SI129: Correlation & Volatility…and is holding bonds “Stupid”? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI129: Correlation & Volatility…and is holding bonds “Stupid”? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

We’re joined today by Mark Rzepczynski to discuss the return of the GameStop short-squeeze, Trend Following in a high interest-rate environment, the future of AI & machine learning in trading models, the case for including short positions in a portfolio, how to spot a commodity ‘super-cycle’, the different factors driving markets higher, why good news can often be bad news for markets, retail investors opening trades on the wrong ticker symbols, and why Trend Following tends to do better on the long-side.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

  • If holding bonds "stupid"?
  • The problem of being an economic policy engineer
  • Why we have to make a distinguish between complicated and complex systems
  • The value of intuition - coup d'oeil and Clausewitz
  • Robot systematic versus human (discretionary) can you tell the difference? Is there a Turing test and " I Robot"
  • Correlation and volatility
  • The poor quality of forecasts - latest from currency markets
  • Due diligence and quality of managers.
  • Intraday trends – are they stable or unstable?

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Mark on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:46 – Macro recap from Niels

05:18 – Weekly review of performance

01:04:48 – Q1 & Q2; Plamen: Is there an official organisation that studies & publishes data about the CTA industry? Can you speak about the research process you follow and how you generate trade ideas?

01:10:49 – Benchmark performance update

01:12:25 – Recommended listening or reading this week: Howard Marks’ latest memo

01:14:34 – Announcement: Special episode next week featuring both Jerry Parker & Rob Carver

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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SI408: Has Trend Following Changed Forever? ft. Alan Dunne

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GM104: How the Dollar Quietly Took Over the World ft. Brendan Greeley

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The US dollar has become so familiar that most investors rarely stop to ask how it became the world's dominant currency or why that dominance has endured. Brendan Greeley joins Alan Dunne to trace the...

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Markets may be entering one of the most important regime shifts in decades. Cem Karsan joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to argue that the United States is moving away from traditional free market capitalis...

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GM103: Why Optimism Could Be the Most Contrarian Trade ft. Pippa Malmgren

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While much of the world is focused on geopolitical conflict, inflation and rising global tensions, Pippa Malmgren argues that a very different future may already be taking shape. Joining Niels Kaastru...

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SI406: Why Uncertainty Is a Trend Follower’s Best Friend ft. Mark Rzepczynski

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