Cautionary Questions with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

Can game theory be used to win a world cup? Can you pay the way out of political corruption? And are there winning strategies in life we don't use because we're too embarrassed? We're sharing this spe...

24 Juni 202543min

Does Ranked Choice Voting Work? Plus, New AI Predictions

Does Ranked Choice Voting Work? Plus, New AI Predictions

Nate and Maria report back on the ups and downs of the WSOP. Then, they discuss ranked choice voting and the upcoming New York City mayoral primary. This voting system is supposed to help a consensus ...

19 Juni 202544min

This Year’s World Series Of Poker Is Different

This Year’s World Series Of Poker Is Different

Nate and Maria are back in Las Vegas for the World Series of Poker 2025. They discuss a key rule change that will have a major effect on their strategy. Then, they’re joined by a Risky Business listen...

12 Juni 202542min

An Elon Musk Report Card

An Elon Musk Report Card

Elon Musk has left the Trump administration. Nate and Maria talk about his brief but influential tenure, and discuss why overconfidence is a particular problem for people like Musk. Plus, they answer ...

5 Juni 202545min

Why ChatGPT Sucks at Poker

Why ChatGPT Sucks at Poker

ChatGPT is amazing at many things…but it can’t seem to figure out poker. Nate and Maria explain why, and talk about the implications for artificial general intelligence. Plus, they discuss Trump vs. H...

29 Maj 202550min

Motivated Reasoning in the Biden Campaign, Silicon Valley, and Beyond

Motivated Reasoning in the Biden Campaign, Silicon Valley, and Beyond

We tend to use logic to reach conclusions that agree with our biases. Psychologists call this motivated reasoning. Today, Nate and Maria talk about motivated reasoning in the Biden campaign and Silico...

21 Maj 202544min

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