SI226: Trend Following - the Do's & the Dont's ft. Rob Carver

SI226: Trend Following - the Do's & the Dont's ft. Rob Carver

Today, Rob Carver returns to the show for the first weekly trend following conversation in 2023, where we discuss the unusual situation with the vol market and how to use stops and moving average crossovers when entering and exiting trades, what it takes to run a trend following portfolio in 2023 and why it is not for everyone, how Kurtosis and skew is used in managed futures, Rob's process of picking parameters and why using a mixture parameter speed is the most optimal approach. We also discuss the U.S. debt ceiling and why it can become a potential problem, speed in trend following and why you shouldn’t put all your eggs in one basket, how much math you need to work in the financial markets and much more.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

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Episode TimeStamps:

02:18 - What happened since we last spoke?

09:58 - Industry performance update

12:49 - A1, Andrew: Use stop or wait for crossover?

18:41 - Q2, Joseph: Is running your own trend following portfolio reasonable in 2023?

22:58 - Q3, Bart: The importance of Kurtosis

26:53 - Q4, Ross: How to pick parameters?

41:22 - Defending optimization

43:32 - The U.S Debt ceiling

48:05 - The need for speed in trend following

56:16 - Optimal trend following with transaction cost

59:05 - How much Math is needed to be a Trend Follower?

01:04:12 - Thanks for listening

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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