164: Expectancy vs. Win Rate: What Really Matters
Stock Market Options Trading29 Syys 2025

164: Expectancy vs. Win Rate: What Really Matters

In this episode of the Stock Market Options Trading Podcast, Eric dives into the concept of expectancy—a key metric that blends win rate, average win size, and average loss size into one number that helps traders understand whether a strategy has a real edge over the long run.

We break down why a high win rate alone doesn’t guarantee profits (think 98% win rate ads…), and how expectancy provides better context by showing how much you can expect to make or lose per trade on average. Eric also shares updates inside Alpha Crunching: the Trade Ideas tab now includes expectancy alongside win rate, giving subscribers deeper insight when sorting potential setups for the week.

You’ll also hear about future enhancements—like adding average win and loss values—so traders can better gauge risk-reward and decide which setups fit their personal style.

👉 Try Alpha Crunching for yourself and get 50% off your first month here: https://alphacrunching.com

Tämä jakso on lisätty Podme-palveluun avoimen RSS-syötteen kautta eikä se ole Podmen omaa tuotantoa. Siksi jakso saattaa sisältää mainontaa.

Jaksot(187)

Profit Taking Concepts For Credit Spreads

Profit Taking Concepts For Credit Spreads

In this episode, we'll discuss when to take profits when trading credit spreads. https://AlphaCrunching.com is the forecast tool mentioned in this episode. Here's the link to the chart with trade deta...

14 Joulu 202215min

Are You Guilty of Survivorship Bias?

Are You Guilty of Survivorship Bias?

Want the latest in trading research and support the podcast at the same time?Come join me at https://www.patreon.com/VerticalSpreadOptionsTrading to get started. Summary:Survivorship bias or survival ...

29 Marras 20228min

Could You Trade This Strategy?

Could You Trade This Strategy?

Want the latest in trading research and support the podcast at the same time?Come join me at https://www.patreon.com/VerticalSpreadOptionsTrading to get started. Summary:In this episode we talk throug...

15 Marras 202216min

Are You A "Real" Options Trader?

Are You A "Real" Options Trader?

Want the latest in trading research and support the podcast at the same time?Come join me at https://www.patreon.com/VerticalSpreadOptionsTrading to get started. Summary:"Are you a real options trader...

8 Marras 202210min

3 Tips For Trading a New Strategy

3 Tips For Trading a New Strategy

Want the latest in trading research and support the podcast at the same time?Come join me at https://www.patreon.com/VerticalSpreadOptionsTrading to get started. Summary:Trading a new strategy can be ...

1 Marras 202212min

Building a Position in Amazon (AMZN)

Building a Position in Amazon (AMZN)

Want the latest in trading research and support the podcast at the same time?Come join me at https://www.patreon.com/VerticalSpreadOptionsTrading to get started. Summary:In this episode, I share how I...

25 Loka 202219min

The Best Fed Pivot Indicator

The Best Fed Pivot Indicator

Want the latest in trading research and support the podcast at the same time?Come join me at https://www.patreon.com/VerticalSpreadOptionsTrading to get started. Summary:The Fed continues to raise int...

19 Loka 20229min

Trading The Drunk Man

Trading The Drunk Man

The stock market is a drunk man that never falls down and doesn't ever go to sleep. Let's discuss this analogy and the challenges it brings to trading stocks and options. Want the latest in trading re...

6 Loka 202210min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
mimmit-sijoittaa
rss-oivalluksia-rahasta-elamasta
rss-rahamania
rss-sami-miettinen-neuvottelija
rss-startup-ministerio
asuntoasiaa-paivakirjat
rss-lahtijat
rahapuhetta
sijoituspodi
hyva-paha-johtaminen
rss-kaikki-koroista
rss-bisnesta-bebeja
rss-karon-grilli
rss-lentopaivakirjat
rss-set-for-life-sijoita-ja-vaurastu
rss-h-asselmoilanen
rss-paivystyspodi