164: Expectancy vs. Win Rate: What Really Matters

164: Expectancy vs. Win Rate: What Really Matters

In this episode of the Stock Market Options Trading Podcast, Eric dives into the concept of expectancy—a key metric that blends win rate, average win size, and average loss size into one number that helps traders understand whether a strategy has a real edge over the long run.

We break down why a high win rate alone doesn’t guarantee profits (think 98% win rate ads…), and how expectancy provides better context by showing how much you can expect to make or lose per trade on average. Eric also shares updates inside Alpha Crunching: the Trade Ideas tab now includes expectancy alongside win rate, giving subscribers deeper insight when sorting potential setups for the week.

You’ll also hear about future enhancements—like adding average win and loss values—so traders can better gauge risk-reward and decide which setups fit their personal style.

👉 Try Alpha Crunching for yourself and get 50% off your first month here: https://alphacrunching.com

Jaksot(177)

Advanced Options Backtesting With Option Omega

Advanced Options Backtesting With Option Omega

Use the code "SMOT" at OptionOmega.com for 50% off their advanced backtesting software. In this episode, I talk with Troy and Rusty from Option Omega on the creativity of options trading and how adva...

31 Maalis 202258min

Kelly Criterion For Position Sizing Credit Spreads

Kelly Criterion For Position Sizing Credit Spreads

In this episode, I cover my interpretation of the Kelly Criterion to help determine the optimum position size for a credit spread strategy. We'll talk through the basic idea as well as the four factor...

15 Maalis 202219min

R Multiple for Credit Spreads

R Multiple for Credit Spreads

R Multiple is the amount you won or lost in terms of your risk. Knowing your R Multiple will help you position size correctly in which we will cover in another episode. In this episode, we'll talk th...

2 Maalis 202216min

Index Options Trading with David Sun

Index Options Trading with David Sun

David Sun is an index options trader and has his own podcast called The Trade Busters where he details his index options trading strategies. David was on Episode 20 and 21 of the podcast about a year ...

28 Tammi 202249min

5 Huge Option Trading Tips For Beginners

5 Huge Option Trading Tips For Beginners

This is a must listen episode if you are a new options trader. The goal here is to help get you to consistent profits and these tips can help when you're first starting out with options. Want to discu...

19 Tammi 202227min

Running a Stock Market Insurance Company

Running a Stock Market Insurance Company

Great discussion with another SPX options trader where we discuss his approach to trading put options like a stock market insurance company. Want to discuss this episode with us? Come join us at https...

18 Marras 202153min

SPX 0DTE Options Trading For The Rest Of Us

SPX 0DTE Options Trading For The Rest Of Us

In this episode, I'm sharing my exact SPX 0DTE Put Credit Spread strategy for Mondays. SPX 0DTE is the act of trading options the day they expire. Typically, to take advantage of selling premium on th...

15 Loka 202126min

When to Buy SPY Call Options

When to Buy SPY Call Options

In this episode we'll backtest an SPY call option buying strategy during market pullbacks like we're in the middle of here in October 2021. We'll look at a 5 year study and talk through exactly the ma...

6 Loka 202118min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
mimmit-sijoittaa
rss-rahapodi
herrasmieshakkerit
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahamania
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
taloudellinen-mielenrauha
rss-sisalto-kuntoon
inderespodi
rahapuhetta
sijoituspodi
lakicast
rss-h-asselmoilanen
rss-startup-ministerio
rss-uppoava-vn-laiva
rss-seuraava-potilas
sijoitusovi-podcast
bakkari-tarinoita-tapahtumien-takahuoneista
rss-myynnilla-on-asiaa-kert-kenner