How YOU Are Impacted by the NOAA Massacre

NOAA Restrictions and ConcernsSubject: Recent Restrictions Imposed on NOAA Scientists and Resulting Concernsmeteorology Matters details new restrictions imposed on scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) under the Trump administration, sparking considerable concern within the agency and among international partners. These restrictions include increased oversight of communications with foreign nationals, additional administrative burdens, and anticipated budget and staffing cuts. These measures are perceived as part of a broader effort to deprioritize climate crisis efforts and potentially privatize parts of NOAA. The changes raise alarms about the potential impact on weather forecasting accuracy, international scientific collaboration, and the availability of crucial climate data.Key Themes and Ideas:Increased Restrictions on International Communication and Collaboration:NOAA is implementing new oversight of scientists' email and "virtual meetings" with foreign nationals.All "international engagements" require documentation and approval by a Trump political appointee.One NOAA Research email stated staff now need to submit any "international engagement" for approval, including travel, face-to-face meetings or gatherings of international organizations. As for whether that includes emails with colleagues of different nationalities, the guidance said: “Not at this time.”The National Marine Fisheries Service has told staff to stop all contact with foreign nationals.These restrictions are seen as creating an "onerous" administrative burden, especially for the National Weather Service (NWS).Concerns About a "Crackdown on Climate" and Politicization of Science:A senior NOAA scientist stated, "My expectation is that it’s going to be a crackdown on climate. People are just somewhere between disturbed and terrified."Fears stem from previous incidents of scientists being sidelined or muted during Trump's first term.Elon Musk’s “department of government efficiency” (Doge), placed the head of Noaa’s human resources team on administrative leave and initiated an agency-wide purge of activities related to diversity, equity and inclusion.Budget and Staffing Cuts Looming:Employees have reportedly been told to expect a 50% reduction in staff and budget cuts of 30%.Project 2025 architect Russell Vought proposed a 38% budget cut for Noaa to “to curb excessive mission creep in key agencies, halt steadily increasing climate extremism within the department, and eliminate the prioritization of woke agendas”."Hundreds" of NOAA staff have reportedly accepted federal buyouts.There are reported sweeping efforts to shrink the federal workforce with repeated requests for volunteers who want to resign.Potential Impact on Weather Forecasting and Climate Science:The restrictions and cuts could "hamper the ability of the US to maintain a functioning public weather service."Reduced international collaboration could undermine the ability to "understand and combat" the climate crisis, according to a climate scientist at the EU's Copernicus agency. "The climate crisis knows no boundaries, and halting international scientific collaboration can only undermine our ability to understand and combat it.”

14 Feb 17min

Red States Hurt the Most by the Trump Administration's Climate Funding Freeze (February 2025)Executive Summary:President Trump's executive order freezing climate-related funding, particularly from the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, is causing widespread disruption and uncertainty. While the legality of the freeze is being challenged in court, it has led to project delays, job losses, and financial strain on states, nonprofits, and private companies. Surprisingly, Republican-leaning states and districts stand to lose the most economically from this freeze, as they are the primary beneficiaries of clean energy investments spurred by the IRA. The situation has created a complex political dynamic, with some Republicans quietly attempting to protect projects in their districts while publicly supporting the administration's agenda.Key Themes and Ideas:Immediate Disruption and Confusion: The executive order has caused immediate chaos, delaying projects and forcing organizations to furlough or fire staff. As Chuck Morse, executive director of Thrive New Orleans, stated: "The funding freeze 'is going to be devastating for us — we may not survive this'... 'We can't make our payroll... We're going to have to shut down our programs and have a lot less impact. … It's hurting the people we pledged to serve.'" This highlights the real-world impact on communities and organizations reliant on the funding.Republican States Hardest Hit: A key finding is that Republican districts are the primary beneficiaries of clean energy investments stimulated by the IRA. According to the New York Times, "Roughly 80 percent of those investments are in Republican congressional districts, where they are creating a once-in-a-generation manufacturing boom." This creates a difficult political situation for Republicans who must balance party loyalty with the economic interests of their constituents.Economic Impact: The funding freeze threatens a clean energy manufacturing boom. BloombergNEF predicts that "more than half" of the nearly $30 billion in clean technology factories scheduled to come online in 2025 will face delays or cancellations. This could lead to job losses and hinder the growth of the clean energy sector.Investor Uncertainty: The possibility of repealing or modifying federal loans and tax incentives from the IRA is making investors nervous and causing companies to reevaluate their plans. "Many manufacturers now face 'significant political uncertainty' on top of that, as companies wonder whether the Trump administration will repeal or modify federal loans and tax incentives," according to Antoine Vagneur-Jones of BloombergNEF.Important Facts and Figures:$32 billion: Estimated amount of unspent IRA funding vulnerable to being frozen (Washington Post).$20.5 billion: Amount of the unspent money from the EPA (Washington Post).80%: Approximate percentage of clean energy manufacturing investments flowing to Republican congressional districts (New York Times).$165.8 billion: Total planned investments by private companies chasing IRA tax breaks (New York Times).$30 billion: Value of clean technology factories scheduled to come online in 2025, more than half predicted to face delays or cancellations (New York Times, citing BloombergNEF).168: Number of renewable energy projects whose permitting was paused by the Army Corps of Engineers (New York Times).

12 Feb 17min

State of the Climate - 2024 and Beyond2024 is confirmed as the hottest year on record, surpassing 2023, and marking a decade of unprecedented heat. This has triggered extreme weather events globally and heightened concerns about the potential for earlier-than-expected breaches of the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C warming threshold. Scientists are investigating factors beyond fossil fuel emissions and El Niño, such as aerosol reductions from shipping regulations and decreased cloud cover, to fully explain the surge in temperatures. While international agreements and initiatives are in place, urgent and accelerated climate action is imperative to mitigate future warming and adapt to its impacts.Key Themes and Ideas:Record-Breaking Temperatures:2024 is set to be the warmest year on record, continuing a trend of escalating temperatures: "The year 2024 is set to be the warmest on record, capping a decade of unprecedented heat fuelled by human activities." (UN News)The past decade has seen the warmest years on record. "The past 10 years have been the warmest 10 years since record-keeping began." (NPR)Average global temperatures exceeded 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. (Al Jazeera)Earth experienced its warmest day ever on July 22, 2024. (Al Jazeera)January 2024 was the warmest January on record, with an average surface air temperature of 13.14˚C. (Al Jazeera)Exceedance of Paris Agreement Thresholds:There is growing concern that long-term warming may exceed the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C limit sooner than expected. "Recent warming has sparked debate about whether the world might exceed the 1.5 °C Paris Agreement limit earlier than previously estimated." (Twelve months at 1.5 °C signals earlier than expected breach of Paris Agreement threshold)Twelve consecutive months with temperatures at least 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels raises alarms, although experts note this doesn't automatically mean the long-term goal has been exceeded.Analysis suggests that exceeding 1.5°C for 12 consecutive months indicates the Paris Agreement threshold is likely to have already been crossed. "Hence, in CMIP6 simulations, 12 consecutive months above 1.5 °C indicates that the Paris Agreement threshold is likely to have already been crossed" (Twelve months at 1.5 °C signals earlier than expected breach of Paris Agreement threshold)Even exceeding the threshold in one year doesn't signal complete failure. Temperatures need to breach 1.5 degrees Celsius consistently, calculated over a 20-year average. "Passing that threshold in one year doesn't mean countries have failed, however. Temperatures would need to consistently breach 1.5 degrees Celsius, according to scientists, calculated over a 20-year average." (NPR)Extreme Weather Events:Rising temperatures are linked to an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events: "Climate change also intensified 26 of the 29 weather events studied by World Weather Attribution that killed at least 3700 people and displaced millions." (UN News)Examples of extreme events include deadly floods, devastating wildfires, early heatwaves, and catastrophic hurricanes. (Al Jazeera)Europe could see millions of deaths from extreme heat by the end of the century if carbon pollution is not reduced and adaptation measures aren't implemented. "Extreme temperatures — mostly heat — are projected to kill as many as 2.3 million people in Europe by the end of the century unless countries get better at reducing carbon pollution and adapting to hotter conditions, a new study says." (TIME)

11 Feb 11min

Future of FEMASubject: Potential Restructuring or Elimination of FEMA and State PreparednessSummary: Meteorology Matters examines the future of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) in light of increasing disaster frequency and severity due to climate change. One article explores the ability of states to manage disasters without FEMA, highlighting the agency's crucial role in coordinating resources and providing financial aid. The second article details a political move by the Trump administration to potentially dismantle or significantly alter FEMA, sparking concerns about disaster relief and response capabilities.Key Themes and Ideas:The Critical Role of FEMA:FEMA coordinates federal resources, provides financial assistance, and offers logistical support during disasters. This includes coordinating rescue operations, restoring power, delivering supplies, and managing the National Flood Insurance Program.FEMA's assistance is triggered after a state requests an emergency declaration and demonstrates the disaster exceeds their capacity.The article "If FEMA didn't exist..." emphasizes that FEMA "pools federal resources to allow states to recover faster from expensive disasters."Without FEMA, states, particularly smaller, rural, or less wealthy ones, would struggle significantly to manage disaster response and recovery. Lynn Budd, director of the Wyoming Office of Homeland Security, stated, "States don’t have that capability built to handle a disaster every single year."The absence of FEMA could lead to uneven recovery, with wealthier areas recovering faster and poorer areas facing prolonged hardship.The agency also manages the National Flood Insurance Program, offers disaster preparedness training and helps states develop response plans to improve their overall response systems.

11 Feb 20min

The Tempest Stela and Bronze Age ChronologySubject: Analysis of the "Tempest Stela" and its potential impact on Bronze Age chronology.Executive Summary:A new interpretation of the "Tempest Stela," a 3,500-year-old Egyptian stone block, suggests it may be the world's oldest weather report, describing severe weather events potentially linked to the volcanic eruption at Thera (Santorini). This connection, if valid, could revise the dating of the reign of Pharaoh Ahmose, pushing it back by 30-50 years. This shift would have significant ramifications for the established chronology of the ancient Near East and Eastern Mediterranean, potentially resolving discrepancies between archaeological evidence and radiocarbon dating and offering new insights into the rise and fall of Bronze Age empires.Key Themes and Ideas:The Tempest Stela as a Weather Report: The inscription on the stela, previously interpreted by some as metaphorical, is now argued to be a literal account of extreme weather events. The inscription describes "rain, darkness and ‘the sky being in storm without cessation, louder than the cries of the masses.’" Further details include "a tempest of rain," and "bodies floating down the Nile like ‘skiffs of papyrus.’"Connection to the Thera Eruption: Researchers believe the weather patterns described on the stela could be the result of the massive volcanic eruption at Thera. This eruption, which occurred in the Mediterranean, would have had widespread climatological effects, including in Egypt. According to Marina Baldi, a scientist in climatology and meteorology, "A modification in the atmospheric circulation after the eruption could have driven a change in the precipitation regime of the region. Therefore the episode in the Tempest Stela could be a consequence of these climatological changes."Revised Chronology of Ahmose's Reign: If the stela does describe the aftermath of the Thera eruption, the dating of Ahmose’s reign, currently estimated at around 1550 B.C., could be pushed back 30-50 years earlier. As Nadine Moeller, assistant professor of Egyptian archaeology notes, "This is important to scholars of the ancient Near East and eastern Mediterranean, generally because the chronology that archaeologists use is based on the lists of Egyptian pharaohs, and this new information could adjust those dates."Impact on Bronze Age History: A revised dating of Ahmose's reign has the potential to realign the timeline of other important events in the ancient Near East, such as the fall of the Canaanites and the collapse of the Babylonian Empire. David Schloen, associate professor in the Oriental Institute, argues that "This new information would provide a better understanding of the role of the environment in the development and destruction of empires in the ancient Middle East." The eruption and resulting tsunami could have weakened the Hyksos rulers of Egypt and disrupted trade, contributing to the fall of the Babylonian Empire.Resolution of Dating Discrepancies: Radiocarbon dating of an olive tree buried under volcanic residue placed the Thera eruption at 1621-1605 B.C. Conclusion:The interpretation of the Tempest Stela as a record of the Thera eruption's impact presents a compelling argument for revising the chronology of the Bronze Age Near East. While further research is needed, this new perspective has the potential to significantly alter our understanding of this crucial period in human history.

10 Feb 15min

DOGE Scrutinizes NOAADate: February 10, 2025Subject: Review of the Department of Government Efficiency's (DOGE) actions and potential impacts on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).Executive Summary:The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by Elon Musk, is actively scrutinizing and gaining access to NOAA's IT systems. This has raised significant concerns about potential budget and staff cuts, the loss or damage of vital climate and weather data, impacts on NOAA's ability to provide critical services (like weather forecasting and hurricane tracking), and the removal of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) related materials. The situation is described as a "hostile corporate takeover" by some observers and is linked to Project 2025, a conservative plan to dismantle and downsize NOAA. These actions are generating strong opposition from Democratic lawmakers and concerns from former NOAA officials and related organizations.Key Themes and Information:DOGE Access and Actions:DOGE has gained access to NOAA's IT systems, raising concerns about the security of sensitive data. At least one member of DOGE was requested access.DOGE staffers reportedly "blew through security" and entered NOAA headquarters. As Andrew Rosenberg noted, "They apparently just sort of walked past security and said: ‘Get out of my way,’ and they’re looking for access for the IT systems, as they have in other agencies."The DOGE is reportedly looking for anything tied to DEI and ordering the removal of DEI-related materials from bulletin boards, websites, and internal communications. Employee resource groups and support spaces have also been taken down.DOGE employee Nikhil Rajpal was given edit access to NOAA's documents, reportedly following an order from acting Secretary of Commerce Jeremy Pelter.The National Marine Fisheries Service has been ordered to halt "ALL INTERNATIONAL ENGAGEMENTS."Personnel Changes and Potential Impacts:NOAA is preparing for potential layoffs and budget cuts. The agency has been told to expect to lose half of its employees and prepare for a 30% budget cut, according to former NOAA officials.A NOAA employee who led diversity and inclusion efforts was placed on administrative leave.There are concerns that NOAA's "irreplaceable climate and weather data could be damaged or lost."Impact on NOAA's Mission and Services:Concerns that cuts to NOAA could negatively impact its ability to provide critical services, including weather forecasts and warnings for severe weather events like hurricanes, wildfires, and tornadoes. As Jennifer Brady of Climate Central notes, "NOAA is a vital piece of our communication strategy...Their data is vetted, it's verified. So, we know we can use it and trust it in our reports."The Union of Concerned Scientists' Juan Declet-Barreto describes the situation as "a hostile corporate takeover of a government agency that provides a suite of services to the public to protect lives and to protect property."There is a fear that privatizing weather forecasts could put more Americans at risk, especially if access to this information becomes a paid service.Project 2025 Connection:DOGE's actions are linked to Project 2025, a conservative plan that advocates for breaking up and downsizing NOAA, deeming it "one of the main drivers of the climate change alarm industry and, as such, is harmful to future U.S. prosperity."

10 Feb 22min

Environmental Impacts of Satellite Re-entryExecutive Summary:Meteorology Matters synthesizes information from five sources regarding the growing concern over the environmental impact of satellites burning up in the atmosphere upon re-entry. Driven by the increasing number of satellites, particularly mega-constellations like Starlink, this process releases metallic particles into the mesosphere and stratosphere, potentially affecting ozone depletion and climate. While research is ongoing, studies indicate a significant increase in stratospheric aluminum levels and raise concerns about the long-term consequences of this "satellite ash."Key Themes and Ideas:The Rise of Satellite Constellations and Increased Re-entries:The number of satellites in orbit has increased dramatically in recent years, and is expected to continue growing exponentially. The MIT Technology Review article notes, "Some 15 years ago, barely a thousand satellites orbited our planet. Now the number has risen to about 10,000, and with the rise of satellite constellations like Starlink, another tenfold increase is forecast by the end of this decade."This growth leads to a corresponding increase in satellite re-entries as these satellites reach the end of their operational lives. The same article states that 2024 had already seen "950 satellite reentries" by late November."Almost 20 percent of all satellites ever launched have re-entered Earth’s atmosphere in the last half-decade, burning up in superfast, superhot blazes," according to the New York Times article.The Problem of Satellite Ash:When satellites re-enter the atmosphere, they burn up, releasing metallic particles, primarily aluminum, into the atmosphere. This is described as "satellite ash."The MIT Technology Review article emphasizes that this ash "can harm the atmosphere and potentially alter the climate."The PNAS paper provides evidence: "Measurements show that about 10% of the aerosol particles in the stratosphere contain aluminum and other metals that originated from the 'burn-up' of satellites and rocket stages during reentry." It also notes that planned increases in satellite numbers "could cause up to half of stratospheric sulfuric acid particles to contain metals from reentry."Atmospheric Impact & Ozone Depletion:The primary concern revolves around the potential impact on the ozone layer. "The long-term accumulation of aluminum oxides from reentering satellites can cause significant ozone depletion" (Potential Ozone Depletion From Satellite Demise During Atmospheric Reentry in th.pdf).The PNAS paper notes the lack of definite implications yet identified but raises the possibility of effects on "the nucleation of ice or nitric acid trihydrate (NAT)," which could impact polar stratospheric clouds.The "Potential Ozone Depletion" source determined the 2022 level of aluminum from satellite reentry to be a "29.5% increase of aluminum in the atmosphere above the natural level, resulting in around 17 metric tons of aluminum oxides injected into the mesosphere."Composition of the Ash & Stratospheric Aerosol Changes:Research indicates that the metallic content of stratospheric aerosol particles is changing due to satellite re-entry. The PNAS paper found "over 20 elements from reentry were detected and were present in ratios consistent with alloys used in spacecraft."Specific metals identified include lithium, aluminum, copper, niobium, silver, and hafnium. The presence of these metals can be linked to specific components

9 Feb 14min

FEMA TSA Hotels https://www.femaemergencyhotels.com/——————————————————————Meteorology Matters summarizes the ongoing recovery efforts in Western North Carolina and Florida following Tropical Storm Helene. The storm has caused widespread displacement, economic hardship, and infrastructure damage, requiring extensive intervention from FEMA, state, and local agencies, as well as volunteer organizations. The recovery process is complex, with challenges including housing shortages, bureaucratic hurdles, and financial burdens on individuals and utility customers.Key Themes and Information:1. Housing Crisis and FEMA Transitional Sheltering Assistance (TSA):WNC Exodus from Hotels: Thousands of individuals and families displaced by Helene have left FEMA-funded hotel accommodations in Western North Carolina. "In early January, the agency reported that over 5,700 households had been in the program at the beginning of 2025, but by Jan. 16 around 3,000 of those households had left the program." As of February 4th, only 762 households remained in the program in the region.Buncombe County Impact: A significant portion of those remaining in the TSA program are in Buncombe County (585 households). A number of these were deemed ineligible for continued assistance.Rental Assistance Increase: FEMA rental assistance has increased, suggesting some are moving into more permanent housing: "FEMA Representative Bob Spence noted that while the number of households utilizing the program has dropped, rental assistance from FEMA 'has gone up,' indicating that many are moving into more permanent housing solutions after Helene." However, the demand for affordable housing remains a critical issue.Eligibility Challenges and Ineligibility Reasons: Eligibility for TSA depends on FEMA inspections determining housing uninhabitability due to storm damage. Reasons for ineligibility include no eligible damage to the home, the home being habitable, inability to reach the survivor for inspection, missed inspections, withdrawal from the program, or being unhoused before the disaster. Some people avoided contacting FEMA because they knew they shouldn't be in the hotel anymore.Individual Stories of Displacement: The article highlights stories of individuals like Kevin Moreland and Randy Billiot, illustrating the difficulties people face in finding suitable housing. Moreland's criminal background presents a significant barrier, while Billiot's health issues and eviction exacerbate his vulnerability. "'Some people got moved into a house. Some people into the hospital and some onto the street, you know?' Moreland said."TSA Program Timeline: The TSA program was extended through May 26th at the request of Gov. Josh Stein.2. Financial Burden and Utility Rate Hikes in Florida:Increased Electricity Costs: Customers of Duke Energy and Tampa Electric in Florida will face significant increases in their monthly bills to cover the costs of hurricane recovery. Duke Energy customers will see around a $32 increase (offset by a temporary $10 seasonal adjustment), and Tampa Electric customers will see around a $20 increase for 1,000 kilowatt-hours of usage.Regulator Concerns: Utility regulators expressed concerns about the rising costs for residents and the increasing frequency of devastating storms.

8 Feb 19min