022 - Survivorship Bias - Megan Price

022 - Survivorship Bias - Megan Price

The problem with sorting out failures and successes is that failures are often muted, destroyed, or somehow removed from view while successes are left behind, weighting your decisions and perceptions, tilting your view of the world. That means to be successful you must learn how to seek out what is missing. You must learn what not to do. Unfortunately, survivorship bias stands between you and the epiphanies you seek.



To learn how to combat this pernicious bias, we explore the story of Abraham Wald and the Department of War Math founded during World War II, and then we interview Wald's modern-day counterpart, Megan Price, statistician and director of research at the Human Rights Data Analysis Group who explains how she uses math and statistics to save lives and improve conditions in areas of the world suffering from the effects of war.

Patreon: http://patreon.com/youarenotsosmart


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Avsnitt(332)

061 - Mindfulness - Michael Taft

061 - Mindfulness - Michael Taft

You have the power to wield neuroplasticity to your advantage.Just as you can change your body at the atomic level by lifting weights, you can willfully alter your brain by...thinking in a certain way...

22 Okt 20151h 22min

060 - Reframing - Robert R. Morris

060 - Reframing - Robert R. Morris

Reframing is one of those psychological tools that just plain works. It’s practical, simple, and with practice and repetition it often leads to real change in people with a variety of thinking problem...

7 Okt 20151h 10min

059 - The Illusion Of Control - Michael And Sarah Bennett

059 - The Illusion Of Control - Michael And Sarah Bennett

In the show, you'll hear Michael elaborate on why that is. In this episode, our guests are Harvard-trained psychiatrist Michael I. Bennett and his comedy writer daughter Sarah Bennett whose new book, ...

23 Sep 20151h 5min

058 - Technology - Clive Thompson (Rebroadcast)

058 - Technology - Clive Thompson (Rebroadcast)

Is all this new technology improving our thinking or dampening it? Are all these new communication tools turning us into navel-gazing human/brand hybrids, or are we developing a new set of senses that...

10 Sep 20151h 10min

057 - PTSD - Robert D. Laird

057 - PTSD - Robert D. Laird

10 years after Katrina the residents of New Orleans and portions of Mississippi are still experiencing PTSD. In this episode we explore what causes this disorder, why it happens, what triggers the sym...

27 Aug 20151h 7min

056 - Magicians And Scams - Brian Brushwood

056 - Magicians And Scams - Brian Brushwood

Before we had names for them or a science to study them, the people who could claim the most expertise on biases, fallacies, heuristics and all the other quirks of human reasoning and perception were ...

12 Aug 20151h 11min

055 - WEIRD People - Steven J. Heine

055 - WEIRD People - Steven J. Heine

Is psychology too WEIRD? That's what this episode's guest, psychologist Steven J. Heine suggested when he and his colleagues published a paper suggesting that psychology wasn't the study of the human ...

1 Aug 201548min

054 - The Self - Bruce Hood (rebroadcast)

054 - The Self - Bruce Hood (rebroadcast)

Is the person you believe to be the protagonist of your life story real or a fictional character? In other words, is your very self real or is it an illusion? According to psychologist Bruce Hood, the...

16 Juli 201551min

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