SI128: Investing during Inflationary or Deflationary periods ft. Jerry Parker

SI128: Investing during Inflationary or Deflationary periods ft. Jerry Parker

Jerry Parker returns today to discuss how Trend Following is perfectly suited for both inflationary and deflationary environments, why investors tend to underperform the S&P500 index, how to look at open trade risk & current equity curve, the perils of designing the ‘perfect’ trading system with all the bells & whistles, whether or not it’s a good idea to tighten stop-losses on profitable trades that have risen sharply, why financial media tends to dramatise the impact CTAs have on the markets, and why Trend Following on Bitcoin may be a better option than buy & hold.

Also check out my interview with Turtle Trading legendary mentor Richard Dennis here.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Jerry on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:28 – Macro recap from Niels

03:30 – Weekly review of performance

30:49 – Questions from Antonio: What was Bill & Richard’s performance like before they started the Turtle Trader program? What was Chesapeake’s performance like up until Salem Trading was taken under their wing? What has Trend Following performance been like in the 10 years before 2020? Did Richard Dennis want his Turtles to come up with new ideas? Why did famous Trend Followers stop Trend Following in the 1990s?

59:43 – Q1; Mohit: Can you ask Jerry what risk-per-trade he recommends?

01:02:36 – Q2; Peter: Has Jerry ever considered running a new ‘Turtle Trading’ experiment?

01:13:25 – Benchmark performance update

01:14:24 – Recommended listening or reading this week: Dr Andrew Huberman on the Lewis Howes Podcast

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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GM104: How the Dollar Quietly Took Over the World ft. Brendan Greeley

GM104: How the Dollar Quietly Took Over the World ft. Brendan Greeley

The US dollar has become so familiar that most investors rarely stop to ask how it became the world's dominant currency or why that dominance has endured. Brendan Greeley joins Alan Dunne to trace the...

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SI407: Why America Is Rewriting the Rules of Capitalism ft. Cem Karsan

SI407: Why America Is Rewriting the Rules of Capitalism ft. Cem Karsan

Markets may be entering one of the most important regime shifts in decades. Cem Karsan joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to argue that the United States is moving away from traditional free market capitalis...

4 Heinä 1h 1min

GM103: Why Optimism Could Be the Most Contrarian Trade ft. Pippa Malmgren

GM103: Why Optimism Could Be the Most Contrarian Trade ft. Pippa Malmgren

While much of the world is focused on geopolitical conflict, inflation and rising global tensions, Pippa Malmgren argues that a very different future may already be taking shape. Joining Niels Kaastru...

1 Heinä 1h 19min

SI406: Why Uncertainty Is a Trend Follower’s Best Friend ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI406: Why Uncertainty Is a Trend Follower’s Best Friend ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Markets rarely move in straight lines, but periods of uncertainty often create the biggest opportunities for systematic investors. Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Mark Rzepczynski examine why geopolitical s...

27 Kesä 1h 8min

IL50: Why Central Banks Are Losing Control of Inflation ft. Manoj Pradhan

IL50: Why Central Banks Are Losing Control of Inflation ft. Manoj Pradhan

Manoj Pradhan returns to Top Traders Unplugged to explain why the forces that kept inflation and interest rates low for decades are now reversing. Drawing on themes from The Great Demographic Reversal...

24 Kesä 1h 1min

SI405: Why Most Trend Following Improvements Should Fail ft. Rob Carver

SI405: Why Most Trend Following Improvements Should Fail ft. Rob Carver

Trend following investors are constantly searching for ways to improve performance, but not every improvement survives contact with reality. Rob Carver joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to explore whether i...

20 Kesä 1h 12min

GM102: China Built a Trap. Germany Set It. America Fell In. Europe Is Next ft. Michael Pettis

GM102: China Built a Trap. Germany Set It. America Fell In. Europe Is Next ft. Michael Pettis

Michael Pettis joins Alan Dunne for a wide ranging conversation on trade imbalances, globalization and the future of the world economy. Drawing on decades of research into China, Europe and financial ...

17 Kesä 1h 23min

SI404: When Trend Following Meets Equities ft. Eric Crittenden & Andrew Beer

SI404: When Trend Following Meets Equities ft. Eric Crittenden & Andrew Beer

Trend following has long promised and delivered diversification, crisis protection and uncorrelated returns. Yet many investors still struggle to hold it through difficult periods. In this conversatio...

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