Ep68 “Is It Better to Overestimate or Underestimate Your Enemies?” with H.R. McMaster

Ep68 “Is It Better to Overestimate or Underestimate Your Enemies?” with H.R. McMaster

Historically, the U.S. has had a habit of overestimating the capabilities of its enemies. Why? Is this an intentional security strategy? Or does the U.S. need to change the way it gathers enemy intelligence?

Former National Security Advisor H.R. McMaster gives hosts and finance professors Jonathan Berk and Jules van Binsbergen a crash course on military intelligence and national security advising.

The conversation covers why the overestimation of enemies happens, including historical examples of misjudgments, the role of proxies in modern conflicts, strategic considerations involving major powers like China, and the threat of information warfare.

Find All Else Equal on the web:

https://lauder.wharton.upenn.edu/allelse/

All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions Podcast is a production of the UPenn Wharton Lauder Institute through University FM.


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Jaksot(95)

Ep22 “How Do You Know If Your Marketing Dollars Are Working?” with Florian Zettelmeyer

Ep22 “How Do You Know If Your Marketing Dollars Are Working?” with Florian Zettelmeyer

Note: if you are hearing the wrong audio try redownloading the episode or listen here.What reach does marketing really have? In the murky waters of cause and effect marketers have to figure out where ...

15 Maalis 202326min

Ep21 "Disentangling Causation and Correlation" with Guido Imbens

Ep21 "Disentangling Causation and Correlation" with Guido Imbens

It can be tempting to think one thing causes another because they happen in succession, but there’s a lot to unwrap in the idea of causality. In this episode of All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions...

1 Maalis 202328min

Ep20 "Risk and the Fundamental Tradeoff of Corporate Finance"

Ep20 "Risk and the Fundamental Tradeoff of Corporate Finance"

Risk is an inherent part of all business decisions and understanding ways this risk can be reduced is essential to succeeding in today’s business environment. In this episode of All Else Equal: Making...

15 Helmi 202320min

Ep19 “The Future of Money: Central Bank Digital Currency?” with Kevin Warsh

Ep19 “The Future of Money: Central Bank Digital Currency?” with Kevin Warsh

Cryptocurrency is increasing in popularity but still confusing to many consumers and finance professionals alike. On this episode of All Else Equal, finance professors Jules van Binsbergen and Jonatha...

1 Helmi 202326min

Ep18 “Investigating Implausible Theories” with John Ioannidis

Ep18 “Investigating Implausible Theories” with John Ioannidis

In science, we often hear about new discoveries or theories that could change our way of thinking. In the business world, a start-up might promise a revolution in a specific industry, if it can get th...

18 Tammi 202330min

Ep17 “Can The Free Market Discourage Fraud?” with Marc Cohodes

Ep17 “Can The Free Market Discourage Fraud?” with Marc Cohodes

There’s a negative connotation associated with short selling – the act of betting against a stock to perform well. But is this trading practice truly a bad thing? In this episode of All Else Equal: Ma...

7 Joulu 202226min

Ep16 “The Value Of Protecting Unpleasant Speech” with John Paulson

Ep16 “The Value Of Protecting Unpleasant Speech” with John Paulson

Freedom of expression is a constitutional right, but it’s also a valuable business strategy. In this episode of All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions, hosts and finance professors Jonathan Berk and ...

16 Marras 202226min

Ep15 "Shareholder vs. Stakeholder Capitalism" with Alex Edmans

Ep15 "Shareholder vs. Stakeholder Capitalism" with Alex Edmans

Businesses often prioritize shareholder interests to make profit. But this can lead to short-sighted decisions that fail to benefit other stakeholders… right? In this episode of All Else Equal: Making...

2 Marras 202224min

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