SI315: Preparing for a Pivotal Time in Global Markets ft. Cem Karsan

SI315: Preparing for a Pivotal Time in Global Markets ft. Cem Karsan

In this week’s episode, Cem Karsan joins Alan Dunne to discuss the interplay between market flows and global macro developments as we enter a pivotal time of year for markets. They explore the potentially favourable setup for equities in the coming weeks, driven by flow dynamics and dealer positioning, while considering how recent policy moves in China could support the near-term bullish outlook. As the U.S. election approaches, Cem outlines how different outcomes could impact policy, the economy, and geopolitics—ultimately shaping the post-election market landscape. Despite recent U.S. inflation data showing lower prints, Karsan reaffirms his view of a structurally inflationary period ahead and shares key trades that could capitalize on this outlook in the current market environment.

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:17 - Industry performance update

05:36 - Seasonality in markets

17:49 - Are China losing the ability to protect their assets?

21:44 - A dangerous path for Chinese assets

25:36 - A structural downtrend in inflation?

35:30 - Is the market looking through the rate cuts?

39:37 - Trump vs. Harris - how will it impact markets?

46:19 - A global conflict perspective

50:40 - How the election might impact commodities

52:06 - Migration policy and its effect on inflation

53:57 - How markets might trade right after the election is over

57:13 - Dangerous...

Avsnitt(907)

IL44: From AI Hype to Transformative AGI ft. Aubrie Pagano

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SI380: Dispersion Is the Story This Year (Group Conversation Part 1)

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Niels is joined by all 9 amazing co-hosts, to discuss a year that refused to behave. In part one of the annual "roundtable", Niels and the group map why 2025 produced such striking dispersion across t...

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OI20: Why Commodities Refuse to Trend Forever ft. Doug King

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Moritz Siebert speaks with Doug King about what it really means to trade commodities through cycles, distortions, and stress. Drawing on decades at Cargill and more than twenty years running a commodi...

24 Dec 202547min

SI379: The Illusion of Safety in a Fully Invested Market ft. Cem Karsan

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Niels and Cem reflect on a year marked by concentration, confidence, and growing structural fragility beneath calm markets. They examine extreme positioning, record low cash levels, and the quiet domi...

20 Dec 20251h 10min

GM92: Politics in an Age of Hard Borders and Rising Hegemons ft. Gary Gerstle

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SI378: When Prices Stop Making Sense ft. Mark Rzepczynski

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SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

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