SI346: Is the Trend Still Your Friend ft. Rob Carver

SI346: Is the Trend Still Your Friend ft. Rob Carver

This episode is all about understanding the nuances of trend-following and how current market dynamics are shaking things up. Together with Rob Carver, we discuss the turbulence that hit financial markets in April and how that affected Trend Followers, as well as how Rob navigated the last 12 months as a trend follower. Plus, we explore the intriguing topic of safe haven assets, questioning if traditional choices like U.S. treasury bonds still hold up under pressure. We also explore a paper that the discuss the pros and cons of simplicity over complexity in strategy design.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:40 - What has caught our attention recently?

06:59 - Society is going crazy

09:47 - Industry performance update

16:22 - How to capture the bounce in trailing stops

23:20 - Industry performance numbers

25:18 - Q1, Niall: What books would you recommend for a young quant entering the CTA space today?

29:05 - Reviewing Rob's annual trend following performance

36:26 - Should we start to rethink our approach to drawdowns?

40:45 - How do we stop investors from projecting market expectations to trend following performance

44:16 - How Rob defines slippage

50:12 - What if we base our trend system on one indicator?

54:18 - Does this trend following thing still work?

58:56 - Getting to know the founders of trend...

Avsnitt(907)

IL44: From AI Hype to Transformative AGI ft. Aubrie Pagano

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SI380: Dispersion Is the Story This Year (Group Conversation Part 1)

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Niels is joined by all 9 amazing co-hosts, to discuss a year that refused to behave. In part one of the annual "roundtable", Niels and the group map why 2025 produced such striking dispersion across t...

27 Dec 20251h 12min

OI20: Why Commodities Refuse to Trend Forever ft. Doug King

OI20: Why Commodities Refuse to Trend Forever ft. Doug King

Moritz Siebert speaks with Doug King about what it really means to trade commodities through cycles, distortions, and stress. Drawing on decades at Cargill and more than twenty years running a commodi...

24 Dec 202547min

SI379: The Illusion of Safety in a Fully Invested Market ft. Cem Karsan

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Niels and Cem reflect on a year marked by concentration, confidence, and growing structural fragility beneath calm markets. They examine extreme positioning, record low cash levels, and the quiet domi...

20 Dec 20251h 10min

GM92: Politics in an Age of Hard Borders and Rising Hegemons ft. Gary Gerstle

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SI378: When Prices Stop Making Sense ft. Mark Rzepczynski

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This episode examines markets through the lens of uncertainty rather than prediction. As the Federal Reserve delivers a rate cut amid dissent and conflicting signals, Alan and Mark explore what it mea...

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Niels and Alan sit down with BlackRock’s Jeff Rosenberg to examine how the post Covid shift from too little to too much inflation is reshaping portfolios. Jeff explains why bond and equity correlation...

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SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

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6 Dec 20251h 8min

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