022 - Survivorship Bias - Megan Price

022 - Survivorship Bias - Megan Price

The problem with sorting out failures and successes is that failures are often muted, destroyed, or somehow removed from view while successes are left behind, weighting your decisions and perceptions, tilting your view of the world. That means to be successful you must learn how to seek out what is missing. You must learn what not to do. Unfortunately, survivorship bias stands between you and the epiphanies you seek.



To learn how to combat this pernicious bias, we explore the story of Abraham Wald and the Department of War Math founded during World War II, and then we interview Wald's modern-day counterpart, Megan Price, statistician and director of research at the Human Rights Data Analysis Group who explains how she uses math and statistics to save lives and improve conditions in areas of the world suffering from the effects of war.

Patreon: http://patreon.com/youarenotsosmart


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Episoder(332)

086 - Change My View

086 - Change My View

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085 - Misremembering - Julia Shaw (rebroadcast)

085 - Misremembering - Julia Shaw (rebroadcast)

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21 Sep 201641min

084 - Getting Gamers - Jamie Madigan

084 - Getting Gamers - Jamie Madigan

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083 - Idiot Brain - Dean Burnett

083 - Idiot Brain - Dean Burnett

In this episode we interview Dean Burnett, author of "Idiot Brain: What Your Brain is Really Up To." Burnett's book is a guide to the neuroscience behind the things that our amazing brains do poorly.I...

25 Aug 201653min

082 - Crowds (rebroadcast)

082 - Crowds (rebroadcast)

This episode’s guest, Michael Bond, is the author of The Power of Others, and reading his book I was surprised to learn that despite several decades of research into crowd psychology, the answers to m...

11 Aug 201650min

081 - The Climate Paradox

081 - The Climate Paradox

In this episode, psychologist Per Espen Stoknes discusses his book: What We Think About When We Try Not to Think About Global Warming.Stoknes has developed a strategy for science communicators who fin...

28 Jul 201657min

080 - Deep Canvassing

080 - Deep Canvassing

Oddly enough, we don’t actually know very much about how to change people’s minds, not scientifically, that's why the work of the a group of LGBT activists in Los Angeles is offering something valuabl...

13 Jul 201658min

079 - Separate Spheres

079 - Separate Spheres

Common sense used to dictate that men and women should only come together for breakfast and dinner. According to Victorian historian Kaythrn Hughes, people in the early 19th Century thought the outsid...

29 Jun 201642min

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