SI222: Trend Following vs Tail Hedging to Protect Your Portfolio ft. Rob Carver

SI222: Trend Following vs Tail Hedging to Protect Your Portfolio ft. Rob Carver

Today, Rob Carver joins us for conversation on Trend Following with something for the both the individual everyday investor and the trend following nerds. We also catch up on this week's events which included news of the biggest one-week outflow of US Equity Mutual & ETF funds since April 2021 and the news that Blackstone will be limiting investor redemption's in one of their Real Estate funds. We discuss how Rob uses dynamic market selection to diversify his portfolio and how he plans out his trading year when it comes to deep dive analysis, how he implements and tests his continuous trend systems and if he believes in using tail protection strategies to manage risk. We also discuss how Rob implement his carry strategy, portfolio optimization and momentum factor investing, what the special Year-End Group episodes will bring and much more.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

03:39 - What happened this week?

20:22 - Industry performance update

22:25 - Q1, Elie: Can you run a continous system without daily vol targeting? Can you calculate signal scaling with in-sample data? More info on the mean reversion system with a high sharpe?

34:42 - Q2, Matthijs: How does Rob think about protecting/diversifying his portfolio with tail protection strategies?

42:54 - Q3, Richard: Has Rob considered conditioning his carry forecasts based on asset class? Should I account for using the spread of nearest contract to nearest plus when calculating the raw carry...

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SI374: When the Data Goes Dark: Trend Following, Turbulence & Total Portfolios ft. Katy Kaminski

SI374: When the Data Goes Dark: Trend Following, Turbulence & Total Portfolios ft. Katy Kaminski

What happens when the data goes dark, yet markets barely flinch? In this episode, Niels and Katy unpack the month of October defined by missing economic releases, relentless equity strength and three ...

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GM91: Inside China’s Growth Dilemma ft. George Magnus

GM91: Inside China’s Growth Dilemma ft. George Magnus

China’s ascent tells two stories. One of power, precision, and industrial brilliance - the other of imbalance, aging, and constraint. In this episode, Alan Dunne and George Magnus trace the hidden geo...

12 Marras 20251h

SI373: Why Trend Thrives When Inflation Returns ft. Yoav Git

SI373: Why Trend Thrives When Inflation Returns ft. Yoav Git

What if markets move not by logic, but by pressure? In this conversation, Alan Dunne and Yoav Git trace the invisible currents behind price formation, namely how a single dollar of inflow can lift val...

8 Marras 20251h 2min

GM90: The Quiet Repricing of Reality ft. Adam Rozencwajg & Cem Karsan

GM90: The Quiet Repricing of Reality ft. Adam Rozencwajg & Cem Karsan

Power shifts quietly, until it doesn’t. In this episode, Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Cem Karsan are joined by Adam Rozencwajg to trace the slow fracture of a system built on leverage, politics, and beli...

5 Marras 20251h 11min

OI19 BONUS: Living With Ed Seykota ft. David Druz

OI19 BONUS: Living With Ed Seykota ft. David Druz

Dave Druz spent six months living with Ed Seykota - not shadowing a trading system, but watching a way of being. In this bonus episode, he shares what that experience revealed: a style built on instin...

3 Marras 202541min

SI372: QIS Unboxed: Rules, Wrappers, and Reality ft. Nick Baltas

SI372: QIS Unboxed: Rules, Wrappers, and Reality ft. Nick Baltas

As equity markets grind higher and trend strategies navigate sharp reversals, Moritz Siebert welcomes Nick Baltas of Goldman Sachs for a conversation that moves beyond performance to examine structure...

1 Marras 202558min

OI19: The Trader Who Never Spoke...Until Now ft. David Druz

OI19: The Trader Who Never Spoke...Until Now ft. David Druz

Dave Druz has never told his story... not like this, not anywhere. For over 40 years, he traded quietly, systematically, and on his own terms. No marketing, no headlines, no need to explain. Until now...

29 Loka 20251h 36min

SI371: Trends Don’t Form Randomly. They Form Reflexively ft. Richard Brennan

SI371: Trends Don’t Form Randomly. They Form Reflexively ft. Richard Brennan

Richard Brennan returns this week to explore how markets truly move - not through randomness or rationality, but through impact, feedback, and memory. What begins with a single trade builds into struc...

25 Loka 20251h 17min

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