022 - Survivorship Bias - Megan Price

022 - Survivorship Bias - Megan Price

The problem with sorting out failures and successes is that failures are often muted, destroyed, or somehow removed from view while successes are left behind, weighting your decisions and perceptions, tilting your view of the world. That means to be successful you must learn how to seek out what is missing. You must learn what not to do. Unfortunately, survivorship bias stands between you and the epiphanies you seek.



To learn how to combat this pernicious bias, we explore the story of Abraham Wald and the Department of War Math founded during World War II, and then we interview Wald's modern-day counterpart, Megan Price, statistician and director of research at the Human Rights Data Analysis Group who explains how she uses math and statistics to save lives and improve conditions in areas of the world suffering from the effects of war.

Patreon: http://patreon.com/youarenotsosmart


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Avsnitt(335)

056 - Magicians And Scams - Brian Brushwood

056 - Magicians And Scams - Brian Brushwood

Before we had names for them or a science to study them, the people who could claim the most expertise on biases, fallacies, heuristics and all the other quirks of human reasoning and perception were ...

12 Aug 20151h 11min

055 - WEIRD People - Steven J. Heine

055 - WEIRD People - Steven J. Heine

Is psychology too WEIRD? That's what this episode's guest, psychologist Steven J. Heine suggested when he and his colleagues published a paper suggesting that psychology wasn't the study of the human ...

1 Aug 201548min

054 - The Self - Bruce Hood (rebroadcast)

054 - The Self - Bruce Hood (rebroadcast)

Is the person you believe to be the protagonist of your life story real or a fictional character? In other words, is your very self real or is it an illusion? According to psychologist Bruce Hood, the...

16 Juli 201551min

053 - Adaptive Learning - Ulrik Christensen

053 - Adaptive Learning - Ulrik Christensen

Can new computer programs rid us of the cognitive errors that lead to learned helplessness in the classroom? In this episode Ulrik Christensen, senior fellow of digital learning at McGraw-Hill Educati...

2 Juli 201548min

052 - Learned Helplessness

052 - Learned Helplessness

Stuck in a bad situation, even when the prison doors are left wide open, we sometimes refuse to attempt escape. Why is that? In this episode learn all about the strange phenomenon of learned helplessn...

23 Juni 201545min

051 - Work - Laszlo Bock

051 - Work - Laszlo Bock

Work often sucks, but it doesn't have to. In this episode we interview Lazlo Bock, head of People Operations at Google, who helped his company make work suck less, way less, by introducing new policie...

5 Juni 20151h 10min

050 - Happy Money - Elizabeth Dunn (rebroadcast)

050 - Happy Money - Elizabeth Dunn (rebroadcast)

It’s peculiar, your inability to predict what will make you happy, and that inability leads you to do stupid things with your money. Once you get a decent job that allows you to buy new shoes on a whi...

22 Maj 201545min

049 - Rejection - Jia Jiang

049 - Rejection - Jia Jiang

What if you could give yourself a superpower? That's what Jia Jiang wondered when he began a quest to remove the fear of rejection from his brain and become the risk-taking, adventurous person he alwa...

8 Maj 201554min

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