#4 - Howie Lempel on pandemics that kill hundreds of millions and how to stop them

#4 - Howie Lempel on pandemics that kill hundreds of millions and how to stop them

What disaster is most likely to kill more than 10 million human beings in the next 20 years? Terrorism? Famine? An asteroid?

Actually it’s probably a pandemic: a deadly new disease that spreads out of control. We’ve recently seen the risks with Ebola and swine flu, but they pale in comparison to the Spanish flu which killed 3% of the world’s population in 1918 to 1920. A pandemic of that scale today would kill 200 million.

In this in-depth interview I speak to Howie Lempel, who spent years studying pandemic preparedness for the Open Philanthropy Project. We spend the first 20 minutes covering his work at the foundation, then discuss how bad the pandemic problem is, why it’s probably getting worse, and what can be done about it.

Full transcript, apply for personalised coaching to help you work on pandemic preparedness, see what questions are asked when, and read extra resources to learn more.

In the second half we go through where you personally could study and work to tackle one of the worst threats facing humanity.

Want to help ensure we have no severe pandemics in the 21st century? We want to help.

We’ve helped dozens of people formulate their plans, and put them in touch with academic mentors. If you want to work on pandemic preparedness safety, apply for our free coaching service.

APPLY FOR COACHING

2m - What does the Open Philanthropy Project do? What’s it like to work there?
16m27s - What grants did OpenPhil make in pandemic preparedness? Did they work out?
22m56s - Why is pandemic preparedness such an important thing to work on?
31m23s - How many people could die in a global pandemic? Is Contagion a realistic movie?
37m05s - Why the risk is getting worse due to scientific discoveries
40m10s - How would dangerous pathogens get released?
45m27s - Would society collapse if a billion people die in a pandemic?
49m25s - The plague, Spanish flu, smallpox, and other historical pandemics
58m30s - How are risks affected by sloppy research security or the existence of factory farming?
1h7m30s - What's already being done? Why institutions for dealing with pandemics are really insufficient.
1h14m30s - What the World Health Organisation should do but can’t.
1h21m51s - What charities do about pandemics and why they aren’t able to fix things
1h25m50s - How long would it take to make vaccines?
1h30m40s - What does the US government do to protect Americans? It’s a mess.
1h37m20s - What kind of people do you know work on this problem and what are they doing?
1h46m30s - Are there things that we ought to be banning or technologies that we should be trying not to develop because we're just better off not having them?
1h49m35s - What kind of reforms are needed at the international level?
1h54m40s - Where should people who want to tackle this problem go to work?
1h59m50s - Are there any technologies we need to urgently develop?
2h04m20s - What about trying to stop humans from having contact with wild animals?
2h08m5s - What should people study if they're young and choosing their major; what should they do a PhD in? Where should they study, and with who?
More...

Episoder(320)

#60 - Phil Tetlock on why accurate forecasting matters for everything, and how you can do it better

#60 - Phil Tetlock on why accurate forecasting matters for everything, and how you can do it better

Have you ever been infuriated by a doctor's unwillingness to give you an honest, probabilistic estimate about what to expect? Or a lawyer who won't tell you the chances you'll win your case? Their beh...

28 Jun 20192h 11min

#59 – Cass Sunstein on how change happens, and why it's so often abrupt & unpredictable

#59 – Cass Sunstein on how change happens, and why it's so often abrupt & unpredictable

It can often feel hopeless to be an activist seeking social change on an obscure issue where most people seem opposed or at best indifferent to you. But according to a new book by Professor Cass Sunst...

17 Jun 20191h 43min

#58 – Pushmeet Kohli of DeepMind on designing robust & reliable AI systems and how to succeed in AI

#58 – Pushmeet Kohli of DeepMind on designing robust & reliable AI systems and how to succeed in AI

When you're building a bridge, responsibility for making sure it won't fall over isn't handed over to a few 'bridge not falling down engineers'. Making sure a bridge is safe to use and remains standin...

3 Jun 20191h 30min

Rob Wiblin on human nature, new technology, and living a happy, healthy & ethical life

Rob Wiblin on human nature, new technology, and living a happy, healthy & ethical life

This is a cross-post of some interviews Rob did recently on two other podcasts — Mission Daily (from 2m) and The Good Life (from 1h13m). Some of the content will be familiar to regular listeners — bu...

13 Mai 20192h 18min

#57 – Tom Kalil on how to do the most good in government

#57 – Tom Kalil on how to do the most good in government

You’re 29 years old, and you’ve just been given a job in the White House. How do you quickly figure out how the US Executive Branch behemoth actually works, so that you can have as much impact as poss...

23 Apr 20192h 50min

#56 - Persis Eskander on wild animal welfare and what, if anything, to do about it

#56 - Persis Eskander on wild animal welfare and what, if anything, to do about it

Elephants in chains at travelling circuses; pregnant pigs trapped in coffin sized crates at factory farms; deers living in the wild. We should welcome the last as a pleasant break from the horror, rig...

15 Apr 20192h 57min

#55 – Lutter & Winter on founding charter cities with outstanding governance to end poverty

#55 – Lutter & Winter on founding charter cities with outstanding governance to end poverty

Governance matters. Policy change quickly took China from famine to fortune; Singapore from swamps to skyscrapers; and Hong Kong from fishing village to financial centre. Unfortunately, many governmen...

31 Mar 20192h 31min

#54 – OpenAI on publication norms, malicious uses of AI, and general-purpose learning algorithms

#54 – OpenAI on publication norms, malicious uses of AI, and general-purpose learning algorithms

OpenAI’s Dactyl is an AI system that can manipulate objects with a human-like robot hand. OpenAI Five is an AI system that can defeat humans at the video game Dota 2. The strange thing is they were bo...

19 Mar 20192h 53min

Populært innen Fakta

fastlegen
dine-penger-pengeradet
relasjonspodden-med-dora-thorhallsdottir-kjersti-idem
treningspodden
rss-strid-de-norske-borgerkrigene
foreldreradet
jakt-og-fiskepodden
rss-sunn-okonomi
merry-quizmas
gravid-uke-for-uke
fryktlos
sinnsyn
hverdagspsyken
rss-mann-i-krise-med-sagen
smart-forklart
generasjonspodden
rss-kunsten-a-leve
dopet
sovnlos
hr-podden-2