Technicals: Week 26

Technicals: Week 26

Tuesday, June 23, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS: WTI trading $73.85-$74.21. KEY SUPPORT: Immediate $73.91; Below: $71.84, $69.92, $67.93, $65.15, $63.30, $61.23, $58.95, $56.53, $54.82. KEY RESISTANCE: Immediate $76.02; Above: $78.42, $80.53, $82.67, $85.09, $87.30, $89.72, $92.50, $94.99, $97.41. TRADING BIAS: Short bias below $73.91 (target lower supports, stop above ~$74.83); Long bias above $76.02 (target higher resistances, same stop). SETUP: Broad $73-$78 zone for immediate support/resistance. June 2026 range $71.73-$106.74. INVENTORY DATA: API (released Jun 16, week ending Jun 12) commercial crude fell 8.33M barrels (exceeded expectations -4.5M). EIA (released Jun 17, week ending Jun 12) commercial crude declined 8.263M barrels to 418.2M barrels (larger than forecast -3.6M to -4.6M). Total crude incl. SPR fell 17.2M barrels to 758.5M barrels (lows not seen since mid-1980s). Cushing stocks dropped 1.606M barrels to 20.03M (near multi-year lows). Context multi-week draw trend, refinery runs up, net imports down. NEXT REPORTS: API Jun 23 (Tue), EIA Jun 24 (Wed) for week ending Jun 19. NATURAL GAS TECHNICALS: Henry Hub trading ~$3.263 (day's range $3.256-$3.272). RSI 14 43.501 sell signal (below 50, weakening momentum but not oversold). MACD 12,26 -0.003 sell signal (negative, below signal line). CLASSIC PIVOT POINTS: Pivot 3.266, S1 3.262, R1 3.270. MOVING AVERAGES: MA5 3.264 buy signal (price near/slightly above); MA20 3.298 sell signal (price below); MA50 3.268 sell signal (price below); MA200 3.179 buy signal (price well above). OVERALL: Strong Sell (moving averages sell, technical indicators strong sell). THE READ: Crude broad range $73-$78 zone. Short bias below $73.91. Long bias above $76.02. Inventory draws supporting lower prices. Gas weak technicals. RSI neutral. MACD negative. Moving averages bearish. Accumulation zone intact but technicals need reset. Trade the charts. Respect the levels.

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Strategic Positioning: Week 27 Midweek Update

Strategic Positioning: Week 27 Midweek Update

Wednesday, July 1, 2026. WEEK 27 MIDWEEK UPDATE. WTI crude oil trading ~$69.98-$70.42. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released today (covering week ending Jun 26, 2026). CRUDE OIL INVENTORY UPDATE...

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Technicals: Week 27

Technicals: Week 27

Tuesday, June 30, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS: WTI trading near $70. Recent closes ~$70.04-$70.42. Intraday range $69-$71 area. KEY LEVELS: Psychological support zone $70 (key round-number level). Imme...

30 Juni 2min

Doha Talks Resume

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Monday, June 29, 2026. WEEK 27 OPENS. WTI crude oil opened at $70.50. Recent session range high $70.97, low $69.32. Prior close Jun 26 $69.23. Latest quotes ~$69.95-$70.21 (up slightly from Friday clo...

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Weekly Recap: Week 26 Complete

Weekly Recap: Week 26 Complete

Friday, June 26, 2026. WEEK 26 COMPLETE. Twenty-six weeks running. The thesis delivers again. CRUDE OIL RECAP: Monday opened $74.82 (deal live, Hormuz open, geopolitical premium intact). Tuesday techn...

26 Juni 2min

Crude Breaks $70

Crude Breaks $70

Thursday, June 25, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE: WTI trading $69.20-$69.36 (down 1.4-1.7% from prior close ~$70.34). Daily range ~$69.01-$70.23. August 2026 contract ~$69.66. Recent performance down ~26% pa...

25 Juni 2min

EIA Inventory Report: Draws Continue

EIA Inventory Report: Draws Continue

Wednesday, June 24, 2026. EIA CRUDE OIL INVENTORY REPORT RELEASED TODAY. Week ending June 19. Released June 24 at 10:30 AM ET. MOST RECENT DATA: EIA report released Jun 17 for week ending Jun 12: Comm...

24 Juni 2min

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Deal Live, Hormuz Open

Monday, June 22, 2026. WEEK 26 OPENS. The deal is done. The Strait of Hormuz is open. Crude is at $75.60-$75.70. CRUDE OIL: WTI July futures trading $75.60-$75.70 (Jun 22), down 2.1-2.2% from prior se...

22 Juni 2min

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